United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech
Closing line
TTU -27.5✓ MILW covered by 10.5
TTU -27.5✓ MILW covered by 10.5Closing total165.5Under by 22.5
 MILW | This season | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-3 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 4-0 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 68–96 TTU · ✓ TTU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 36 | 27 | 63 |
| TTU | 41 | 39 | 80 |
1st half: MILW 36, TTU 41 (TTU by 5). The model had TTU by 16.4 and a total of 76.8 (actual 77).
Team stats
| MILW | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 27-63 43% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 36 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 32 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Amar Augillard G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2-12 | 2-9 |
| Faizon Fields F | 27 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Seth Hubbard G | 26 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aaron Franklin G | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 14 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Stevie Elam G | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Dixon G | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Villarreal, John Lovelace Jr., Ned Renfree, Chandler Jackson, Simeon Murchison
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 39 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 5-13 | 4-9 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 37 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 5-9 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 31 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 31 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| JT Toppin F | 30 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Petty G | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Groves G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leon Horner, Jazz Henderson Jr., Jack Francis, Marial Akuentok, LaTrell Hoover, Josiah Moseley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTTU -27.5
ModelTTU -27.4
Model edgeMILW +0.1
W MILW covered
Total
Market165.5
Model164.1
Model edgeUnder 1.4
W Under
Projected score
MILW 68.3 · TTU 95.7
MILW 63 · TTU 80
Win probability
TTU 99%
1st half
Spread
TTU -16.4
TTU -5.0
Total
76.8
77 points
Projected score
MILW 30.2 · TTU 46.6
MILW 36 · TTU 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTTU -28.5
1 → MILW
CloseTTU -27.5
1 pt toward MILW
Total
Open161.5
▲ 4
Close165.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MILW +4000 · TTU -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TTU -28.5 · closed TTU -27.5 · moved 1 toward MILWmodel TTU -27.5 matches the line
model TTU -27.5 = line ✓
Opened 161.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 4 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILWlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 4-0 100% |
| TTUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
HAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@
WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vs
LR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@
IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
over 4under 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas Tech
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vs
SHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@
ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
over 2under 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana70–101
- Wvs Little Rock92–72
- L@ Wofford76–86
- Wvs Hampton90–86
2 days since their last game.
Texas Tech
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois77–81
- Wvs Sam Houston98–77
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions98–60
3 days since their last game.