1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 26
  3. PAC vs OMA
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 26

Pacific Tigers vs Omaha Mavericks

Resorts World Event Center · Neutral site
#163PACPacific
vs
#279OMAOmaha
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PACThis seasonOMA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PAC 77–69 · win probability PAC 74%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PAC has more of the edges

PAC 4, OMA 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PACBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PAC 35.3%, OMA 25.5%. Defensive: PAC 75.0%, OMA 71.3%
Context
Schedule so far
PAC has played the 122nd-hardest schedule, OMA the 287th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PACBig
PAC offense vs OMA defense
Offense 195th of 366 against a defense 306th, on the model’s ratings
PACSmall
OMA offense vs PAC defense
Offense 247th of 366 against a defense 147th, on the model’s ratings
OMASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: PAC 30.5, OMA 34.5. Allowed: PAC 36.3, OMA 33.6
PACSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: PAC 52.2 and allows 50.0; OMA 52.2 and allows 52.7
OMASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PAC 20.1%, OMA 16.1%. Forced: PAC 15.1%, OMA 14.1%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: PAC plays 66.1 a game (312th fastest), OMA 68.9 (184th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PAC 8%, OMA 23%. Transfers in: PAC 9, OMA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
PAC hits 35.8% and allows 34.7%; OMA hits 34.0% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 35.4% and 40.9% of their shots
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PAC -7.4—
Total—146.1—
Projected score—PAC 76.7 · OMA 69.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPAC -4.5—
1H total68.3—
1H projected scorePAC 36.4 · OMA 31.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Pacific 1, Omaha 1, even 3
PacificBetterOmaha
G J. Winston TR15.5 pts · 3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 74
Even
G G. Stubblefield9.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 64
G C. Amundsen TR9.4 pts · 2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 34
Even
G C. Crosby TR2.5 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.3 ast Score 24
G C. Jones TR3.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 17
No call
G A. Skradis0.4 pts · 0.3 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F G. Ripp TR3.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 10
OMASmall
F C. Dockery TR7.3 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
F J. Pitt4.4 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 57
PACSmall
F B. Scholl3.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 26
PacificBetterOmaha
PAC offense195th of 366 · -6.1
PACSmall
OMA defense306th of 366 · -7.8
PAC defense147th of 366 · -3.2
PACSmall
OMA offense247th of 366 · -7.5
Backcourt-2.4 · 3 players
OMASmall
Backcourt-0.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.7 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Bench-1.2 · 5 players
OMASmall
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestPAC betterOMA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Pacific
Guards
J. Winston36 min · TRC. Amundsen30 min · TRC. Jones17 min · TRA. Nyorha10 min · TRD. Harris6 min · TRN. BuduNew
Forwards
G. Ripp17 min · TRJ. Pitt17 minJ. Thompson11 min · TRV. OsazeeNewJ. CarotNew
Centers
J. McFarland3 min · TRI. Matlekovic2 min · TR
Omaha
Guards
G. Stubblefield29 minC. Crosby9 min · TRA. Skradis2 minD. Thompson1 min · TRB. OrgilboldNewC. CurtisNew
Forwards
C. Dockery22 min · TRB. Scholl14 minJ. Bolis2 min · TRD. PleasantNewE. SheatsNewG. BakerNew
Centers
I. OndekaneNewH. BukingaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PACOMA
Scoring
71.3 #262Points per game73.9 #202
1.08 #176Points per possession1.07 #201
66.1 #312Pace (possessions)68.9 #184
Shooting
52.2 #140Effective FG%52.2 #139
35.8 #653-point %34.0 #169
35.4 #2663-point attempt rate40.9 #150
30.5 #297Free throw rate34.5 #196
Possessions
20.1 #350Turnover rate16.1 #146
35.3 #42Offensive rebound rate25.5 #331
14.9 #93Assists per game12.1 #276
Defense
69.8 #60Points allowed77.7 #259
1.05 #93Points allowed per possession1.13 #278
50.0 #101Opponent effective FG%52.7 #258
34.7 #233Opponent 3-point %32.9 #114
15.1 #281Turnovers forced14.1 #333
75.0 #8Defensive rebound rate71.3 #90
5.4 #309Steals per game5.7 #277
2.2 #332Blocks per game3.0 #234
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Pacific

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Santa Clara68–76
  • Wvs Seattle U61–58
  • Lvs San Francisco61–72
  • L@ Gonzaga62–71
  • L@ Washington St70–87

A week or more of rest.

Omaha

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St50–74
  • Wvs South Dakota76–62
  • L@ St Thomas53–68
  • L@ South Dakota72–89
  • Wvs Oral Roberts80–71

A week or more of rest.