Case Gym · at Boston U
Line
BU -1.5moved 3 toward BU
Total150.5up 1 from 149.5
| This season | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects BU 75–74 · win probability BU 51%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
BU -1.5
moved 3 toward BU
Total
150.5
model 148.9 · Under by 1.5
Model edge
NE by 1.5
model vs market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: BU has more of the edges
NE 1, BU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Free throws
Free throw rate: NE 29.4, BU 31.4. Allowed: NE 41.9, BU 30.5
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NE 16.3%, BU 17.7%. Forced: NE 16.8%, BU 13.0%
Context
Schedule so far
NE has played the 185th-hardest schedule, BU the 296th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: NE plays 69.9 a game (120th fastest), BU 65.2 (340th). Faster games mean more points
Shooting
Effective FG%: NE 52.4 and allows 56.4; BU 57.5 and allows 53.6
Three-pointers
NE hits 33.7% and allows 35.8%; BU hits 38.9% and allows 36.6%. Threes are 37.8% and 43.8% of their shots
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NE 27.3%, BU 28.0%. Defensive: NE 69.8%, BU 72.0%
Home court
BU at home. This season: BU 0-0 at home, NE 0-0 away
Even
BU offense vs NE defense
Offense 305th of 366 against a defense 263rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NE 43%, BU 52%. Transfers in: NE 3, BU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
NE offense vs BU defense
Offense 194th of 366 against a defense 201st, on the model’s ratings
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of under 3 | 1938 | 56% | 51% | 49% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1094 | 54% | 49% | 50% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite | 6763 | 75% | 50% | 51% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenNE -1.5
3 → BU
NowBU -1.5
3 pts toward BU
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Now150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NE -108 · BU -112
Line movement
Median of 6 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened NE -1.5 · now BU -0.5 · moved 2 toward BUmodel BU -0 matches the line
model BU -0 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · now 150 · moved 0.5 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Over 150.5TotalUnder 150.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
6 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | BU | Over | Under | NE | BU | |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | PK-110 | PK-110 | 150-115 | 150-105 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -0.5-114 | +0.5-112 | 149.5-112 | 149.5-114 | -114 | -112 |
| BovadaBovada | PK-110 | PK-110 | 150-115 | 150-105 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -1.5-115 | +1.5-105 | 150.5-105 | 150.5-115 | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuelFD | -1.5-122 | +1.5+100 | 149.5-115 | 149.5-105 | -108 | -111 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | PK-106 | PK-106 | 150-113 | 150-103 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BU -1.5 | BU -0.2 | NE +1.3 |
| Total | 150.5 | 148.9 | Under 1.6 |
| Projected score | — | NE 74.3 · BU 74.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PK | — |
| 1H total | 69.6 | — |
| 1H projected score | NE 34.8 · BU 34.8 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | |
| 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NE 3–2 BUNE leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · NE 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025-26 | BU 76 @ NE 75 | NE -2.5 | BU W |
| Nov 4, 2024-25 | NE 80 @ BU 72 | BU -4.5 | NE W |
| Nov 6, 2023-24 | BU 58 @ NE 67 | NE -8.5 | NE W |
| Nov 7, 2022-23 | NE 63 @ BU 72 | BU -1.5 | BU W |
| Nov 16, 2021-22 | BU 48 @ NE 49 | NE -4.5 | BU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
31 games played
Straight up
7-24
23% wins
Against the spread
11-20
35% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-11
