Moody Center · at Texas
Closing line
TEX -25.5✓ TEX covered by 11.5
TEX -25.5✓ TEX covered by 11.5Closing total153.5Over by 3.5
 LAF | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAF 62–86 TEX · ✓ TEX (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 28 | 32 | 60 |
| TEX | 46 | 51 | 97 |
1st half: LAF 28, TEX 46 (TEX by 18). The model had TEX by 14.3 and a total of 68.9 (actual 74).
Team stats
| LAF | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-55 40% | Field goals | 33-63 52% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 22-29 76% |
| 25 10 off | Rebounds | 43 16 off |
| 11 | Assists | 21 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler G | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Williams G | 31 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 31 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 8-12 | 1-4 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 21 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Malik Rasul F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Wallace G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Luke Azzinaro F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Beckett Currie, TJ Berger, Justin Vander Baan, Joshua Wyche, Chris Rubayo, Luka Savicevic
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark G | 29 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Dailyn Swain G | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 24 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Pope G | 23 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Nic Codie F | 21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 24 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Declan Duru Jr. F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Lassina Traore F | 13 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Anthon McDermott G | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Cole Bott F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Brandon Taylor, John Clark, Camden Heide
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTEX -25.5
ModelTEX -23.8
Model edgeLAF +1.7
L TEX covered
Total
Market153.5
Model147.2
Model edgeUnder 6.3
L Over
Projected score
LAF 61.7 · TEX 85.5
LAF 60 · TEX 97
Win probability
TEX 98%
1st half
Spread
TEX -14.3
TEX -18.0
Total
68.9
74 points
Projected score
LAF 27.3 · TEX 41.6
LAF 28 · TEX 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -23.5
2 → TEX
CloseTEX -25.5
2 pts toward TEX
Total
Open150.5
▲ 3
Close153.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
LAF +4000 · TEX -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -23.5 · closed TEX -25.5 · moved 2 toward TEXmodel TEX -24
model TEX -24
Opened 150.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAFlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| TEXlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lafayette
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +22.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
over 1under 0avg +22.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −18.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
over 0under 1avg −18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lafayette
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Joseph's76–85
5 days since their last game.
Texas
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duke60–75
4 days since their last game.