Galen Center · at USC · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -4.5✓ UCLA covered by 16.5
UCLA -4.5✓ UCLA covered by 16.5Closing total151.5Over by 5.5
| UCLA | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 20-10 | Record | 17-12 |
| 13-17 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 15-15 | O/U | 15-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCLA 79–76 USC · ✓ UCLA (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 45 | 44 | 89 |
| USC | 30 | 38 | 68 |
1st half: UCLA 45, USC 30 (UCLA by 15). The model had UCLA by 2.2 and a total of 72.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| UCLA | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-59 58% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 9-17 53% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 26 7 off |
| 19 | Assists | 23 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 34 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 11-15 | 1-1 |
| Skyy Clark G | 34 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Trent Perry G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 29 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 7-10 | 2-2 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 23 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Freeny G | 18 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Brandon Williams F | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Xavier Booker C | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Brown G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Seidler G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Peoples Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Christian Horry, Evan Manjikian
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Ausar F | 35 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 33 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Kam Woods G | 29 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Alijah Arenas G | 27 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 7-18 | 3-7 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Marsh G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Jerry Easter II G | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| EJ Neal Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin, Rodney Rice
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -5.5
1 → USC
CloseUCLA -4.5
1 pt toward USC
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UCLA -230 · USC +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -5.5 · closed UCLA -4.5 · moved 1 toward USCmodel UCLA -3.5
model UCLA -3.5
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 | UCLA -3.5 | USC +1.0 | L UCLA covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 154.6 | Over 3.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UCLA 79 · USC 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCLA -2.2 | UCLA -15.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | UCLA 37.2 · USC 35.1 | UCLA 45 · USC 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| USC | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UCLA 7–3 USCUCLA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UCLA has won the last 3 meetings · UCLA 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025-26 | USC 62 @ UCLA 81 | UCLA -6.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | USC 63 @ UCLA 90 | UCLA -9.5 | UCLA W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | UCLA 82 @ USC 76 | USC +1.5 | UCLA W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | USC 62 @ UCLA 56 | UCLA -4.5 | USC W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UCLA 65 @ USC 50 | USC -4.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCLA
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs PUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs NU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ORE | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs IU | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | vs RUTG | W 98-66 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vsWASH | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ MICH | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @ MSU | L 59-82 | +8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 21 | vs ILL | W 95-94 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 24 | vsUSC | W 81-62 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | @ MINN | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 3 | vs NEB | W 72-52 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
+11.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
−4.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+18.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
−0.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
17
@MSU
MSUL 59-82
−14.5
21
vsILL
ILLW 95-94
+7.5
24
vsUSC
USCW 81-62
+12.5
28
@MINN
MINNL 73-78
−6.5
3
vsNEB
NEBW 72-52
+18.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
−6.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
+50.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+21.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
+5.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
17
@MSU
MSUL 59-82
+1.5
21
vsILL
ILLW 95-94
+42.5
24
vsUSC
USCW 81-62
−7.5
28
@MINN
MINNL 73-78
+14.5
3
vsNEB
NEBW 72-52
−20.5
over 15under 15avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
29 games played
Straight up
17-12
59% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsCP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vsASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vsWASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vsMD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vsPUR | L 64-69 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | vsNU | L 68-74 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | @WIS | W 73-71 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @IOWA | L 72-73 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 31 | vsRUTG | W 78-75 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 3 | vsIU | W 81-75 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 8 | @PSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 11 | @OSU | L 82-89 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | vsILL | L 65-101 | +8.5 | L −27.5 | 151.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 21 | vsORE | L 70-71 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | @UCLA | L 62-81 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | vsNEB | L 67-82 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 4 | @WASH | L 72-91 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
+4.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−12.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
+9.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+8.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
−8.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+7.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−1.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+0.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
−27.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−6.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−12.5
28
vsNEB
NEBL 67-82
−9.5
4
@WASH
WASHL 72-91
−13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
−22.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−7.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
−14.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+3.5
31
vsRUTG
RUTGW 78-75
+6.5
3
vsIU
IUW 81-75
+2.5
8
@PSU
PSUW 77-75
−5.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 82-89
+18.5
18
vsILL
ILLL 65-101
+14.5
21
vsORE
OREL 70-71
−8.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-81
−7.5
28
vsNEB
NEBL 67-82
−0.5
4
@WASH
WASHL 72-91
+12.5
over 15under 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCLA
20-10 overall · 12-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nebraska72–52
- L@ Minnesota73–78
- Wvs USC81–62
- Wvs Illinois95–94
- L@ Michigan St59–82
4 days since their last game.
USC
17-12 overall · 7-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington72–91
- Lvs Nebraska67–82
- L@ UCLA62–81
- Lvs Oregon70–71
- Lvs Illinois65–101
3 days since their last game.