65% overs · avg +7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 78-87 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 78-87 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 85-78 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 68-81 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 80-95 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 84-89 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 63-80 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 55-69 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 12 | vs | L 67-94 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 167.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 19 | vs | L 61-70 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 68-82 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 26 | @ | L 77-84 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 3 | vs | L 83-89 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 88-72 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 77-84 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BU
L 75-76
−3.5
7
@
COLG
W 68-65
+8.5
11
@
HARV
W 77-60
+22.5
15
vs
UVM
L 74-85
−12.5
20
@
PRIN
L 57-70
−10.5
22
vs
DUQ
W 93-86
+14.5
28
@
WAKE
L 73-86
+4.5
3
@
HC
L 59-76
−25.5
7
vs
CCSU
W 73-56
+15.5
20
@
SYR
L 83-91
+6.5
22
@
URI
L 77-85
+2.5
29
@
ELON
L 91-103
−7.5
31
@
NCAT
W 85-74
+7.5
3
@
CAM
L 82-97
−11.5
8
vs
UNCW
L 78-87
−4.5
10
vs
TOW
L 78-87
−6.5
15
vs
ELON
W 85-78
+10.5
19
@
MONM
L 68-81
−9.5
22
vs
STBK
L 80-95
−18.5
24
@
DREX
L 78-83
−0.5
31
vs
COFC
L 84-89
−1.5
5
@
HOF
L 63-80
−8.5
7
@
STBK
L 55-69
−10.5
12
vs
W&M
L 67-94
−21.5
19
vs
DREX
L 61-70
−10.5
21
vs
HOF
L 68-82
−7.5
26
@
W&M
L 77-84
+4.5
28
@
HAMP
L 65-76
−7.5
3
vs
MONM
L 83-89
−2.5
6
vs
NCAT
W 88-72
+13.5
7
vs
DREX
L 77-84
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 20avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BU
L 75-76
+8.5
7
@
COLG
W 68-65
−14.5
11
@
HARV
W 77-60
−7.5
15
vs
UVM
L 74-85
+24.5
20
@
PRIN
L 57-70
−18.5
22
vs
DUQ
W 93-86
+31.5
28
@
WAKE
L 73-86
+4.5
3
@
HC
L 59-76
−10.5
7
vs
CCSU
W 73-56
−9.5
20
@
SYR
L 83-91
+33.5
22
@
URI
L 77-85
+17.5
29
@
ELON
L 91-103
+40.5
31
@
NCAT
W 85-74
+7.5
3
@
CAM
L 82-97
+24.5
8
vs
UNCW
L 78-87
+22.5
10
vs
TOW
L 78-87
+21.5
15
vs
ELON
W 85-78
+5.5
19
@
MONM
L 68-81
+5.5
22
vs
STBK
L 80-95
+26.5
24
@
DREX
L 78-83
+21.5
31
vs
COFC
L 84-89
+11.5
5
@
HOF
L 63-80
−10.5
7
@
STBK
L 55-69
−29.5
12
vs
W&M
L 67-94
−6.5
19
vs
DREX
L 61-70
−12.5
21
vs
HOF
L 68-82
+5.5
26
@
W&M
L 77-84
−3.5
28
@
HAMP
L 65-76
−4.5
3
vs
MONM
L 83-89
+23.5
6
vs
NCAT
W 88-72
+8.5
7
vs
DREX
L 77-84
+22.5
over 20under 11avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
33 games played
Straight up
16-17
48% wins
Against the spread
17-16
52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 52-76 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 90-77 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 79-91 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 49-54 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 87-96 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 65-74 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs | L 59-69 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 64-77 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 83-67 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 100-91 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 91-93 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 57-74 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 79-80 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 50-58 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 97-103 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 2 | @ | W 72-64 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 78-69 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | @ | W 85-68 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 82-69 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 16 | vs | W 85-58 | +2.5 | W +29.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 22 | @ | L 67-70 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 68-65 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 5 | vs | W 75-73 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 8 | @ | W 73-72 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Mar 11 | @ | L 60-74 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NE
W 76-75
+3.5
7
@
NU
L 52-76
−6.5
12
vs
BRWN
W 90-77
+9.5
15
vs
MRMK
L 79-91
−14.5
18
@
COLU
L 49-54
−0.5
22
vs
HARV
W 75-74
+5.5
25
@
PSU
L 87-96
+5.5
29
@
NKU
L 65-74
−1.5
6
@
UNH
L 82-88
−11.5
10
vs
ME
L 59-69
−18.5
13
@
DART
L 64-77
−10.5
21
vs
UML
W 88-76
+6.5
31
@
NAVY
L 77-82
−0.5
3
vs
AMER
L 62-64
−3.5
7
@
LAF
W 83-67
+14.5
10
vs
ARMY
W 100-91
+1.5
14
vs
LEH
L 91-93
−6.5
17
@
L-MD
L 57-74
−18.5
21
vs
LAF
W 77-73
