Hynes Athletics Center · at Iona
#186UVMVermont
@
#232IONAIona
LineIONA -1.5no move
Total145.5down 1 from 146.5
Season records: Vermont and Iona
UVMThis seasonIONA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IONA 72–70 · win probability IONA 57%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
IONA -1.5
no move since the open
Total
145.5
model 141.9 · Under by 3.5
Model edge
IONA by 0.5
model vs market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges

UVM 2, IONA 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IONABig
Three-pointers
UVM hits 33.3% and allows 35.3%; IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 44.6% and 45.9% of their shots
UVMBig
IONA offense vs UVM defense
Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 134th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UVM plays 65.2 a game (342nd fastest), IONA 69.8 (129th). Faster games mean more points
UVMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UVM 26.2%, IONA 27.8%. Defensive: UVM 77.0%, IONA 68.8%
IONASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UVM 31.1, IONA 29.3. Allowed: UVM 36.4, IONA 28.8
IONASmall
UVM offense vs IONA defense
Offense 264th of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings
IONASmall
Home court
IONA at home. This season: IONA 0-0 at home, UVM 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UVM 14.3%, IONA 17.2%. Forced: UVM 14.8%, IONA 16.6%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UVM 53.1 and allows 50.4; IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9
Context
Schedule so far
UVM has played the 325th-hardest schedule, IONA the 326th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UVM 31%, IONA 31%. Transfers in: UVM 4, IONA 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of under 3193856%51%49%
Non-conference games at this spread109454%49%50%
Games with a total of 145 to 149.5354774%49%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UVM +100 · IONA -120
Line movement
Median of 6 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened IONA -1.5 · now IONA -1 · moved 0.5 toward UVMmodel IONA -2
Opened 146.5 · now 145.5 · moved 1.5 downmodel 142
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
UVMWinnerIONA
Bets
Money
Money leans UVM · 27 pts more of the money than of the bets

Books

6 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
UVMIONAOverUnderUVMIONA
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-1-110+1-110145-115145-105——
BetRiversBetRivers-0.5-104+0.5-124147.5-112147.5-114-104-124
BovadaBovada-1-110+1-110145-115145-105——
DraftKingsDK-1.5-115+1.5-105145.5-110145.5-110-105-115
FanDuelFD-1.5-122+1.5+100145.5-115145.5-105-110-110
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-1-106+1-106145-113145-103——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadIONA -1.5IONA -2.1IONA +0.6
Total145.5141.9Under 3.6
Projected score—UVM 69.9 · IONA 72

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadIONA -1.1—
1H total66.4—
1H projected scoreUVM 32.6 · IONA 33.8—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Vermont 2, Iona 2, even 1
VermontBetterIona
G D. Yepdo TR10.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 24
IONASmall
G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44
G J. Broom TR2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
Even
G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17
G M. Nkugwa2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
IONASmall
G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
F G. Yalden16.1 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 96
UVMBig
F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
F N. Barnett5.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 41
UVMBig
F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3
VermontBetterIona
UVM offense264th of 366 · -8.1
IONASmall
IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0
UVM defense134th of 366 · -2.5
UVMBig
IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.3 · 2 players
UVMBig
Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUVM betterIONA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Vermont
Guards
D. Yepdo32 min · TRJ. Broom15 min · TRM. Nkugwa13 minD. Glazkov13 min · TRK. Badru10 min · TRS. Clemons2 min
Forwards
G. Yalden26 minN. Barnett22 minM. BrunettoNewM. MasicNewS. GbiegbaNew
Iona
Guards
K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew
Forwards
A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UVMIONA
Scoring
72.1 #237Points per game73.8 #206
1.11 #124Points per possession1.06 #228
65.2 #342Pace (possessions)69.8 #129
Shooting
53.1 #95Effective FG%51.9 #149
33.3 #2083-point %35.1 #105
44.6 #773-point attempt rate45.9 #49
31.1 #279Free throw rate29.3 #326
Possessions
14.3 #34Turnover rate17.2 #220
26.2 #318Offensive rebound rate27.8 #274
12.3 #266Assists per game14.0 #147
Defense
68.8 #44Points allowed73.1 #136
1.05 #96Points allowed per possession1.05 #85
50.4 #121Opponent effective FG%48.9 #64
35.3 #267Opponent 3-point %30.6 #25
14.8 #307Turnovers forced16.6 #180
77.0 #2Defensive rebound rate68.8 #212
4.5 #354Steals per game6.6 #159
2.7 #279Blocks per game3.0 #227

Vermont

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC59–74
  • Wvs NJIT63–54
  • Wvs Bryant77–57
  • Wvs UAlbany69–56
  • Wvs UMass Lowell66–64

A week or more of rest.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
  • W@ Manhattan69–65
  • Wvs Rider80–58
  • L@ Merrimack86–88
  • Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.