1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 21
  3. AMCC @ ORU
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Mabee Center · at Oral Roberts
#238AMCCTexas A&M-CC
@
#305ORUOral Roberts
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AMCCThis seasonORU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects AMCC 72–71 · win probability AMCC 55%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AMCC has more of the edges

AMCC 5, ORU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
AMCCBig
Three-pointers
AMCC hits 35.0% and allows 31.6%; ORU hits 32.0% and allows 37.4%. Threes are 31.4% and 45.6% of their shots
AMCCBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AMCC 31.7%, ORU 28.4%. Defensive: AMCC 71.2%, ORU 68.2%
AMCCBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AMCC 19.4%, ORU 18.4%. Forced: AMCC 19.0%, ORU 14.7%
AMCCSmall
ORU offense vs AMCC defense
Offense 279th of 366 against a defense 176th, on the model’s ratings
AMCCSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: AMCC 49.5 and allows 50.1; ORU 49.6 and allows 53.6
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: AMCC plays 66.9 a game (284th fastest), ORU 69.7 (134th). Faster games mean more points
ORUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AMCC 19%, ORU 54%. Transfers in: AMCC 4, ORU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
ORUSmall
Home court
ORU at home. This season: ORU 0-0 at home, AMCC 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: AMCC 41.1, ORU 34.8. Allowed: AMCC 46.3, ORU 39.1
Even
AMCC offense vs ORU defense
Offense 303rd of 366 against a defense 326th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
AMCC has played the 245th-hardest schedule, ORU the 246th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—AMCC -1.4—
Total—142.9—
Projected score—AMCC 72.1 · ORU 70.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadAMCC -0.9—
1H total66.8—
1H projected scoreAMCC 33.9 · ORU 33—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas A&M-CC has the better starters

Position by position: Texas A&M-CC 2, Oral Roberts 1, even 2
Texas A&M-CCBetterOral Roberts
G J. Mizell TR5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
ORUBig
G C. Dow12.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 50
G S. Robinson TR14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 76
AMCCBig
G C. Furnish3.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 10
G I. Lewis TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 10
Even
G C. Martin2.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 8
G D. Michelini-Jackson4.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 34
AMCCSmall
G M. Kilups3.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 9
F B. Basil TR8.7 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 53
Even
F L. Gray7.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 57
Texas A&M-CCBetterOral Roberts
AMCC offense303rd of 366 · -9.4
Even
ORU defense326th of 366 · -8.4
AMCC defense176th of 366 · -4.0
AMCCSmall
ORU offense279th of 366 · -8.5
Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players
AMCCSmall
Backcourt-7.9 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt0.0 · 1 player
Bench-1.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.5 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestAMCC betterORU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Texas A&M-CC
Guards
J. Mizell28 min · TRS. Robinson28 min · TRI. Lewis22 min · TRD. Michelini-Jackson17 minB. Wheatfall11 minC. Horton6 min
Forwards
B. Basil23 min · TRD. MukunaNewK. WallaceNewC. WorshamNew
Centers
J. Ambrose5 minL. FoonNew
Oral Roberts
Guards
C. Dow33 minC. Furnish21 minC. Martin20 minM. Kilups18 minC. Haffner13 min · TRA. Robinson9 min · TR
Forwards
L. Gray17 minT. ZorbasNewM. PavlovicNewM. GavazovNewA. BlancoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AMCCORU
Scoring
68.5 #305Points per game71.8 #250
1.03 #296Points per possession1.03 #291
66.9 #284Pace (possessions)69.7 #134
Shooting
49.5 #270Effective FG%49.6 #256
35.0 #1223-point %32.0 #282
31.4 #3343-point attempt rate45.6 #56
41.1 #46Free throw rate34.8 #187
Possessions
19.4 #336Turnover rate18.4 #293
31.7 #138Offensive rebound rate28.4 #249
12.1 #280Assists per game11.5 #312
Defense
69.4 #52Points allowed79.7 #312
1.04 #67Points allowed per possession1.15 #319
50.1 #104Opponent effective FG%53.6 #289
31.6 #48Opponent 3-point %37.4 #348
19.0 #48Turnovers forced14.7 #310
71.2 #95Defensive rebound rate68.2 #247
7.0 #125Steals per game5.7 #268
2.6 #290Blocks per game3.4 #154
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas A&M-CC

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-10 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SF Austin58–60
  • Wvs LSU N Orleans74–61
  • Wvs East Texas A&M84–71
  • Wvs N'Western St71–59
  • W@ SE Louisiana73–68

A week or more of rest.

Oral Roberts

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-13 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St65–76
  • Wvs Kansas City84–62
  • W@ Kansas City94–70
  • Wvs Denver102–80
  • Wvs South Dakota67–62

A week or more of rest.