−0.5
24
@
COLG
L 79-80
+6.5
28
vs
NAVY
L 50-58
−6.5
31
@
BUCK
L 97-103
−7.5
2
@
HC
W 72-64
+5.5
7
vs
L-MD
W 78-69
+3.5
11
@
ARMY
W 85-68
+14.5
14
vs
BUCK
W 82-69
+7.5
16
vs
COLG
W 85-58
+29.5
22
@
LEH
L 67-70
−5.5
25
vs
HC
W 78-63
+6.5
28
@
AMER
W 68-65
+6.5
5
vs
AMER
W 75-73
+0.5
8
@
NAVY
W 73-72
+7.5
11
@
LEH
L 60-74
−16.5
covered 17didn’t cover 16avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
NE
W 76-75
+8.5
7
@
NU
L 52-76
−8.5
12
vs
BRWN
W 90-77
+37.5
15
vs
MRMK
L 79-91
+34.5
18
@
COLU
L 49-54
−41.5
22
vs
HARV
W 75-74
+12.5
25
@
PSU
L 87-96
+40.5
29
@
NKU
L 65-74
−4.5
6
@
UNH
L 82-88
+35.5
10
vs
ME
L 59-69
−0.5
13
@
DART
L 64-77
−3.5
21
vs
UML
W 88-76
+18.5
31
@
NAVY
L 77-82
+21.5
3
vs
AMER
L 62-64
−16.5
7
@
LAF
W 83-67
+7.5
10
vs
ARMY
W 100-91
+50.5
14
vs
LEH
L 91-93
+39.5
17
@
L-MD
L 57-74
−17.5
21
vs
LAF
W 77-73
+4.5
24
@
COLG
L 79-80
+11.5
28
vs
NAVY
L 50-58
−30.5
31
@
BUCK
L 97-103
+61.5
2
@
HC
W 72-64
−3.5
7
vs
L-MD
W 78-69
+1.5
11
@
ARMY
W 85-68
+12.5
14
vs
BUCK
W 82-69
+13.5
16
vs
COLG
W 85-58
−2.5
22
@
LEH
L 67-70
−4.5
25
vs
HC
W 78-63
−0.5
28
@
AMER
W 68-65
−7.5
5
vs
AMER
W 75-73
+6.5
8
@
NAVY
W 73-72
+8.5
11
@
LEH
L 60-74
−4.5
over 19under 14avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern has the better starters
Position by position: Northeastern 2, Boston U 0, even 3
NortheasternBetterBoston U
G M. Loughnane10.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.8 ast
Score 45
←NESmall
G A. Abdullah8.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 13
G R. King TR5.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 46
=Even
G D. Tisinger6.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 37
G M. Newton5.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.9 ast
Not ranked
=No call
G K. Alexander1 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast
Not ranked
G R. Williams7.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 89
←NEBig
F S. Hughes9.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 10
C P. Pinter3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 5
=Even
F Q. Nielsen1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.1 ast
Score 5
NortheasternBetterBoston U
NE offense194th of 366 · -6.0
=Even
BU defense201st of 366 · -5.0
NE defense263rd of 366 · -6.8
=Even
BU offense305th of 366 · -9.5
Backcourt-0.9 · 4 players
←NEBig
Backcourt-5.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
←NESmall
Frontcourt-4.3 · 2 players
Bench-1.8 · 3 players
→BUSmall
Bench-0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestNE betterBU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
M. Loughnane31 minR. King19 min · TRM. Newton17 minR. Williams15 minL. Bond14 min · TRD. GrosberNew
Forwards
B. Young5 min · TRJ. IcitovicNewD. JungNewS. BaptisteNew
Centers
P. Pinter14 minL. Koelsch9 min
Guards
A. Abdullah30 minD. Tisinger20 minK. Alexander11 minP. Carr2 minA. ZakheimNewJ. TerryNew
Forwards
S. Hughes30 minQ. Nielsen8 minM. Oberti4 min · TRA. Bhesania3 minM. BaptisteNewD. LloydNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 74.9 #168 | Points per game | 74.5 #176 |
| 1.07 #210 | Points per possession | 1.14 #72 |
| 69.9 #120 | Pace (possessions) | 65.2 #340 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.4 #130 | Effective FG% | 57.5 #11 |
| 33.7 #187 | 3-point % | 38.9 #5 |
| 37.8 #218 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.8 #92 |
| 29.4 #324 | Free throw rate | 31.4 #270 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.3 #159 | Turnover rate | 17.7 #252 |
| 27.3 #286 | Offensive rebound rate | 28.0 #269 |
| 15.3 #75 | Assists per game | 14.2 #131 |
| Defense | ||
| 80.9 #331 | Points allowed | 74.5 #174 |
| 1.16 #335 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #310 |
| 56.4 #351 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.6 #288 |
| 35.8 #297 | Opponent 3-point % | 36.6 #330 |
| 16.8 #163 | Turnovers forced | 13.0 #353 |
| 69.8 #169 | Defensive rebound rate | 72.0 #65 |
| 7.0 #131 | Steals per game | 4.7 #346 |
| 3.0 #229 | Blocks per game | 3.3 #181 |
Northeastern
7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Drexel77–84
- Wvs NC A&T88–72
- Lvs Monmouth83–89
- L@ Hampton65–76
- L@ William & Mary77–84
A week or more of rest.
Boston U
16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lehigh60–74
- W@ Navy73–72
- Wvs American75–73
- W@ American68–65
- Wvs Holy Cross78–63
A week or more of rest.