1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. ETAM @ PORT
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

East Texas A&M Lions at Portland Pilots

Chiles Center · at Portland
#342ETAMEast Texas A&M
@
#169PORTPortland
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ETAMThis seasonPORT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PORT 80–67 · win probability PORT 87%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PORT has more of the edges

ETAM 0, PORT 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PORTBig
PORT offense vs ETAM defense
Offense 156th of 366 against a defense 317th, on the model’s ratings
PORTBig
ETAM offense vs PORT defense
Offense 344th of 366 against a defense 202nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
ETAM has played the 265th-hardest schedule, PORT the 124th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PORTSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ETAM 7%, PORT 41%. Transfers in: ETAM 2, PORT 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
PORTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: ETAM 32.0, PORT 34.4. Allowed: ETAM 34.5, PORT 32.6
PORTSmall
Home court
PORT at home. This season: PORT 0-0 at home, ETAM 0-0 away
PORTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: ETAM 49.2 and allows 52.9; PORT 51.2 and allows 52.7
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: ETAM plays 68.5 a game (203rd fastest), PORT 70.2 (106th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ETAM 25.7%, PORT 28.1%. Defensive: ETAM 67.2%, PORT 67.5%
Even
Three-pointers
ETAM hits 31.3% and allows 37.3%; PORT hits 29.9% and allows 36.1%. Threes are 46.2% and 35.4% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ETAM 19.2%, PORT 19.6%. Forced: ETAM 17.0%, PORT 17.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PORT -13.0—
Total—146.4—
Projected score—ETAM 66.7 · PORT 79.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPORT -7.6—
1H total68.5—
1H projected scoreETAM 30.4 · PORT 38—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

East Texas A&M has the better starters

Position by position: East Texas A&M 1, Portland 0, even 4
East Texas A&MBetterPortland
G A. Dodd TR14.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 4.1 ast Score 82
ETAMSmall
G J. Olvera TR13.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 51
G E. Phelps1.3 pts · 0.7 reb · 1 ast Score 0
Even
G K. Isaac TR5 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 10
G K. Tolbert NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G D. Censori-Hercules3.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 22
F J. Ford TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. O'Donnell9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.1 ast Score 60
F B. Aldridge NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F T. George11.7 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 93
East Texas A&MBetterPortland
ETAM offense344th of 366 · -11.8
PORTBig
PORT defense202nd of 366 · -5.0
ETAM defense317th of 366 · -8.2
PORTBig
PORT offense156th of 366 · -4.7
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
ETAMBig
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 2 players
PORTBig
Frontcourt+2.9 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.2 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestETAM betterPORT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
East Texas A&M
Guards
A. Dodd32 min · TRE. Phelps15 minK. TolbertNewC. AdlamNewK. RobinsonNewG. SkorjancNew
Forwards
J. Ford10 min · TRB. AldridgeNewY. VidalNewM. DiakiteNewC. DinuNewM. CarrioNew
Portland
Guards
J. Olvera29 min · TRK. Isaac24 min · TRD. Censori-Hercules21 minR. Parker19 minH. Adam15 min · TRR. NanceNew
Forwards
J. O'Donnell23 minT. George20 minV. Perkovic7 min · TRO. SukurNewH. SewellNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ETAMPORT
Scoring
67.1 #331Points per game72.1 #238
0.98 #342Points per possession1.02 #299
68.5 #203Pace (possessions)70.2 #106
Shooting
49.2 #282Effective FG%51.2 #188
31.3 #3133-point %29.9 #344
46.2 #433-point attempt rate35.4 #263
32.0 #257Free throw rate34.4 #197
Possessions
19.2 #330Turnover rate19.6 #342
25.7 #328Offensive rebound rate28.1 #266
14.6 #109Assists per game15.9 #51
Defense
76.0 #218Points allowed78.1 #271
1.11 #240Points allowed per possession1.11 #258
52.9 #261Opponent effective FG%52.7 #255
37.3 #347Opponent 3-point %36.1 #308
17.0 #156Turnovers forced17.0 #148
67.2 #288Defensive rebound rate67.5 #281
6.7 #150Steals per game5.8 #251
3.1 #196Blocks per game2.9 #246
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

East Texas A&M

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 6-16 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Texas A&M-CC71–84
  • L@ UT Rio Grande55–63
  • Lvs Hou Christian68–69
  • Lvs Incarnate Word73–82
  • Wvs SE Louisiana70–53

A week or more of rest.

Portland

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs San Francisco65–82
  • Wvs Washington St74–68
  • Wvs Pepperdine77–68
  • Wvs San Diego87–74
  • L@ Gonzaga48–89

A week or more of rest.