When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
3,143 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Went over in Q3, leader lost the game in the last 5 minutes: 28 games
2023–2026 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 5 |
ISU -3 | 53.5 | 14355687 | Q3 | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UTAH -18.5 | 52.5 | 14527398 | Q3 | KSU Q1 Lead lost |
47–51 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UNLV -4.5 | 60.5 | 7526275 | Q3 | UNM Q1 Lead lost |
40–35 |
2025 · Week 8 |
APP -10.5 | 47.5 | 24416582 | Q3 | CCU Q1 Lead lost |
45–37 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TXST -7.5 | 53.5 | 3548658289 | Q3 | TROY Q4 Lead lost |
48–41 |
2025 · Week 7 |
NEB -6.5 | 47.5 | 7415565 | Q3 | MD Q3 Lead lost |
34–31 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MRSH -1.5 | 48.5 | 6345482105 | Q3 | UL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
51–54 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UNLV -1.5 | 49.5 | 14346279 | Q3 | UNLV Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
41–38 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UGA -3.5 | 50.5 | 2838557685 | Q3 | TENN Q1 Lead lost |
44–41 |
2025 · Week 2 |
MIZ -6.5 | 49.5 | 27425273 | Q3 | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–42 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIA -5.5 | 61.5 | 35597383 | Q3 | ISU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–41 |
2024 · Postseason |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 10446385 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
41–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FIU -8.5 | 41.5 | 3374353 | Q3 | KENN Q4 Lead lost |
26–27 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BUFF -3.5 | 54.5 | 1452669099 | Q3 | BALL Q1 Lead lost |
48–51 |
2024 · Week 11 |
JXST -9.5 | 55.5 | 1449587481 | Q3 | LT Q1 Lead lost |
44–37 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTSA -9.5 | 52.5 | 14426691 | Q3 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
45–46 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ISU -13.5 | 49.5 | 21355573 | Q3 | UCF Q1 Lead lost |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNT -5.5 | 58.5 | 21446178 | Q3 | FAU Q2 Lead lost |
41–37 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SJSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 14425666 | Q3 | NEV Q1 Lead lost |
31–35 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TXST -10.5 | 54.5 | 22537379 | Q3 | SHSU Q3 Lead lost |
39–40 |
2023 · Week 13 |
WVU -12 | 54.5 | 7415565 | Q3 | BAY Q3 Lead lost |
34–31 |
2023 · Week 10 |
FAU PK | 59 | 7426387 | Q3 | UAB Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2023 · Week 7 |
KU -2.5 | 52.5 | 24495971 | Q3 | OKST Q4 Lead lost |
32–39 |
2023 · Week 7 |
SC -1.5 | 49.5 | 24455180 | Q3 | FLA Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
41–39 |
2023 · Week 5 |
LSU -3 | 67 | 285976104 | Q3 | MISS Q4 Lead lost |
49–55 |
2023 · Week 4 |
MINN -12 | 39.5 | 731416271 | Q3 | NU Q4 Lead lost |
34–37 |
 FOR @  BUFF2023 · Week 2 |
BUFF -23.5 | 54.5 | 17415677 | Q3 | FOR Q1 Lead lost |
40–37 |
2023 · Week 2 |
JMU -6 | 40 | 24315971 | Q3 | UVA Q2 Lead lost |
36–35 |
WVU
ISU
KSU
UTAH
UNM
UNLV
CCU
APP
TROY
TXST
NEB
MD
MRSH
UL
M-OH
UGA
TENN
KU
MIZ
MIA
RUTG
FIU
KENN
BALL
JXST
LT
UTSA
TLSA
UCF
UNT
FAU
NEV
SJSU
SHSU
BAY
UAB
OKST
FLA
SC
LSU
MISS
MINN
NU
JMU
UVAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 495
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 557
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,931 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,990 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 516 | 100% 516 |
| 1–3 | 192 | 95% 182 |
| 4–7 | 295 | 86% 255 |
| 8–10 | 261 | 70% 184 |
| 11–14 | 345 | 58% 200 |
| 15–17 | 270 | 41% 110 |
| 18–21 | 339 | 27% 92 |
| 22+ | 925 | 7% 67 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.