1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. UCI @ STAN
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

UC Irvine Anteaters at Stanford Cardinal

Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
#149UCIUC Irvine
@
#85STANStanford
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UCIThis seasonSTAN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects STAN 79–67 · win probability STAN 85%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: STAN has more of the edges

UCI 1, STAN 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UCIBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UCI 36.0, STAN 35.5. Allowed: UCI 26.7, STAN 40.3
Context
Schedule so far
UCI has played the 215th-hardest schedule, STAN the 76th. A record against a soft schedule means less
STANSmall
UCI offense vs STAN defense
Offense 187th of 366 against a defense 79th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: UCI plays 71.5 a game (51st fastest), STAN 68.1 (225th). Faster games mean more points
STANSmall
Three-pointers
UCI hits 33.6% and allows 33.7%; STAN hits 35.2% and allows 33.0%. Threes are 28.0% and 44.0% of their shots
STANSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UCI 30.9%, STAN 32.5%. Defensive: UCI 68.8%, STAN 70.2%
STANSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UCI 17.8%, STAN 15.5%. Forced: UCI 18.8%, STAN 18.0%
STANSmall
Home court
STAN at home. This season: STAN 0-0 at home, UCI 0-0 away
Even
STAN offense vs UCI defense
Offense 88th of 366 against a defense 126th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UCI 44%, STAN 27%. Transfers in: UCI 2, STAN 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UCI 49.5 and allows 45.9; STAN 51.5 and allows 51.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—STAN -11.9—
Total—145.5—
Projected score—UCI 66.8 · STAN 78.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSTAN -7.0—
1H total68.1—
1H projected scoreUCI 30.6 · STAN 37.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Stanford has the better starters

Position by position: UC Irvine 1, Stanford 2, even 2
UC IrvineBetterStanford
G T. Isaac6 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17
STANBig
G C. Bliss TR16.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 5.9 ast Score 84
G N. Cooper TR11.8 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 89
Even
F N. Townsend TR16.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 93
G J. Jester6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63
Even
F A. Cammann6.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 56
F H. Carrington7.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 84
UCIBig
F D. Young2.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 26
F E. Chol4.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 28
STANBig
C A. Maurer TR7.2 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 70
UC IrvineBetterStanford
UCI offense187th of 366 · -5.8
STANSmall
STAN defense79th of 366 · +0.4
UCI defense126th of 366 · -2.3
Even
STAN offense88th of 366 · +0.2
Backcourt-0.5 · 3 players
STANBig
Backcourt+2.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt+0.3 · 2 players
STANBig
Frontcourt+4.6 · 4 players
Bench-1.3 · 3 players
STANSmall
Bench-0.1 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUCI betterSTAN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UC Irvine
Guards
T. Isaac27 minN. Cooper25 min · TRJ. Jester16 minB. Egbo4 minL. RedfieldNewT. LeeNew
Forwards
H. Carrington17 minE. Chol17 minM. HodgesNewP. SpeesNewD. BenthoNew
Centers
N. Emeneke8 minO. Rioux2 min · TR
Stanford
Guards
C. Bliss40 min · TRE. Kitch1 minA. BatsonNewM. JonesNewJ. PriceNewI. RogersNew
Forwards
N. Townsend34 min · TRA. Cammann22 minD. Young15 minK. Skrinda6 minE. Stinson5 minT. Toure4 min
Centers
A. Maurer18 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UCISTAN
Scoring
74.2 #188Points per game76.0 #142
1.04 #278Points per possession1.12 #108
71.5 #51Pace (possessions)68.1 #225
Shooting
49.5 #268Effective FG%51.5 #173
33.6 #1913-point %35.2 #103
28.0 #3593-point attempt rate44.0 #89
36.0 #152Free throw rate35.5 #165
Possessions
17.8 #257Turnover rate15.5 #105
30.9 #166Offensive rebound rate32.5 #109
14.8 #103Assists per game11.8 #299
Defense
69.4 #54Points allowed73.0 #132
0.97 #7Points allowed per possession1.07 #136
45.9 #9Opponent effective FG%51.0 #158
33.7 #167Opponent 3-point %33.0 #118
18.8 #56Turnovers forced18.0 #99
68.8 #213Defensive rebound rate70.2 #149
7.8 #51Steals per game7.8 #53
5.8 #5Blocks per game3.9 #93
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UC Irvine

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNLV72–75
  • Lvs Hawai'i64–71
  • Wvs CSU Northridge93–78
  • Wvs UC Davis79–69
  • Wvs Cal Poly107–85

A week or more of rest.

Stanford

20-13 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs West Virginia77–82
  • Lvs Pitt63–64
  • W@ NC State85–84
  • W@ Notre Dame86–78
  • Wvs SMU95–75

A week or more of rest.