Colgate Raiders at Delaware Blue Hens: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETBob Carpenter Center · at Delaware

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Colgate and Delaware
COLG	This season	DEL
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DEL 75–71 · win probability DEL 63%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 146.4

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

COLG 2, DEL 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

COLGBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: COLG 14.7%, DEL 18.3%. Forced: COLG 15.2%, DEL 14.0%

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: COLG plays 68.6 a game (202nd fastest), DEL 65.3 (337th). Faster games mean more points

COLGSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: COLG 26.6%, DEL 20.8%. Defensive: COLG 70.7%, DEL 68.9%

DELSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: COLG 29.7, DEL 30.6. Allowed: COLG 33.8, DEL 30.2

DELSmall

Home court

DEL at home. This season: DEL 0-0 at home, COLG 0-0 away

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: COLG 59%, DEL 46%. Transfers in: COLG 0, DEL 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

DEL offense vs COLG defense

Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 214th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: COLG 53.3 and allows 52.2; DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5

Even

COLG offense vs DEL defense

Offense 205th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

COLG has played the 178th-hardest schedule, DEL the 195th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Three-pointers

COLG hits 35.6% and allows 34.8%; DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 35.0% and 46.2% of their shots

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DEL -3.7	—
Total	—	146.4	—
Projected score	—	COLG 71.4 · DEL 75.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DEL -2.1	—
1H total	68.5	—
1H projected score	COLG 33.2 · DEL 35.3	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
COLG LLLWL	12-19	39%	7-9	—
DEL LLWWL	15-15	50%	7-7	—

Venue/role: COLG away; DEL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
COLG OUOOU	17-14	55%	16-15
DEL OOOOU	16-14	53%	10-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
COLG	5-5 50%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
DEL	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Colgate

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 27	@ HOF	No recent meeting
Nov 28	vs UVM	W65–60WU
Nov 29	vs MRMK	No recent meeting

Delaware

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 20	@ CSUN	L66–88LO
Nov 22	@ UCLA	No recent meeting
Nov 28	@ STBK	W80–76LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

COLG 0–1 DELDEL leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · COLG 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 25, 2022-23	DEL 72 vs COLG 68	COLG -6	DEL W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Colgate

31 games played

Straight up

16-15

52% wins

Against the spread

12-19

39% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

17-14

55% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1552%

L L W L W L W W L L L W W W L W W L W W L W W W L L W L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

12-1939%

W L W W W W L W W L L W L L L L W L L L L W W L L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

17-1455%

O U O U U O U U O U O O U U O O O U O O O U U O O U O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@MSU	L 69-80	+22.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 149
Nov 7	vsNE	L 65-68	-5.5	L −8.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 11	vsDREX	W 90-83	-3.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 173
Nov 14	@ILL	L 65-84	+30.5	W +11.5	164.5	U 149
Nov 17	@SIE	W 72-69	+6.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 141
Nov 20	@COR	L 94-95	+5.5	W +4.5	161.5	O 189
Nov 28	vsUALB	W 69-67	-7.5	L −5.5	141.5	U 136
Nov 30	vsFOR	W 72-62	-1.5	W +8.5	142.5	U 134
Dec 10	@SBU	L 77-85	+9.5	W +1.5	142.5	O 162
Dec 21	@FLA	L 60-90	+27.5	L −2.5	156.5	U 150
Dec 28	vsHARV	L 69-78	-3.5	L −12.5	141.5	O 147
Dec 31	@LAF	W 85-77	-6.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 162
Jan 3	@ARMY	W 76-69	-7.5	L −0.5	147.5	U 145
Jan 7	vsAMER	W 64-62	-5.5	L −3.5	148.5	U 126
Jan 10	vsLEH	L 77-78	-11.5	L −12.5	142.5	O 155
Jan 14	@L-MD	W 86-80	-8.5	L −2.5	150.5	O 166
Jan 17	vsBUCK	W 95-76	-8.5	W +10.5	139.5	O 171
Jan 21	@AMER	L 66-70	+1.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 136
Jan 24	vsBU	W 80-79	-7.5	L −6.5	147.5	O 159
Jan 28	vsHC	W 79-74	-10.5	L −5.5	144.5	O 153
Jan 31	@LEH	L 76-77	-3.5	L −4.5	146.5	O 153
Feb 4	vsARMY	W 69-55	-10.5	W +3.5	150.5	U 124
Feb 7	@BUCK	W 78-59	-5.5	W +13.5	141.5	U 137
Feb 11	@HC	W 74-70	-8.5	L −4.5	142.5	O 144
Feb 14	vsNAVY	L 80-84	-1.5	L −5.5	139.5	O 164
Feb 16	@BU	L 58-85	-2.5	L −29.5	145.5	U 143
Feb 21	vsL-MD	W 101-98	-8.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 199
Feb 25	vsLAF	L 69-70	-8.5	L −9.5	148.5	U 139
Feb 28	@NAVY	L 69-85	+6.5	L −9.5	141.5	O 154
Mar 5	vsL-MD	W 90-77	-6.5	W +6.5	155.5	O 167
Mar 8	@LEH	L 69-76	-2.5	L −9.5	146.5	U 145

