Spectrum Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
STAN -4.5✓ PITT covered by 5.5
Closing total136.5Under by 9.5
| This season | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-19 | Record | 20-11 |
| 15-16 | ATS | 17-14 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 70–72 STAN · ✗ STAN (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| STAN | 23 | 40 | 63 |
1st half: PITT 31, STAN 23 (PITT by 8). The model had STAN by 0.8 and a total of 66.2 (actual 54).
Team stats
| PITT | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-66 42% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 5-6 83% |
| 41 20 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 8 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 40 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 38 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-3 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 36 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Damarco Minor G | 35 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 25 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Macari Moore G | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Kieran Mullen, Henry Lau, Brandin Cummings, Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Benny Gealer G | 35 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 22 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donavin Young F | 28 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Evan Stinson, Kristers Skrinda, Myles Jones, Chisom Okpara, Ethan Kitch, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure, Cameron Grant
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -4.5
no move
CloseSTAN -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▼ 3
Close136.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
PITT +180 · STAN -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -4.5 · unchangedmodel STAN -1.5
model STAN -1.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 3 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STAN -4.5 | STAN -1.6 | PITT +2.9 | W PITT covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 141.4 | Over 4.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PITT 69.9 · STAN 71.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STAN -0.8 | PITT -8.0 |
| 1H total | 66.2 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | PITT 32.7 · STAN 33.5 | PITT 31 · STAN 23 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PITT 1–1 STANSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · PITT 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025-26 | PITT 67 @ STAN 75 | STAN -8.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | STAN 68 @ PITT 83 | PITT -9.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @ | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 67-75 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 72-56 | +6.5 | W +22.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 4 | vs | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
YSU
W 74-59
+0.5
7
vs
LONG
W 78-60
+3.5
10
vs
EMU
W 78-66
−3.5
13
@
WVU
L 49-71
−16.5
17
vs
BUCK
W 84-50
+17.5
20
vs
UCF
L 67-77
−11.5
23
vs
QUIN
L 75-83
−20.5
28
vs
OSU
W 67-66
+6.5
2
vs
TA&M
L 73-81
−4.5
7
vs
HOF
L 73-80
−15.5
13
@
VILL
L 61-79
−7.5
17
vs
BING
W 103-63
+15.5
21
vs
PSU
W 80-46
+35.5
30
@
MIA
L 69-76
+2.5
3
vs
CLEM
L 68-73
−1.5
10
vs
SYR
L 72-83
−12.5
14
@
GT
W 89-66
+21.5
17
vs
LOU
L 59-100
−33.5
21
@
BC
L 62-65
−5.5
24
vs
NCSU
L 72-81
−2.5
27
vs
WAKE
W 80-76
+2.5
