1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. UTU @ CAL
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Utah Tech Trailblazers at California Golden Bears

Haas Pavilion · at California
#268UTUUtah Tech
@
#92CALCalifornia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UTUThis seasonCAL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CAL 85–67 · win probability CAL 93%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CAL has more of the edges

UTU 0, CAL 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CALBig
CAL offense vs UTU defense
Offense 84th of 366 against a defense 295th, on the model’s ratings
CALBig
UTU offense vs CAL defense
Offense 251st of 366 against a defense 100th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UTU has played the 210th-hardest schedule, CAL the 77th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CALSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTU 17.8%, CAL 15.1%. Forced: UTU 16.8%, CAL 16.1%
CALSmall
Home court
CAL at home. This season: CAL 0-0 at home, UTU 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTU 28.1%, CAL 26.0%. Defensive: UTU 65.5%, CAL 69.5%
Even
Three-pointers
UTU hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%; CAL hits 36.9% and allows 31.0%. Threes are 38.2% and 43.1% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTU 30.6, CAL 36.2. Allowed: UTU 33.0, CAL 36.3
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTU 53.3 and allows 50.9; CAL 52.6 and allows 49.8
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTU 24%, CAL 29%. Transfers in: UTU 3, CAL 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: UTU plays 69.9 a game (124th fastest), CAL 69.8 (126th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CAL -17.2—
Total—151.9—
Projected score—UTU 67.3 · CAL 84.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCAL -10.1—
1H total71.0—
1H projected scoreUTU 30.4 · CAL 40.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

California has the better starters

Position by position: Utah Tech 1, California 4, even 0
Utah TechBetterCalifornia
G R. Sunderland TR4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 4
CALBig
G M. Cooper TR13.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 2 ast Score 74
G A. Dupre TR3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 1
CALBig
G N. Indrusaitis TR9.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 76
G M. Brown TR3 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 6
CALBig
G J. Ross TR6.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 58
F E. Potter17.1 pts · 7.9 reb · 2 ast Score 94
UTUBig
G S. Carr3.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 46
F S. Ariyibi2.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
CALBig
F L. Dort8 pts · 7.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 83
Utah TechBetterCalifornia
UTU offense251st of 366 · -7.6
CALBig
CAL defense100th of 366 · -0.7
UTU defense295th of 366 · -7.4
CALBig
CAL offense84th of 366 · +0.4
Backcourt-8.4 · 3 players
CALBig
Backcourt+1.0 · 4 players
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
UTUSmall
Frontcourt+1.7 · 1 player
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
Even
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUTU betterCAL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Utah Tech
Guards
R. Sunderland27 min · TRA. Dupre16 min · TRM. Brown14 min · TRB. Harker3 minP. Vandermyde1 minP. RagkosNew
Forwards
E. Potter32 minS. Ariyibi10 minD. Grant2 minJ. ClarkNew
Centers
K. LemkeNew
California
Guards
M. Cooper27 min · TRN. Indrusaitis24 min · TRJ. Ross21 min · TRS. Carr17 minB. Fisher1 minL. Butler1 min
Forwards
L. Dort23 minJ. Wilkins10 min · TRA. Ali7 min · TRS. Yeanay5 minD. Manyiel Dut4 min
Centers
M. Kocanas7 minN. MitrovicNewD. DaubarisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTUCAL
Scoring
74.7 #171Points per game77.7 #99
1.08 #193Points per possession1.11 #118
69.9 #124Pace (possessions)69.8 #126
Shooting
53.3 #90Effective FG%52.6 #119
35.0 #1133-point %36.9 #30
38.2 #2073-point attempt rate43.1 #111
30.6 #290Free throw rate36.2 #146
Possessions
17.8 #256Turnover rate15.1 #74
28.1 #261Offensive rebound rate26.0 #322
14.4 #121Assists per game14.1 #142
Defense
77.0 #243Points allowed73.4 #140
1.09 #211Points allowed per possession1.05 #92
50.9 #151Opponent effective FG%49.8 #91
30.7 #29Opponent 3-point %31.0 #34
16.8 #166Turnovers forced16.1 #216
65.5 #326Defensive rebound rate69.5 #180
6.9 #135Steals per game5.9 #244
3.0 #216Blocks per game3.0 #217
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Utah Tech

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs CA Baptist72–86
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn80–74
  • Lvs Utah Valley101–104
  • L@ Southern Utah67–81
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–81

A week or more of rest.

California

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Saint Joseph's75–76
  • Wvs UIC91–73
  • Lvs Florida St89–95
  • L@ Wake Forest73–80
  • W@ Georgia Tech76–65

A week or more of rest.