1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. RICE vs OHIO
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Rice Owls vs Ohio Bobcats

The Reef · Neutral site
#177RICERice
vs
#128OHIOOhio
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RICEThis seasonOHIO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OHIO 80–75 · win probability OHIO 64%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 155.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

RICE 3, OHIO 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RICEBig
Three-pointers
RICE hits 34.3% and allows 34.0%; OHIO hits 30.1% and allows 36.8%. Threes are 44.1% and 38.1% of their shots
OHIOSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RICE 17.9%, OHIO 15.4%. Forced: RICE 15.7%, OHIO 16.2%
RICESmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RICE 35.3%, OHIO 28.4%. Defensive: RICE 65.4%, OHIO 67.2%
OHIOSmall
OHIO offense vs RICE defense
Offense 81st of 366 against a defense 163rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: RICE plays 67.9 a game (236th fastest), OHIO 71.0 (78th). Faster games mean more points
OHIOSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: RICE 33.9, OHIO 36.9. Allowed: RICE 40.4, OHIO 38.2
RICESmall
RICE offense vs OHIO defense
Offense 210th of 366 against a defense 260th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
RICE has played the 116th-hardest schedule, OHIO the 162nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RICE 44%, OHIO 41%. Transfers in: RICE 3, OHIO 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: RICE 48.5 and allows 51.0; OHIO 51.0 and allows 53.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—OHIO -4.3—
Total—155.0—
Projected score—RICE 75.4 · OHIO 79.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadOHIO -2.4—
1H total72.4—
1H projected scoreRICE 35 · OHIO 37.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Ohio has the better starters

Position by position: Rice 0, Ohio 3, even 2
RiceBetterOhio
G C. Adkins TR13.1 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 50
OHIOBig
G J. Paveletzke17.8 pts · 3 reb · 5.1 ast Score 89
G C. Carroll6.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 2 ast Score 19
OHIOBig
G K. D'Augustino TR19.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.3 ast Score 79
G D. Hobbs4.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2 ast Not ranked
No call
G K. Mitchell TR13.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.6 ast Score 76
F J. Elouna Eyenga TR3.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
Even
G J. Burris3.1 pts · 1 reb · 0.1 ast Score 11
F E. Eguagie5.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 24
OHIOBig
F J. Simmons15.4 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 90
RiceBetterOhio
RICE offense210th of 366 · -6.4
Even
OHIO defense260th of 366 · -6.7
RICE defense163rd of 366 · -3.6
OHIOSmall
OHIO offense81st of 366 · +0.5
Backcourt-4.8 · 3 players
OHIOBig
Backcourt+4.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt-3.4 · 2 players
OHIOBig
Frontcourt+3.0 · 1 player
Bench-1.4 · 4 players
OHIOSmall
Bench-0.4 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestRICE betterOHIO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Rice
Guards
C. Adkins31 min · TRC. Carroll24 minD. Hobbs18 minJ. Dar10 min · TRB. Howell10 minC. Andrews-HeitzNew
Forwards
J. Elouna Eyenga18 min · TRE. Eguagie17 minJ. Oladokun17 minE. Cochran2 minA. LeethNewZ. FlasarNew
Ohio
Guards
J. Paveletzke37 minK. D'Augustino33 min · TRK. Mitchell31 min · TRJ. Burris10 minC. ReeseNewS. LedegenNew
Forwards
J. Simmons28 minK. Kuany8 minZ. MosleyNewC. TrudicNewJ. BowensNewD. MakitanNew
Centers
M. IckeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RICEOHIO
Scoring
72.0 #240Points per game76.7 #126
1.06 #229Points per possession1.08 #194
67.9 #236Pace (possessions)71.0 #78
Shooting
48.5 #303Effective FG%51.0 #197
34.3 #1533-point %30.1 #341
44.1 #863-point attempt rate38.1 #211
33.9 #214Free throw rate36.9 #132
Possessions
17.9 #265Turnover rate15.4 #97
35.3 #38Offensive rebound rate28.4 #248
11.3 #320Assists per game12.6 #242
Defense
76.8 #235Points allowed80.0 #319
1.13 #294Points allowed per possession1.13 #295
51.0 #160Opponent effective FG%53.0 #269
34.0 #184Opponent 3-point %36.8 #340
15.7 #236Turnovers forced16.2 #213
65.4 #329Defensive rebound rate67.2 #289
6.5 #185Steals per game5.7 #267
3.9 #91Blocks per game3.4 #163
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Rice

11-18 in 2025-26 overall · 7-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs UTSA80–71
  • L@ North Texas58–62
  • W@ Temple80–74
  • Lvs South Florida56–75
  • L@ Tulane75–81

A week or more of rest.

Ohio

13-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Mid-American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Kent State75–86
  • Lvs Miami OH108–110
  • L@ UMass82–94
  • Lvs Toledo67–79
  • W@ N Illinois74–66

A week or more of rest.