Spectrum Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
STAN -4.5✓ PITT covered by 5.5
STAN -4.5✓ PITT covered by 5.5Closing total136.5Under by 9.5
 PITT | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 12-19 | Record | 20-11 |
| 15-16 | ATS | 17-14 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 70–72 STAN · ✗ STAN (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| STAN | 23 | 40 | 63 |
1st half: PITT 31, STAN 23 (PITT by 8). The model had STAN by 0.8 and a total of 66.2 (actual 54).
Team stats
| PITT | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-66 42% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 5-6 83% |
| 41 20 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 8 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 40 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 38 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-3 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 36 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Damarco Minor G | 35 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 25 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Macari Moore G | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Kieran Mullen, Henry Lau, Brandin Cummings, Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Benny Gealer G | 35 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 22 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donavin Young F | 28 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Evan Stinson, Kristers Skrinda, Myles Jones, Chisom Okpara, Ethan Kitch, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure, Cameron Grant
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTAN -4.5
ModelSTAN -1.6
Model edgePITT +2.9
W PITT covered
Total
Market136.5
Model141.4
Model edgeOver 4.9
L Under
Projected score
PITT 69.9 · STAN 71.5
PITT 64 · STAN 63
Win probability
STAN 56%
1st half
Spread
STAN -0.8
PITT -8.0
Total
66.2
54 points
Projected score
PITT 32.7 · STAN 33.5
PITT 31 · STAN 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -4.5
no move
CloseSTAN -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▼ 3
Close136.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
PITT +180 · STAN -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -4.5 · unchangedmodel STAN -1.5
model STAN -1.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 3 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| STAN | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PITT 1–1 STANSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · PITT 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025-26 | PITT 67 @ STAN 75 | STAN -8.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | STAN 68 @ PITT 83 | PITT -9.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs CLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs SYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs NCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs WAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @ UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs SMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs DUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @ UNC | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vs ND | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 25 | @STAN | L 67-75 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @ CAL | W 72-56 | +6.5 | W +22.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 4 | vs FSU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 7 | @SYR | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
−2.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+1.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+0.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
+22.5
4
vsFSU
FSUL 74-75
+0.5
7
@SYR
SYRW 71-69
+7.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
+1.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+0.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+3.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
−15.5
4
vsFSU
FSUL 74-75
+4.5
7
@SYR
SYRW 71-69
−1.5
over 18under 13avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
31 games played
Straight up
20-11
65% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vsND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vsLOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vsUNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vsDUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vsCLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vsGT | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | @BC | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @WAKE | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @CAL | L 66-72 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | vsPITT | W 75-67 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | vsSMU | W 95-75 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 4 | @ND | W 86-78 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 7 | @NCSU | W 85-84 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+13.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
+2.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−0.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−4.5
25
vsPITT
PITTW 75-67
−0.5
28
vsSMU
SMUW 95-75
+21.5
4
@ND
NDW 86-78
+6.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUW 85-84
+10.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+15.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
−5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−11.5
25
vsPITT
PITTW 75-67
+3.5
28
vsSMU
SMUW 95-75
+14.5
4
@ND
NDW 86-78
+16.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUW 85-84
+16.5
over 14under 17avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
12-19 overall · 5-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Syracuse71–69
- Lvs Florida St74–75
- W@ California72–56
- L@ Stanford67–75
- Wvs Notre Dame73–68
3 days since their last game.
Stanford
20-11 overall · 9-9 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NC State85–84
- W@ Notre Dame86–78
- Wvs SMU95–75
- Wvs Pitt75–67
- L@ California66–72
3 days since their last game.