1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. AMCC @ RICE
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Rice Owls

Tudor Fieldhouse · at Rice
#238AMCCTexas A&M-CC
@
#177RICERice
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AMCCThis seasonRICE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RICE 72–68 · win probability RICE 64%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 140.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AMCC has more of the edges

AMCC 5, RICE 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RICEBig
AMCC offense vs RICE defense
Offense 303rd of 366 against a defense 163rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
AMCC has played the 245th-hardest schedule, RICE the 116th. A record against a soft schedule means less
AMCCSmall
Three-pointers
AMCC hits 35.0% and allows 31.6%; RICE hits 34.3% and allows 34.0%. Threes are 31.4% and 44.1% of their shots
AMCCSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AMCC 31.7%, RICE 35.3%. Defensive: AMCC 71.2%, RICE 65.4%
AMCCSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: AMCC 41.1, RICE 33.9. Allowed: AMCC 46.3, RICE 40.4
AMCCSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AMCC 19.4%, RICE 17.9%. Forced: AMCC 19.0%, RICE 15.7%
RICESmall
Home court
RICE at home. This season: RICE 0-0 at home, AMCC 0-0 away
RICESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AMCC 19%, RICE 44%. Transfers in: AMCC 4, RICE 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
AMCCSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: AMCC 49.5 and allows 50.1; RICE 48.5 and allows 51.0
Even
RICE offense vs AMCC defense
Offense 210th of 366 against a defense 176th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: AMCC plays 66.9 a game (284th fastest), RICE 67.9 (236th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RICE -4.2—
Total—140.3—
Projected score—AMCC 68.1 · RICE 72.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRICE -2.4—
1H total65.7—
1H projected scoreAMCC 31.7 · RICE 34—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas A&M-CC has the better starters

Position by position: Texas A&M-CC 3, Rice 1, even 1
Texas A&M-CCBetterRice
G J. Mizell TR5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
RICEBig
G C. Adkins TR13.1 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 50
G S. Robinson TR14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 76
AMCCBig
G C. Carroll6.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 2 ast Score 19
G I. Lewis TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 10
No call
G D. Hobbs4.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2 ast Not ranked
G D. Michelini-Jackson4.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 34
AMCCSmall
F J. Elouna Eyenga TR3.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
F B. Basil TR8.7 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 53
AMCCSmall
F E. Eguagie5.5 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 24
Texas A&M-CCBetterRice
AMCC offense303rd of 366 · -9.4
RICEBig
RICE defense163rd of 366 · -3.6
AMCC defense176th of 366 · -4.0
Even
RICE offense210th of 366 · -6.4
Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players
RICESmall
Backcourt-4.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
AMCCBig
Frontcourt-3.4 · 2 players
Bench-1.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestAMCC betterRICE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Texas A&M-CC
Guards
J. Mizell28 min · TRS. Robinson28 min · TRI. Lewis22 min · TRD. Michelini-Jackson17 minB. Wheatfall11 minC. Horton6 min
Forwards
B. Basil23 min · TRD. MukunaNewK. WallaceNewC. WorshamNew
Centers
J. Ambrose5 minL. FoonNew
Rice
Guards
C. Adkins31 min · TRC. Carroll24 minD. Hobbs18 minJ. Dar10 min · TRB. Howell10 minC. Andrews-HeitzNew
Forwards
J. Elouna Eyenga18 min · TRE. Eguagie17 minJ. Oladokun17 minE. Cochran2 minA. LeethNewZ. FlasarNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AMCCRICE
Scoring
68.5 #305Points per game72.0 #240
1.03 #296Points per possession1.06 #229
66.9 #284Pace (possessions)67.9 #236
Shooting
49.5 #270Effective FG%48.5 #303
35.0 #1223-point %34.3 #153
31.4 #3343-point attempt rate44.1 #86
41.1 #46Free throw rate33.9 #214
Possessions
19.4 #336Turnover rate17.9 #265
31.7 #138Offensive rebound rate35.3 #38
12.1 #280Assists per game11.3 #320
Defense
69.4 #52Points allowed76.8 #235
1.04 #67Points allowed per possession1.13 #294
50.1 #104Opponent effective FG%51.0 #160
31.6 #48Opponent 3-point %34.0 #184
19.0 #48Turnovers forced15.7 #236
71.2 #95Defensive rebound rate65.4 #329
7.0 #125Steals per game6.5 #185
2.6 #290Blocks per game3.9 #91
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas A&M-CC

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-10 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SF Austin58–60
  • Wvs LSU N Orleans74–61
  • Wvs East Texas A&M84–71
  • Wvs N'Western St71–59
  • W@ SE Louisiana73–68

A week or more of rest.

Rice

11-18 in 2025-26 overall · 7-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs UTSA80–71
  • L@ North Texas58–62
  • W@ Temple80–74
  • Lvs South Florida56–75
  • L@ Tulane75–81

A week or more of rest.