1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 9
  3. PORT @ HAW
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 9

Portland Pilots at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i
#169PORTPortland
@
#140HAWHawai'i
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PORTThis seasonHAW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HAW 77–72 · win probability HAW 69%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HAW has more of the edges

PORT 1, HAW 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HAWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PORT 28.1%, HAW 31.3%. Defensive: PORT 67.5%, HAW 74.7%
HAWBig
Three-pointers
PORT hits 29.9% and allows 36.1%; HAW hits 31.7% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 35.4% and 39.8% of their shots
HAWBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: PORT 51.2 and allows 52.7; HAW 52.0 and allows 46.8
Context
Schedule so far
PORT has played the 124th-hardest schedule, HAW the 242nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
HAWSmall
HAW offense vs PORT defense
Offense 136th of 366 against a defense 202nd, on the model’s ratings
PORTSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PORT 41%, HAW 10%. Transfers in: PORT 4, HAW 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
HAWSmall
Home court
HAW at home. This season: HAW 0-0 at home, PORT 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: PORT plays 70.2 a game (106th fastest), HAW 73.0 (19th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PORT 34.4, HAW 41.4. Allowed: PORT 32.6, HAW 35.6
Even
PORT offense vs HAW defense
Offense 156th of 366 against a defense 150th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PORT 19.6%, HAW 18.8%. Forced: PORT 17.0%, HAW 16.8%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HAW -5.6—
Total—149.2—
Projected score—PORT 71.8 · HAW 77.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHAW -3.2—
1H total69.8—
1H projected scorePORT 33.3 · HAW 36.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Hawai'i has the better starters

Position by position: Portland 1, Hawai'i 2, even 2
PortlandBetterHawai'i
G J. Olvera TR13.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 51
Even
G C. Trujillo TR12.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.7 ast Score 39
G K. Isaac TR5 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 10
HAWSmall
G I. Kerr6.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 38
G D. Censori-Hercules3.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 22
HAWBig
F Z. Davidson TR12.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 69
F J. O'Donnell9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 60
Even
C B. Dengdit TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 62
F T. George11.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 93
PORTBig
C H. Dan TR5.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 36
PortlandBetterHawai'i
PORT offense156th of 366 · -4.7
Even
HAW defense150th of 366 · -3.3
PORT defense202nd of 366 · -5.0
HAWSmall
HAW offense136th of 366 · -3.9
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
HAWSmall
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt+2.9 · 2 players
PORTSmall
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench-0.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestPORT betterHAW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Portland
Guards
J. Olvera29 min · TRK. Isaac24 min · TRD. Censori-Hercules21 minR. Parker19 minH. Adam15 min · TRR. NanceNew
Forwards
J. O'Donnell23 minT. George20 minV. Perkovic7 min · TRO. SukurNewH. SewellNew
Hawai'i
Guards
C. Trujillo34 min · TRI. Kerr21 minT. CuffNewJ. MatingouNewL. AwanNewS. BelnapNew
Forwards
Z. Davidson24 min · TRM. Adams12 min · TRM. Joses9 min · TRK. HamptonNew
Centers
B. Dengdit23 min · TRH. Dan15 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PORTHAW
Scoring
72.1 #238Points per game78.7 #86
1.02 #299Points per possession1.08 #186
70.2 #106Pace (possessions)73.0 #19
Shooting
51.2 #188Effective FG%52.0 #148
29.9 #3443-point %31.7 #298
35.4 #2633-point attempt rate39.8 #175
34.4 #197Free throw rate41.4 #38
Possessions
19.6 #342Turnover rate18.8 #315
28.1 #266Offensive rebound rate31.3 #154
15.9 #51Assists per game13.3 #187
Defense
78.1 #271Points allowed71.2 #76
1.11 #258Points allowed per possession0.98 #10
52.7 #255Opponent effective FG%46.8 #19
36.1 #308Opponent 3-point %30.3 #13
17.0 #148Turnovers forced16.8 #167
67.5 #281Defensive rebound rate74.7 #11
5.8 #251Steals per game6.5 #175
2.9 #246Blocks per game4.0 #73
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Portland

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs San Francisco65–82
  • Wvs Washington St74–68
  • Wvs Pepperdine77–68
  • Wvs San Diego87–74
  • L@ Gonzaga48–89

A week or more of rest.

Hawai'i

22-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas78–97
  • Wvs UC Irvine71–64
  • Wvs Fullerton78–63
  • Lvs Long Beach St75–84
  • Wvs UC Riverside93–74

A week or more of rest.