SECU Arena · at Towson
Closing line
TOW -13.5✓ NORF covered by 3.5
TOW -13.5✓ NORF covered by 3.5Closing total138.5Under by 46.5
 NORF | This season | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NORF 64–75 TOW · ✓ TOW (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORF | 26 | 15 | 41 |
| TOW | 22 | 29 | 51 |
1st half: NORF 26, TOW 22 (NORF by 4). The model had TOW by 6.5 and a total of 65.0 (actual 48).
Team stats
| NORF | TOW | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-65 28% | Field goals | 17-59 29% |
| 2-16 13% | 3-pointers | 6-34 18% |
| 3-11 27% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 48 17 off | Rebounds | 50 16 off |
| 5 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| NORF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony McComb III G | 35 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2-13 | 1-6 |
| Devon Ellis F | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Jordan Leaks G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Adrean Newton G | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Keyontae Lewis F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Jamison G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-1 |
| Jaquel Morris F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| My'kel Jenkins G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Dian Wright-Forde G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Melo Baines F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dramane Camara, Mekhi Reid, Ahmad Torrence, Yel Deeng, Ryan Williams
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tejada F | 39 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-6 |
| Dylan Williamson G | 38 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-9 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 30 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 20 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Schmidt G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 16 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Mor Seck C | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Conway G | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Abdou Samb F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaiden Cole G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Ryan Skerry, Tyler Coleman, Jon Barton, Brandon Holmes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTOW -13.5
ModelTOW -11.0
Model edgeNORF +2.5
W NORF covered
Total
Market138.5
Model138.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
NORF 63.9 · TOW 74.9
NORF 41 · TOW 51
Win probability
TOW 83%
1st half
Spread
TOW -6.5
NORF -4.0
Total
65.0
48 points
Projected score
NORF 29.3 · TOW 35.8
NORF 26 · TOW 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOW -10.5
3 → TOW
CloseTOW -13.5
3 pts toward TOW
Total
Open136.5
▲ 2
Close138.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
NORF +750 · TOW -1400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOW -10.5 · closed TOW -13.5 · moved 3 toward TOWmodel TOW -11
model TOW -11
Opened 136.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 2 upmodel 138.5 matches the line
model 138.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORFlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| TOWlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Norfolk St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −16 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
W&M
W&ML 78-81
−0.5
11
@
ODU
ODUL 57-60
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
+0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
−32.5
over 1under 1avg −16 ptslonger = bigger margin
Towson
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −18 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
L-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@
HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
over 0under 2avg −18 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Norfolk St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Old Dominion57–60
- Lvs William & Mary78–81
3 days since their last game.
Towson
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Houston48–65
- Wvs Loyola MD67–56
6 days since their last game.