1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. RICE vs LAM
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

Rice Owls vs Lamar Cardinals

The Reef · Neutral site
#177RICERice
vs
#293LAMLamar
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RICEThis seasonLAM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RICE 73–68 · win probability RICE 64%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 140.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RICE has more of the edges

RICE 4, LAM 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
RICE has played the 116th-hardest schedule, LAM the 328th. A record against a soft schedule means less
RICEBig
LAM offense vs RICE defense
Offense 334th of 366 against a defense 163rd, on the model’s ratings
LAMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RICE 35.3%, LAM 35.7%. Defensive: RICE 65.4%, LAM 70.6%
RICESmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: RICE 33.9, LAM 27.9. Allowed: RICE 40.4, LAM 44.4
RICESmall
Three-pointers
RICE hits 34.3% and allows 34.0%; LAM hits 32.9% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 44.1% and 33.9% of their shots
RICESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RICE 44%, LAM 0%. Transfers in: RICE 3, LAM 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
LAMSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RICE 17.9%, LAM 18.1%. Forced: RICE 15.7%, LAM 17.3%
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: RICE plays 67.9 a game (236th fastest), LAM 66.1 (311th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: RICE 48.5 and allows 51.0; LAM 47.8 and allows 50.9
Even
RICE offense vs LAM defense
Offense 210th of 366 against a defense 213th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RICE -4.3—
Total—140.7—
Projected score—RICE 72.5 · LAM 68.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRICE -2.6—
1H total65.9—
1H projected scoreRICE 34.3 · LAM 31.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Rice has the better starters

Position by position: Rice 1, Lamar 0, even 4
RiceBetterLamar
G C. Adkins TR13.1 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 50
Even
G F. Radakovic TR9.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 38
G C. Carroll6.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 2 ast Score 19
Even
G N. Moretti TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 3.2 ast Score 24
G D. Hobbs4.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2 ast Not ranked
No call
G Q. Berry TR6.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.2 ast Score 61
F J. Elouna Eyenga TR3.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
Even
G M. Collins TR1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 1 ast Score 12
F E. Eguagie5.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 24
RICESmall
F M. Ljubicic TR5.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 7
RiceBetterLamar
RICE offense210th of 366 · -6.4
Even
LAM defense213th of 366 · -5.4
RICE defense163rd of 366 · -3.6
RICEBig
LAM offense334th of 366 · -10.9
Backcourt-4.8 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-4.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-3.4 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.4 · 1 player
Bench-1.4 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestRICE betterLAM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Rice
Guards
C. Adkins31 min · TRC. Carroll24 minD. Hobbs18 minJ. Dar10 min · TRB. Howell10 minC. Andrews-HeitzNew
Forwards
J. Elouna Eyenga18 min · TRE. Eguagie17 minJ. Oladokun17 minE. Cochran2 minA. LeethNewZ. FlasarNew
Lamar
Guards
F. Radakovic27 min · TRN. Moretti27 min · TRQ. Berry18 min · TRM. Collins9 min · TRJ. JonesNewS. LynchNew
Forwards
M. Ljubicic20 min · TRM. Reed7 min · TRC. HinkerNewA. AgotNewD. EasonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RICELAM
Scoring
72.0 #240Points per game68.4 #308
1.06 #229Points per possession1.04 #279
67.9 #236Pace (possessions)66.1 #311
Shooting
48.5 #303Effective FG%47.8 #318
34.3 #1533-point %32.9 #238
44.1 #863-point attempt rate33.9 #297
33.9 #214Free throw rate27.9 #344
Possessions
17.9 #265Turnover rate18.1 #273
35.3 #38Offensive rebound rate35.7 #31
11.3 #320Assists per game13.9 #157
Defense
76.8 #235Points allowed70.5 #64
1.13 #294Points allowed per possession1.07 #122
51.0 #160Opponent effective FG%50.9 #153
34.0 #184Opponent 3-point %35.3 #266
15.7 #236Turnovers forced17.3 #130
65.4 #329Defensive rebound rate70.6 #130
6.5 #185Steals per game6.1 #227
3.9 #91Blocks per game4.2 #54
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Rice

11-18 in 2025-26 overall · 7-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs UTSA80–71
  • L@ North Texas58–62
  • W@ Temple80–74
  • Lvs South Florida56–75
  • L@ Tulane75–81

A week or more of rest.

Lamar

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Hou Christian53–75
  • L@ Incarnate Word60–72
  • Lvs Nicholls52–53
  • Lvs LSU N Orleans71–77
  • L@ UT Rio Grande65–70

A week or more of rest.