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MSU

L 69-80

+11.5

L 65-68

−8.5

DREX

W 90-83

+3.5

ILL

L 65-84

+11.5

SIE

W 72-69

+9.5

COR

L 94-95

+4.5

UALB

W 69-67

−5.5

FOR

W 72-62

+8.5

SBU

L 77-85

+1.5

FLA

L 60-90

−2.5

HARV

L 69-78

−12.5

LAF

W 85-77

+1.5

ARMY

W 76-69

−0.5

AMER

W 64-62

−3.5

LEH

L 77-78

−12.5

L-MD

W 86-80

−2.5

BUCK

W 95-76

+10.5

AMER

L 66-70

−2.5

W 80-79

−6.5

W 79-74

−5.5

LEH

L 76-77

−4.5

ARMY

W 69-55

+3.5

BUCK

W 78-59

+13.5

W 74-70

−4.5

NAVY

L 80-84

−5.5

L 58-85

−29.5

L-MD

W 101-98

−5.5

LAF

L 69-70

−9.5

NAVY

L 69-85

−9.5

L-MD

W 90-77

+6.5

LEH

L 69-76

−9.5

covered 12didn’t cover 19avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MSU

L 69-80

+4.5

L 65-68

−14.5

DREX

W 90-83

+29.5

ILL

L 65-84

−15.5

SIE

W 72-69

−5.5

COR

L 94-95

+27.5

UALB

W 69-67

−5.5

FOR

W 72-62

−8.5

SBU

L 77-85

+19.5

FLA

L 60-90

−6.5

HARV

L 69-78

+5.5

LAF

W 85-77

+15.5

ARMY

W 76-69

−2.5

AMER

W 64-62

−22.5

LEH

L 77-78

+12.5

L-MD

W 86-80

+15.5

BUCK

W 95-76

+31.5

AMER

L 66-70

−10.5

W 80-79

+11.5

W 79-74

+8.5

LEH

L 76-77

+6.5

ARMY

W 69-55

−26.5

BUCK

W 78-59

−4.5

W 74-70

+1.5

NAVY

L 80-84

+24.5

L 58-85

−2.5

L-MD

W 101-98

+48.5

LAF

L 69-70

−9.5

NAVY

L 69-85

+12.5

L-MD

W 90-77

+11.5

LEH

L 69-76

−1.5

over 17under 14avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Delaware

30 games played

Straight up

10-20

33% wins

Against the spread

15-15

50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2033%

L L W L W L L W L W L L W L L L L L W L L W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1550%

