1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 27
  3. JXST vs OMA
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 27

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Omaha Mavericks

Resorts World Event Center · Neutral site
#198JXSTJax State
vs
#279OMAOmaha
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
JXSTThis seasonOMA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects JXST 75–71 · win probability JXST 63%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: JXST has more of the edges

JXST 3, OMA 0 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
JXST has played the 196th-hardest schedule, OMA the 287th. A record against a soft schedule means less
JXSTSmall
OMA offense vs JXST defense
Offense 247th of 366 against a defense 172nd, on the model’s ratings
JXSTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: JXST 29.8%, OMA 25.5%. Defensive: JXST 72.0%, OMA 71.3%
JXSTSmall
JXST offense vs OMA defense
Offense 245th of 366 against a defense 306th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: JXST plays 66.3 a game (302nd fastest), OMA 68.9 (184th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: JXST 0%, OMA 23%. Transfers in: JXST 8, OMA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: JXST 17.0%, OMA 16.1%. Forced: JXST 16.2%, OMA 14.1%
Even
Three-pointers
JXST hits 35.7% and allows 33.3%; OMA hits 34.0% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 38.1% and 40.9% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: JXST 49.7 and allows 49.6; OMA 52.2 and allows 52.7
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: JXST 43.1, OMA 34.5. Allowed: JXST 38.7, OMA 33.6
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—JXST -3.7—
Total—145.9—
Projected score—JXST 74.8 · OMA 71.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadJXST -2.3—
1H total68.3—
1H projected scoreJXST 35.3 · OMA 33—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Omaha has the better starters

Position by position: Jax State 1, Omaha 2, even 2
Jax StateBetterOmaha
G J. Stiemke TR9.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
OMABig
G G. Stubblefield9.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 64
G C. Lockett TR9.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 49
JXSTSmall
G C. Crosby TR2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 24
F N. Cunningham TR5.1 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 38
No call
G A. Skradis0.4 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F M. Hill TR2.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Score 7
OMASmall
F C. Dockery TR7.3 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
F B. Walker TR4.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
F B. Scholl3.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 26
Jax StateBetterOmaha
JXST offense245th of 366 · -7.4
JXSTSmall
OMA defense306th of 366 · -7.8
JXST defense172nd of 366 · -3.9
JXSTSmall
OMA offense247th of 366 · -7.5
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
OMASmall
Backcourt-0.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.9 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Bench+0.3 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestJXST betterOMA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Jax State
Guards
J. Stiemke28 min · TRC. Lockett25 min · TRL. Horner9 min · TRG. GondrezickNewJ. VickNewN. HernandezNew
Forwards
N. Cunningham13 min · TRM. Hill10 min · TRB. Walker9 min · TRE. Croley5 min · TRK. Polk1 min · TRA. CurryNew
Omaha
Guards
G. Stubblefield29 minC. Crosby9 min · TRA. Skradis2 minD. Thompson1 min · TRB. OrgilboldNewC. CurtisNew
Forwards
C. Dockery22 min · TRB. Scholl14 minJ. Bolis2 min · TRD. PleasantNewE. SheatsNewG. BakerNew
Centers
I. OndekaneNewH. BukingaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
JXSTOMA
Scoring
69.9 #287Points per game73.9 #202
1.05 #241Points per possession1.07 #201
66.3 #302Pace (possessions)68.9 #184
Shooting
49.7 #253Effective FG%52.2 #139
35.7 #763-point %34.0 #169
38.1 #2093-point attempt rate40.9 #150
43.1 #21Free throw rate34.5 #196
Possessions
17.0 #204Turnover rate16.1 #146
29.8 #208Offensive rebound rate25.5 #331
11.6 #310Assists per game12.1 #276
Defense
70.6 #66Points allowed77.7 #259
1.06 #120Points allowed per possession1.13 #278
49.6 #85Opponent effective FG%52.7 #258
33.3 #141Opponent 3-point %32.9 #114
16.2 #208Turnovers forced14.1 #333
72.0 #67Defensive rebound rate71.3 #90
5.8 #252Steals per game5.7 #277
3.0 #233Blocks per game3.0 #234
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Jax State

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs New Mexico St63–68
  • W@ UTEP64–61
  • L@ New Mexico St75–77
  • Lvs Liberty78–81
  • Wvs Delaware80–70

A week or more of rest.

Omaha

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St50–74
  • Wvs South Dakota76–62
  • L@ St Thomas53–68
  • L@ South Dakota72–89
  • Wvs Oral Roberts80–71

A week or more of rest.