1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. MISS @ VT
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

Ole Miss Rebels at Virginia Tech Hokies

Cassell Coliseum · at Virginia Tech
#46MISSOle Miss
@
#68VTVirginia Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MISSThis seasonVT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects VT 76–76 · win probability VT 51%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VT has more of the edges

MISS 0, VT 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VTBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MISS 33.0, VT 34.0. Allowed: MISS 41.2, VT 28.8
VTBig
Three-pointers
MISS hits 33.2% and allows 33.5%; VT hits 35.5% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 35.5% and 39.7% of their shots
VTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MISS 28.3%, VT 31.9%. Defensive: MISS 67.4%, VT 67.4%
Context
Schedule so far
MISS has played the 20th-hardest schedule, VT the 74th. A record against a soft schedule means less
VTSmall
Home court
VT at home. This season: VT 0-0 at home, MISS 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MISS 50.5 and allows 50.5; VT 52.2 and allows 50.9
Even
VT offense vs MISS defense
Offense 68th of 366 against a defense 37th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MISS 32%, VT 47%. Transfers in: MISS 8, VT 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
MISS offense vs VT defense
Offense 50th of 366 against a defense 72nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MISS 14.0%, VT 14.9%. Forced: MISS 16.5%, VT 17.3%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: MISS plays 69.5 a game (145th fastest), VT 69.8 (127th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—VT -0.2—
Total—151.7—
Projected score—MISS 75.7 · VT 76

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadVT -0.0—
1H total70.9—
1H projected scoreMISS 35.5 · VT 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Ole Miss has the better starters

Position by position: Ole Miss 2, Virginia Tech 1, even 2
Ole MissBetterVirginia Tech
G C. Stephenson TR18.1 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.6 ast Score 90
MISSSmall
G E. Copeland TR14.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 67
G I. Kamardine11.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 78
Even
G B. Hammond13.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 3.2 ast Score 89
G A. Clark TR12.7 pts · 3 reb · 4.9 ast Score 88
MISSSmall
G I. Elohim TR12.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 71
F D. Haskins TR11.1 pts · 6.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 76
Even
G T. Johnson8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 77
F R. Siulepa TR10 pts · 5.5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 77
VTSmall
F A. Hansberry14.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 92
Ole MissBetterVirginia Tech
MISS offense50th of 366 · +3.6
Even
VT defense72nd of 366 · +0.8
MISS defense37th of 366 · +3.0
Even
VT offense68th of 366 · +1.8
Backcourt+6.6 · 3 players
MISSSmall
Backcourt+4.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt+2.9 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
Bench+2.4 · 5 players
Even
Bench+1.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMISS betterVT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Ole Miss
Guards
C. Stephenson33 min · TRI. Kamardine31 minA. Clark31 min · TRP. Pinkins25 minZ. Day8 minB. HenshallNew
Forwards
D. Haskins28 min · TRR. Siulepa27 min · TRS. Trouet26 min · TRC. Brown13 min · TRD. PattonNew
Centers
M. Handlogten15 min · TRS. Cicic13 min · TR
Virginia Tech
Guards
E. Copeland32 min · TRB. Hammond32 minI. Elohim29 min · TRT. Johnson26 minJ. Curry24 min · TRB. Johnson21 min · TR
Forwards
A. Hansberry31 minM. Heide19 min · TRK. Atak14 min · TRS. Jones7 min
Centers
M. Sagnia12 min · TRS. DavisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MISSVT
Scoring
75.9 #145Points per game78.8 #85
1.09 #157Points per possession1.13 #89
69.5 #145Pace (possessions)69.8 #127
Shooting
50.5 #217Effective FG%52.2 #134
33.2 #2213-point %35.5 #88
35.5 #2583-point attempt rate39.7 #179
33.0 #238Free throw rate34.0 #209
Possessions
14.0 #23Turnover rate14.9 #60
28.3 #253Offensive rebound rate31.9 #129
13.5 #178Assists per game14.4 #122
Defense
76.1 #219Points allowed74.9 #184
1.10 #215Points allowed per possession1.07 #141
50.5 #127Opponent effective FG%50.9 #147
33.5 #151Opponent 3-point %30.6 #26
16.5 #190Turnovers forced17.3 #131
67.4 #285Defensive rebound rate67.4 #284
7.1 #118Steals per game6.4 #187
4.3 #48Blocks per game3.2 #190
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Ole Miss

15-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas90–93
  • Wvs Alabama80–79
  • Wvs Georgia76–72
  • Wvs Texas76–66
  • Lvs South Carolina61–64

A week or more of rest.

Virginia Tech

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wake Forest89–95
  • L@ Virginia72–76
  • Wvs Boston College72–63
  • L@ North Carolina82–89
  • Wvs Wake Forest82–63

A week or more of rest.