L W W L W L L W L L L W W L W L L L W L W W W W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O U U O U U O O O U U U O O U O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BUCK	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 11	@BYU	L 68-85	+35.5	W +18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 18	vsSPU	W 81-70	-4.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 23	vsSIU	L 59-79	+8.5	L −11.5	153.5	U 138
Nov 25	vsUNCG	W 73-60	+1.5	W +14.5	142.5	U 133
Dec 1	vsIONA	L 66-89	+1.5	L −21.5	149.5	O 155
Dec 6	@DSU	L 72-75	-7.5	L −10.5	129.5	O 147
Dec 10	@GW	W 70-58	+21.5	W +33.5	152.5	U 128
Dec 13	vsCSUN	L 66-88	-1.5	L −23.5	144.5	O 154
Dec 16	vsRID	W 65-57	-8.5	L −0.5	129.5	U 122
Dec 29	vsMOST	L 43-61	+1.5	L −16.5	131.5	U 104
Jan 2	vsJXST	L 64-67	+4.5	W +1.5	126.5	O 131
Jan 4	vsKENN	W 67-52	+8.5	W +23.5	148.5	U 119
Jan 8	@SHSU	L 60-72	+11.5	L −0.5	144.5	U 132
Jan 10	@LT	L 68-70	+6.5	W +4.5	123.5	O 138
Jan 15	vsUTEP	L 69-70	-1.5	L −2.5	125.5	O 139
Jan 17	vsNMSU	L 68-97	+4.5	L −24.5	134.5	O 165
Jan 24	@LIB	L 51-67	+15.5	L −0.5	134.5	U 118
Jan 28	@NMSU	W 73-64	+13.5	W +22.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 31	@UTEP	L 55-70	+6.5	L −8.5	128.5	U 125
Feb 4	vsLIB	L 69-75	+10.5	W +4.5	132.5	O 144
Feb 7	vsMTSU	W 89-88	+5.5	W +6.5	133.5	O 177
Feb 12	@FIU	W 68-66	+8.5	W +10.5	147.5	U 134
Feb 14	@MOST	W 76-67	+9.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 143
Feb 18	vsWKU	L 87-88	+4.5	W +3.5	139.5	O 175
Feb 21	@MTSU	L 66-78	+10.5	L −1.5	137.5	O 144
Feb 26	@JXST	L 70-80	+7.5	L −2.5	133.5	O 150
Feb 28	@KENN	L 82-90	+11.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 172
Mar 5	vsSHSU	W 83-80	+7.5	W +10.5	147.5	O 163
Mar 7	vsLT	L 38-81	+2.5	L −40.5	132.5	U 119

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−5.5

BYU

L 68-85

+18.5

SPU

W 81-70

+6.5

SIU

L 59-79

−11.5

UNCG

W 73-60

+14.5

IONA

L 66-89

−21.5

DSU

L 72-75

−10.5

W 70-58

+33.5

CSUN

L 66-88

−23.5

RID

W 65-57

−0.5

MOST

L 43-61

−16.5

JXST

L 64-67

+1.5

KENN

W 67-52

+23.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−0.5

L 68-70

+4.5

UTEP

L 69-70

−2.5

NMSU

L 68-97

−24.5

LIB

L 51-67

−0.5

NMSU

W 73-64

+22.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−8.5

LIB

L 69-75

+4.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+6.5

FIU

W 68-66

+10.5

MOST

W 76-67

+18.5

WKU

L 87-88

+3.5

MTSU

L 66-78

−1.5

JXST

L 70-80

−2.5

KENN

L 82-90

+3.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+10.5

L 38-81

−40.5

covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−1.5

BYU

L 68-85

−11.5

SPU

W 81-70

+13.5

SIU

L 59-79

−15.5

UNCG

W 73-60

−9.5

IONA

L 66-89

+5.5

DSU

L 72-75

+17.5

W 70-58

−24.5

CSUN

L 66-88

+9.5

RID

W 65-57

−7.5

MOST

L 43-61

−27.5

JXST

L 64-67

+4.5

KENN

W 67-52

−29.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−12.5

L 68-70

+14.5

UTEP

L 69-70

+13.5

NMSU

L 68-97

+30.5

LIB

L 51-67

−16.5

NMSU

W 73-64

−0.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−3.5

LIB

L 69-75

+11.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+43.5

FIU

W 68-66

−13.5

MOST

W 76-67

+7.5

WKU

L 87-88

+35.5

MTSU

L 66-78

+6.5

JXST

L 70-80

+16.5

KENN

L 82-90

+28.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+15.5

L 38-81

−13.5

over 16under 14avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Colgate 1, Delaware 1, even 3

