1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 17
  3. LAM @ OMA
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 17

Lamar Cardinals at Omaha Mavericks

Baxter Arena · at Omaha
#293LAMLamar
@
#279OMAOmaha
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LAMThis seasonOMA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects OMA 73–71 · win probability OMA 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: OMA has more of the edges

LAM 1, OMA 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
OMABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: LAM 27.9, OMA 34.5. Allowed: LAM 44.4, OMA 33.6
LAMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LAM 35.7%, OMA 25.5%. Defensive: LAM 70.6%, OMA 71.3%
OMABig
Three-pointers
LAM hits 32.9% and allows 35.3%; OMA hits 34.0% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 33.9% and 40.9% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: LAM plays 66.1 a game (311th fastest), OMA 68.9 (184th). Faster games mean more points
OMASmall
Home court
OMA at home. This season: OMA 0-0 at home, LAM 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LAM 0%, OMA 23%. Transfers in: LAM 6, OMA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
LAM has played the 328th-hardest schedule, OMA the 287th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LAM 18.1%, OMA 16.1%. Forced: LAM 17.3%, OMA 14.1%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: LAM 47.8 and allows 50.9; OMA 52.2 and allows 52.7
Even
OMA offense vs LAM defense
Offense 247th of 366 against a defense 213th, on the model’s ratings
Even
LAM offense vs OMA defense
Offense 334th of 366 against a defense 306th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—OMA -2.7—
Total—144.1—
Projected score—LAM 70.7 · OMA 73.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadOMA -1.5—
1H total67.4—
1H projected scoreLAM 33 · OMA 34.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Omaha has the better starters

Position by position: Lamar 0, Omaha 3, even 2
LamarBetterOmaha
G F. Radakovic TR9.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 38
OMASmall
G G. Stubblefield9.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 64
G N. Moretti TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 3.2 ast Score 24
Even
G C. Crosby TR2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 24
G Q. Berry TR6.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.2 ast Score 61
No call
G A. Skradis0.4 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G M. Collins TR1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 1 ast Score 12
OMASmall
F C. Dockery TR7.3 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
F M. Ljubicic TR5.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 7
OMASmall
F B. Scholl3.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 26
LamarBetterOmaha
LAM offense334th of 366 · -10.9
Even
OMA defense306th of 366 · -7.8
LAM defense213th of 366 · -5.4
Even
OMA offense247th of 366 · -7.5
Backcourt-4.6 · 4 players
OMABig
Backcourt-0.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.4 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Bench-0.8 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestLAM betterOMA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Lamar
Guards
F. Radakovic27 min · TRN. Moretti27 min · TRQ. Berry18 min · TRM. Collins9 min · TRJ. JonesNewS. LynchNew
Forwards
M. Ljubicic20 min · TRM. Reed7 min · TRC. HinkerNewA. AgotNewD. EasonNew
Omaha
Guards
G. Stubblefield29 minC. Crosby9 min · TRA. Skradis2 minD. Thompson1 min · TRB. OrgilboldNewC. CurtisNew
Forwards
C. Dockery22 min · TRB. Scholl14 minJ. Bolis2 min · TRD. PleasantNewE. SheatsNewG. BakerNew
Centers
I. OndekaneNewH. BukingaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LAMOMA
Scoring
68.4 #308Points per game73.9 #202
1.04 #279Points per possession1.07 #201
66.1 #311Pace (possessions)68.9 #184
Shooting
47.8 #318Effective FG%52.2 #139
32.9 #2383-point %34.0 #169
33.9 #2973-point attempt rate40.9 #150
27.9 #344Free throw rate34.5 #196
Possessions
18.1 #273Turnover rate16.1 #146
35.7 #31Offensive rebound rate25.5 #331
13.9 #157Assists per game12.1 #276
Defense
70.5 #64Points allowed77.7 #259
1.07 #122Points allowed per possession1.13 #278
50.9 #153Opponent effective FG%52.7 #258
35.3 #266Opponent 3-point %32.9 #114
17.3 #130Turnovers forced14.1 #333
70.6 #130Defensive rebound rate71.3 #90
6.1 #227Steals per game5.7 #277
4.2 #54Blocks per game3.0 #234
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Lamar

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Hou Christian53–75
  • L@ Incarnate Word60–72
  • Lvs Nicholls52–53
  • Lvs LSU N Orleans71–77
  • L@ UT Rio Grande65–70

A week or more of rest.

Omaha

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St50–74
  • Wvs South Dakota76–62
  • L@ St Thomas53–68
  • L@ South Dakota72–89
  • Wvs Oral Roberts80–71

A week or more of rest.