Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
#177RICERice
@
#85STANStanford
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: Rice and Stanford
RICEThis seasonSTAN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects STAN 81–65 · win probability STAN 92%
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Winner
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 146.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
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No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: STAN has more of the edges

RICE 0, STAN 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
STANBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RICE 17.9%, STAN 15.5%. Forced: RICE 15.7%, STAN 18.0%
STANBig
RICE offense vs STAN defense
Offense 210th of 366 against a defense 79th, on the model’s ratings
STANSmall
STAN offense vs RICE defense
Offense 88th of 366 against a defense 163rd, on the model’s ratings
STANSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: RICE 48.5 and allows 51.0; STAN 51.5 and allows 51.0
STANSmall
Three-pointers
RICE hits 34.3% and allows 34.0%; STAN hits 35.2% and allows 33.0%. Threes are 44.1% and 44.0% of their shots
STANSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RICE 35.3%, STAN 32.5%. Defensive: RICE 65.4%, STAN 70.2%
STANSmall
Home court
STAN at home. This season: STAN 0-0 at home, RICE 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
RICE has played the 116th-hardest schedule, STAN the 76th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RICE 44%, STAN 27%. Transfers in: RICE 3, STAN 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: RICE 33.9, STAN 35.5. Allowed: RICE 40.4, STAN 40.3
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: RICE plays 67.9 a game (236th fastest), STAN 68.1 (225th). Faster games mean more points

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—STAN -16.0—
Total—146.7—
Projected score—RICE 65.3 · STAN 81.3

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadSTAN -9.4—
1H total68.6—
1H projected scoreRICE 29.6 · STAN 39—

Stanford has the better starters

Position by position: Rice 0, Stanford 4, even 1
RiceBetterStanford
G C. Adkins TR13.1 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 50
STANSmall
G C. Bliss TR16.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 5.9 ast Score 84
G C. Carroll6.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 2 ast Score 19
STANBig
F N. Townsend TR16.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 93
G D. Hobbs4.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Cammann6.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 56
F J. Elouna Eyenga TR3.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
STANSmall
F D. Young2.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 26
F E. Eguagie5.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 24
STANBig
C A. Maurer TR7.2 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 70
RiceBetterStanford
RICE offense210th of 366 · -6.4
STANBig
STAN defense79th of 366 · +0.4
RICE defense163rd of 366 · -3.6
STANSmall
STAN offense88th of 366 · +0.2
Backcourt-4.8 · 3 players
STANBig
Backcourt+2.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt-3.4 · 2 players
STANBig
Frontcourt+4.6 · 4 players
Bench-1.4 · 4 players
STANSmall
Bench-0.1 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestRICE betterSTAN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Rice
Guards
C. Adkins31 min · TRC. Carroll24 minD. Hobbs18 minJ. Dar10 min · TRB. Howell10 minC. Andrews-HeitzNew
Forwards
J. Elouna Eyenga18 min · TRE. Eguagie17 minJ. Oladokun17 minE. Cochran2 minA. LeethNewZ. FlasarNew
Stanford
Guards
C. Bliss40 min · TRE. Kitch1 minA. BatsonNewM. JonesNewJ. PriceNewI. RogersNew
Forwards
N. Townsend34 min · TRA. Cammann22 minD. Young15 minK. Skrinda6 minE. Stinson5 minT. Toure4 min
Centers
A. Maurer18 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RICESTAN
Scoring
72.0 #240Points per game76.0 #142
1.06 #229Points per possession1.12 #108
67.9 #236Pace (possessions)68.1 #225
Shooting
48.5 #303Effective FG%51.5 #173
34.3 #1533-point %35.2 #103
44.1 #863-point attempt rate44.0 #89
33.9 #214Free throw rate35.5 #165
Possessions
17.9 #265Turnover rate15.5 #105
35.3 #38Offensive rebound rate32.5 #109
11.3 #320Assists per game11.8 #299
Defense
76.8 #235Points allowed73.0 #132
1.13 #294Points allowed per possession1.07 #136
51.0 #160Opponent effective FG%51.0 #158
34.0 #184Opponent 3-point %33.0 #118
15.7 #236Turnovers forced18.0 #99
65.4 #329Defensive rebound rate70.2 #149
6.5 #185Steals per game7.8 #53
3.9 #91Blocks per game3.9 #93

Rice

11-18 in 2025-26 overall · 7-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs UTSA80–71
  • L@ North Texas58–62
  • W@ Temple80–74
  • Lvs South Florida56–75
  • L@ Tulane75–81

A week or more of rest.

Stanford

20-13 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs West Virginia77–82
  • Lvs Pitt63–64
  • W@ NC State85–84
  • W@ Notre Dame86–78
  • Wvs SMU95–75

A week or more of rest.