31
@
CLEM
L 52-63
−0.5
3
@
UVA
L 47-67
−7.5
7
vs
SMU
L 67-86
−14.5
10
vs
DUKE
L 54-70
+1.5
14
@
UNC
L 65-79
−2.5
21
vs
ND
W 73-68
+1.5
25
@
STAN
L 67-75
+0.5
28
@
CAL
W 72-56
+22.5
4
vs
FSU
L 74-75
+0.5
7
@
SYR
W 71-69
+7.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
YSU
W 74-59
−12.5
7
vs
LONG
W 78-60
−7.5
10
vs
EMU
W 78-66
+2.5
13
@
WVU
L 49-71
−14.5
17
vs
BUCK
W 84-50
−7.5
20
vs
UCF
L 67-77
−5.5
23
vs
QUIN
L 75-83
+17.5
28
vs
OSU
W 67-66
−15.5
2
vs
TA&M
L 73-81
+1.5
7
vs
HOF
L 73-80
+18.5
13
@
VILL
L 61-79
+1.5
17
vs
BING
W 103-63
+31.5
21
vs
PSU
W 80-46
−20.5
30
@
MIA
L 69-76
+0.5
3
vs
CLEM
L 68-73
+5.5
10
vs
SYR
L 72-83
+12.5
14
@
GT
W 89-66
+9.5
17
vs
LOU
L 59-100
+6.5
21
@
BC
L 62-65
−10.5
24
vs
NCSU
L 72-81
+8.5
27
vs
WAKE
W 80-76
+5.5
31
@
CLEM
L 52-63
−20.5
3
@
UVA
L 47-67
−28.5
7
vs
SMU
L 67-86
+5.5
10
vs
DUKE
L 54-70
−12.5
14
@
UNC
L 65-79
+1.5
21
vs
ND
W 73-68
+0.5
25
@
STAN
L 67-75
+3.5
28
@
CAL
W 72-56
−15.5
4
vs
FSU
L 74-75
+4.5
7
@
SYR
W 71-69
−1.5
over 18under 13avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
31 games played
Straight up
20-11
65% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vs | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | @ | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 66-72 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 75-67 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 95-75 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 4 | @ | W 86-78 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 85-84 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
PRST
W 89-79
−1.5
8
vs
MONT
W 91-68
+10.5
12
vs
MTST
W 77-68
−5.5
18
vs
UL
W 93-66
+6.5
21
vs
SEA
L 69-77
−18.5
27
vs
MINN
W 72-68
+1.5
28
vs
SLU
W 78-77
+2.5
1
vs
PORT
W 94-72
+2.5
7
vs
UNLV
L 74-75
−10.5
13
@
SJSU
W 86-82
−4.5
17
vs
UTA
W 76-60
+5.5
20
vs
COLO
W 77-68
+11.5
27
vs
CSUN
W 88-80
−7.5
30
vs
ND
L 40-47
−13.5
2
vs
LOU
W 80-76
+11.5
7
@
VT
W 69-68
+4.5
10
@
UVA
L 55-70
−2.5
14
vs
UNC
W 95-90
+9.5
17
vs
DUKE
L 50-80
−18.5
24
vs
CAL
L 66-78
−16.5
28
@
MIA
L 70-79
+0.5
31
@
FSU
L 80-88
−4.5
4
vs
CLEM
L 64-66
+1.5
7
vs
GT
W 95-72
+13.5
11
@
BC
W 70-64
+2.5
14
@
WAKE
L 63-68
−0.5
21
@
CAL
L 66-72
−4.5
25
vs
PITT
W 75-67
−0.5
28
vs
SMU
W 95-75
+21.5
4
@
ND
W 86-78
+6.5
7
@
NCSU
W 85-84
+10.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
PRST
W 89-79
+23.5
8
vs
MONT
W 91-68
+8.5
12
vs
MTST
W 77-68
−3.5
18
vs
UL
W 93-66
+19.5
21
vs
SEA
L 69-77
−6.5
27
vs
MINN
W 72-68
−2.5
28
vs
SLU
W 78-77
−5.5
1
vs
PORT
W 94-72
+9.5
7
vs
UNLV
L 74-75
−15.5
13
@
SJSU
W 86-82
+22.5
17
vs
UTA
W 76-60
−3.5
20
vs
COLO
W 77-68
−9.5
27
vs
CSUN
W 88-80
+7.5
30
vs
ND
L 40-47
−56.5
2
vs
LOU
W 80-76
−1.5
7
@
VT
W 69-68
−11.5
10
@
UVA
L 55-70
−18.5
14
vs
UNC
W 95-90
+37.5
17
vs
DUKE
L 50-80
−18.5
24
vs
CAL
L 66-78
−2.5
28
@
MIA
L 70-79
+1.5
31
@
FSU
L 80-88
+15.5
4
vs
CLEM
L 64-66
−8.5
7
vs
GT
W 95-72
+15.5
11
@
BC
W 70-64
−5.5
14
@
WAKE
L 63-68
−19.5
21
@
CAL
L 66-72
−11.5
25
vs
PITT
W 75-67
+3.5
28
vs
SMU
W 95-75
+14.5
4
@
ND
W 86-78
+16.5
7
@
NCSU
W 85-84
+16.5
over 14under 17avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
12-19 overall · 5-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Syracuse71–69
- Lvs Florida St74–75
- W@ California72–56
- L@ Stanford67–75
- Wvs Notre Dame73–68
3 days since their last game.
Stanford
20-11 overall · 9-9 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NC State85–84
- W@ Notre Dame86–78
- Wvs SMU95–75
- Wvs Pitt75–67
- L@ California66–72
3 days since their last game.