1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 4
  3. RAD @ CAL
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 4

Radford Highlanders at California Golden Bears

Haas Pavilion · at California
#246RADRadford
@
#92CALCalifornia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RADThis seasonCAL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CAL 85–68 · win probability CAL 94%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CAL has more of the edges

RAD 0, CAL 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CALBig
Three-pointers
RAD hits 33.5% and allows 35.5%; CAL hits 36.9% and allows 31.0%. Threes are 45.4% and 43.1% of their shots
CALBig
CAL offense vs RAD defense
Offense 84th of 366 against a defense 286th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
RAD has played the 243rd-hardest schedule, CAL the 77th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CALBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: RAD 51.4 and allows 53.0; CAL 52.6 and allows 49.8
CALBig
RAD offense vs CAL defense
Offense 213th of 366 against a defense 100th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: RAD plays 73.6 a game (13th fastest), CAL 69.8 (126th). Faster games mean more points
CALSmall
Home court
CAL at home. This season: CAL 0-0 at home, RAD 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RAD 12%, CAL 29%. Transfers in: RAD 6, CAL 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: RAD 42.4, CAL 36.2. Allowed: RAD 40.0, CAL 36.3
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RAD 29.8%, CAL 26.0%. Defensive: RAD 67.8%, CAL 69.5%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RAD 17.1%, CAL 15.1%. Forced: RAD 18.5%, CAL 16.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CAL -17.4—
Total—153.3—
Projected score—RAD 67.9 · CAL 85.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCAL -10.3—
1H total71.7—
1H projected scoreRAD 30.7 · CAL 41—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

California has the better starters

Position by position: Radford 0, California 4, even 1
RadfordBetterCalifornia
G J. Robinson TR6.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 52
CALSmall
G M. Cooper TR13.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 2 ast Score 74
G T. Gross TR3.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 21
CALBig
G N. Indrusaitis TR9.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 76
F C. Jackson TR4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 36
CALSmall
G J. Ross TR6.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 58
F P. Kabamba TR5.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 38
Even
G S. Carr3.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 46
F F. Erichsen4.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 27
CALBig
F L. Dort8 pts · 7.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 83
RadfordBetterCalifornia
RAD offense213th of 366 · -6.5
CALSmall
CAL defense100th of 366 · -0.7
RAD defense286th of 366 · -7.2
CALBig
CAL offense84th of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
CALSmall
Backcourt+1.0 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 3 players
CALBig
Frontcourt+1.7 · 1 player
Bench-1.0 · 4 players
CALSmall
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestRAD betterCAL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Radford
Guards
J. Robinson17 min · TRT. Gross13 min · TRW. Keel6 minM. Grujicic6 min · TRJ. Kee3 min · TRK. PruettNew
Forwards
C. Jackson17 min · TRP. Kabamba17 min · TRF. Erichsen13 minA. NokesNew
Centers
G. Ferreira5 min
California
Guards
M. Cooper27 min · TRN. Indrusaitis24 min · TRJ. Ross21 min · TRS. Carr17 minB. Fisher1 minL. Butler1 min
Forwards
L. Dort23 minJ. Wilkins10 min · TRA. Ali7 min · TRS. Yeanay5 minD. Manyiel Dut4 min
Centers
M. Kocanas7 minN. MitrovicNewD. DaubarisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RADCAL
Scoring
79.9 #70Points per game77.7 #99
1.09 #168Points per possession1.11 #118
73.6 #13Pace (possessions)69.8 #126
Shooting
51.4 #181Effective FG%52.6 #119
33.5 #1993-point %36.9 #30
45.4 #593-point attempt rate43.1 #111
42.4 #25Free throw rate36.2 #146
Possessions
17.1 #210Turnover rate15.1 #74
29.8 #207Offensive rebound rate26.0 #322
12.0 #284Assists per game14.1 #142
Defense
80.8 #330Points allowed73.4 #140
1.10 #216Points allowed per possession1.05 #92
53.0 #271Opponent effective FG%49.8 #91
35.5 #279Opponent 3-point %31.0 #34
18.5 #72Turnovers forced16.1 #216
67.8 #267Defensive rebound rate69.5 #180
7.5 #79Steals per game5.9 #244
3.4 #158Blocks per game3.0 #217
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Radford

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Presbyterian85–91
  • L@ Longwood74–90
  • Wvs SC Upstate71–59
  • L@ UNC Asheville73–74
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb82–70

A week or more of rest.

California

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's75–76
  • Wvs UIC91–73
  • Lvs Florida St89–95
  • L@ Wake Forest73–80
  • W@ Georgia Tech76–65

A week or more of rest.