ColgateBetterDelaware

G J. Ahayere7.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 32

Even

G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21

F A. Alekseyenko14.9 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 75

COLGBig

G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

F S. Wright12.5 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.8 ast Score 60

No call

G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

F C. Wright1.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 8

No call

G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked

F A. Odetoyinbo1.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.2 ast Score 20

DELSmall

F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44

ColgateBetterDelaware

COLG offense205th of 366 · -6.3

Even

DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3

COLG defense214th of 366 · -5.5

Even

DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3

Backcourt-1.6 · 1 player

COLGBig

Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.5 · 4 players

Even

Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player

Bench-1.1 · 4 players

COLGSmall

Bench-2.8 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestCOLG betterDEL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Colgate

Guards

J. Ahayere25 minC. Pugh1 minJ. Niv1 minP. JonesNewB. ForrestNewI. SkinnNew

Forwards

A. Alekseyenko30 minS. Wright26 minC. Wright12 minA. Odetoyinbo11 minE. Brown7 minC. Brennan4 min

Delaware

Guards

D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR

Forwards

K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew

Centers

S. Solano4 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

COLG75.6 #154

DEL67.9 #316

Points per possession

COLG1.11 #121

DEL1.04 #269

Pace (possessions)

COLG68.6 #202

DEL65.3 #337

Shooting

Effective FG%

COLG53.3 #91

DEL53.3 #89

3-point %

COLG35.6 #81

DEL36.8 #31

3-point attempt rate

COLG35.0 #275

DEL46.2 #44

Free throw rate

COLG29.7 #316

DEL30.6 #291

Possessions

Turnover rate

COLG14.7 #50

DEL18.3 #287

Offensive rebound rate

COLG26.6 #309

DEL20.8 #362

Assists per game

COLG14.2 #130

DEL12.2 #271

Defense

Points allowed

COLG76.2 #222

DEL74.1 #156

Points allowed per possession

COLG1.11 #230

DEL1.13 #298

Opponent effective FG%

COLG52.2 #224

DEL51.5 #185

Opponent 3-point %

COLG34.8 #238

DEL35.1 #255

Turnovers forced

COLG15.2 #268

DEL14.0 #334

Defensive rebound rate

COLG70.7 #125

DEL68.9 #206

Steals per game

COLG6.1 #230

DEL5.7 #273

Blocks per game

COLG2.9 #249

DEL3.0 #219

COLG		DEL
Scoring
75.6 #154	Points per game	67.9 #316
1.11 #121	Points per possession	1.04 #269
68.6 #202	Pace (possessions)	65.3 #337
Shooting
53.3 #91	Effective FG%	53.3 #89
35.6 #81	3-point %	36.8 #31
35.0 #275	3-point attempt rate	46.2 #44
29.7 #316	Free throw rate	30.6 #291
Possessions
14.7 #50	Turnover rate	18.3 #287
26.6 #309	Offensive rebound rate	20.8 #362
14.2 #130	Assists per game	12.2 #271
Defense
76.2 #222	Points allowed	74.1 #156
1.11 #230	Points allowed per possession	1.13 #298
52.2 #224	Opponent effective FG%	51.5 #185
34.8 #238	Opponent 3-point %	35.1 #255
15.2 #268	Turnovers forced	14.0 #334
70.7 #125	Defensive rebound rate	68.9 #206
6.1 #230	Steals per game	5.7 #273
2.9 #249	Blocks per game	3.0 #219

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Colgate

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Lehigh69–76
Wvs Loyola MD90–77
L@ Navy69–85
Lvs Lafayette69–70
Wvs Loyola MD101–98

A week or more of rest.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
Wvs Sam Houston83–80
L@ Kennesaw St82–90
L@ Jax State70–80
L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.

Colgate Raiders at Delaware Blue Hens

What could decide it

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Colgate

Delaware

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Colgate

Delaware