1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 9
  3. LT @ LSU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 9

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at LSU Tigers

Pete Maravich Assembly Center · at LSU
#244LTLouisiana Tech
@
#51LSULSU
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LTThis seasonLSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LSU 85–63 · win probability LSU 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LSU has more of the edges

LT 0, LSU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
LSUBig
LT offense vs LSU defense
Offense 302nd of 366 against a defense 77th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LT has played the 197th-hardest schedule, LSU the 49th. A record against a soft schedule means less
LSUBig
LSU offense vs LT defense
Offense 37th of 366 against a defense 184th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: LT plays 65.5 a game (332nd fastest), LSU 70.5 (95th). Faster games mean more points
LSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: LT 33.1, LSU 40.9. Allowed: LT 36.3, LSU 37.8
LSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: LT 47.4 and allows 48.7; LSU 52.8 and allows 50.9
LSUSmall
Home court
LSU at home. This season: LSU 0-0 at home, LT 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LT 36.4%, LSU 33.1%. Defensive: LT 68.4%, LSU 68.3%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LT 18.2%, LSU 15.5%. Forced: LT 17.9%, LSU 14.0%
Even
Three-pointers
LT hits 28.6% and allows 33.9%; LSU hits 33.1% and allows 35.4%. Threes are 33.4% and 34.5% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LT 11%, LSU 0%. Transfers in: LT 0, LSU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—LSU -21.8—
Total—148.4—
Projected score—LT 63.3 · LSU 85.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadLSU -12.9—
1H total69.4—
1H projected scoreLT 28.3 · LSU 41.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

LSU has the better starters

Position by position: Louisiana Tech 0, LSU 1, even 4
Louisiana TechBetterLSU
G J. Fenner5.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27
LSUBig
G D. Dent TR13.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 7.6 ast Score 95
G D. Bates NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G A. Nunez TR9.6 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 17
G K. Tilley NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G S. Clark TR11.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2 ast Score 87
F E. Blackmon NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G A. Bashir TR13.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 92
F L. Rowe NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F M. Dioubate TR8.8 pts · 5.5 reb · 1 ast Score 94
Louisiana TechBetterLSU
LT offense302nd of 366 · -9.4
LSUBig
LSU defense77th of 366 · +0.5
LT defense184th of 366 · -4.3
LSUBig
LSU offense37th of 366 · +5.0
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
LSUBig
Backcourt+5.8 · 4 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+3.1 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.4 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestLT betterLSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Louisiana Tech
Guards
J. Fenner22 minD. BatesNewK. TilleyNewJ. TylerNewJ. SandersonNewA. BoydNew
Forwards
E. BlackmonNewL. RoweNewB. WengerNewI. EmelifeNewI. FrancisNew
LSU
Guards
D. Dent34 min · TRA. Nunez29 min · TRS. Clark29 min · TRA. Bashir25 min · TRD. Ugochukwu16 min · TRL. StansburyNew
Forwards
M. Dioubate22 min · TRS. NiangNewJ. BenderNew
Centers
B. DessertNewG. LevyNewS. PearsonNewM. RuzicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LTLSU
Scoring
67.8 #318Points per game81.4 #41
1.03 #284Points per possession1.15 #60
65.5 #332Pace (possessions)70.5 #95
Shooting
47.4 #329Effective FG%52.8 #111
28.6 #3593-point %33.1 #225
33.4 #3103-point attempt rate34.5 #286
33.1 #234Free throw rate40.9 #49
Possessions
18.2 #283Turnover rate15.5 #106
36.4 #21Offensive rebound rate33.1 #87
11.9 #297Assists per game14.7 #106
Defense
67.8 #30Points allowed78.5 #279
1.04 #75Points allowed per possession1.12 #270
48.7 #51Opponent effective FG%50.9 #150
33.9 #178Opponent 3-point %35.4 #271
17.9 #102Turnovers forced14.0 #335
68.4 #232Defensive rebound rate68.3 #239
6.8 #144Steals per game6.0 #240
4.6 #31Blocks per game3.9 #87
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Louisiana Tech

17-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Kennesaw St60–71
  • Wvs Missouri St69–66
  • Wvs MTSU80–69
  • W@ Delaware81–38
  • W@ Liberty76–71

A week or more of rest.

LSU

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 3-16 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Kentucky82–87
  • Lvs Texas A&M91–94
  • L@ Auburn74–88
  • Lvs Oklahoma67–83
  • W@ Ole Miss106–99

A week or more of rest.