Mizzou Arena · at Missouri
Closing line
MIZ -25.5✓ SEMO covered by 20.5
MIZ -25.5✓ SEMO covered by 20.5Closing total157.5Over by 15.5
 SEMO | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEMO 63–89 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 51 | 33 | 84 |
| MIZ | 46 | 43 | 89 |
1st half: SEMO 51, MIZ 46 (SEMO by 5). The model had MIZ by 15.5 and a total of 71.2 (actual 97).
Team stats
| SEMO | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-63 46% | Field goals | 32-54 59% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 19-31 61% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 30 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 11 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 25 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward G | 37 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 34 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 9-20 | 5-13 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 32 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 8-14 | 3-8 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Brendan Terry F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Idada C | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Landren Blocker G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Marqueas Bell G | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trace Sadler F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PJ Farmer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saxton Hoepker, Jay Reynolds
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Robinson II G | 36 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 32 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 12-14 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 21 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jevon Porter F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Stone G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Jacob Crews G | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Luke Northweather F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trent Burns, Annor Boateng, Nicholas Randall, Aaron Rowe, Trent Pierce
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIZ -25.5
ModelMIZ -25.8
Model edgeMIZ +0.3
L SEMO covered
Total
Market157.5
Model152.1
Model edgeUnder 5.4
L Over
Projected score
SEMO 63.1 · MIZ 89
SEMO 84 · MIZ 89
Win probability
MIZ 99%
1st half
Spread
MIZ -15.5
SEMO -5.0
Total
71.2
97 points
Projected score
SEMO 27.8 · MIZ 43.4
SEMO 51 · MIZ 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -22.5
3 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -25.5
3 pts toward MIZ
Total
Open156.5
▲ 1
Close157.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SEMO +3000 · MIZ -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -22.5 · closed MIZ -25.5 · moved 3 toward MIZmodel MIZ -26
model MIZ -26
Opened 156.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMOlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| MIZlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SEMO 0–1 MIZMIZ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SEMO 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022-23 | SEMO 89 @ MIZ 96 | MIZ -21.5 | SEMO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SE Missouri
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SLU | L 67-92 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
−5.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
+5.5
over 1under 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
over 0under 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SE Missouri
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Louis67–92
4 days since their last game.
Missouri
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Howard88–67
4 days since their last game.