The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss
Closing line
MISS -37.5✓ ULM covered by 16.5
MISS -37.5✓ ULM covered by 16.5Closing total149.5Over by 1.5
 ULM | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ULM 61–95 MISS · ✓ MISS (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 28 | 37 | 65 |
| MISS | 47 | 39 | 86 |
1st half: ULM 28, MISS 47 (MISS by 19). The model had MISS by 20.5 and a total of 72.8 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ULM | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-59 37% | Field goals | 31-66 47% |
| 11-31 35% | 3-pointers | 15-33 45% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 43 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ULM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Lewis G | 35 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| MJ Russell G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-19 | 1-6 |
| Alex Molofeev G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Renars Sondors F | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Dylan Diaz G | 24 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Micah Caster G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Alex Huguet F | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Przemek Hartman C | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Wiggy Ball G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ajay Tew G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Brady Craig, Cam Campbell, Brentay Noel, Lavell Brodnex
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 25 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| James Scott F | 24 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| AJ Storr G | 22 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Malik Dia F | 19 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Travis Perry G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Corey Chest F | 16 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Hobert Grayson IV G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Koren Johnson G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Niko Bundalo F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Max Smith G | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMISS -37.5
ModelMISS -33.9
Model edgeULM +3.6
W ULM covered
Total
Market149.5
Model155.5
Model edgeOver 6.0
W Over
Projected score
ULM 60.8 · MISS 94.7
ULM 65 · MISS 86
Win probability
MISS 100%
1st half
Spread
MISS -20.5
MISS -19.0
Total
72.8
75 points
Projected score
ULM 26.1 · MISS 46.6
ULM 28 · MISS 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMISS -33.5
4 → MISS
CloseMISS -37.5
4 pts toward MISS
Total
Open151.5
▼ 2
Close149.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MISS -33.5 · closed MISS -37.5 · moved 4 toward MISSmodel MISS -34
model MISS -34
Opened 151.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULMlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| MISSlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UL Monroe
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −12.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +36.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NIU | L 82-102 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
−12.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
+36.5
over 1under 0avg +36.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
over 1under 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UL Monroe
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Illinois82–102
4 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SE Louisiana88–58
4 days since their last game.