Hynes Athletics Center · at Iona
Line
IONA -1.5no move
Total145.5down 1 from 146.5
| This season | IONA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects IONA 72–70 · win probability IONA 57%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
IONA -1.5
no move since the open
Total
145.5
model 141.9 · Under by 3.5
Model edge
IONA by 0.5
model vs market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges
UVM 2, IONA 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Three-pointers
UVM hits 33.3% and allows 35.3%; IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 44.6% and 45.9% of their shots
IONA offense vs UVM defense
Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 134th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UVM plays 65.2 a game (342nd fastest), IONA 69.8 (129th). Faster games mean more points
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UVM 26.2%, IONA 27.8%. Defensive: UVM 77.0%, IONA 68.8%
Free throws
Free throw rate: UVM 31.1, IONA 29.3. Allowed: UVM 36.4, IONA 28.8
UVM offense vs IONA defense
Offense 264th of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings
Home court
IONA at home. This season: IONA 0-0 at home, UVM 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UVM 14.3%, IONA 17.2%. Forced: UVM 14.8%, IONA 16.6%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UVM 53.1 and allows 50.4; IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9
Context
Schedule so far
UVM has played the 325th-hardest schedule, IONA the 326th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UVM 31%, IONA 31%. Transfers in: UVM 4, IONA 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of under 3 | 1938 | 56% | 51% | 49% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1094 | 54% | 49% | 50% |
| Games with a total of 145 to 149.5 | 3547 | 74% | 49% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenIONA -1.5
no move
NowIONA -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 1
Now145.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UVM +100 · IONA -120
Line movement
Median of 6 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened IONA -1.5 · now IONA -1 · moved 0.5 toward UVMmodel IONA -2
model IONA -2
Opened 146.5 · now 145.5 · moved 1.5 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Money leans UVM · 27 pts more of the money than of the bets
Books
6 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | IONA | Over | Under | UVM | IONA | |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -1-110 | +1-110 | 145-115 | 145-105 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -0.5-104 | +0.5-124 | 147.5-112 | 147.5-114 | -104 | -124 |
| BovadaBovada | -1-110 | +1-110 | 145-115 | 145-105 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -1.5-115 | +1.5-105 | 145.5-110 | 145.5-110 | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuelFD | -1.5-122 | +1.5+100 | 145.5-115 | 145.5-105 | -110 | -110 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -1-106 | +1-106 | 145-113 | 145-103 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IONA -1.5 | IONA -2.1 | IONA +0.6 |
| Total | 145.5 | 141.9 | Under 3.6 |
| Projected score | — | UVM 69.9 · IONA 72 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IONA -1.1 | — |
| 1H total | 66.4 | — |
| 1H projected score | UVM 32.6 · IONA 33.8 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | |
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UVM 0–3 IONAIONA leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · IONA has won the last 3 meetings · UVM 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | IONA 83 @ UVM 78 | UVM -6.5 | IONA W |
| Nov 15, 2024-25 | UVM 59 @ IONA 62 | IONA +4.5 | IONA W |
| Nov 18, 2022-23 | UVM 50 vs IONA 71 | IONA -2.5 | IONA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
32 games played
Straight up
20-12
63% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-15
53% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | @ | L 69-75 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 80-61 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 60-59 | -20.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 68-75 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 77-68 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 62-52 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 64-55 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 77-79 | -13.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 70-76 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 80-57 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 12 | @ | W 73-65 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 90-63 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 19 | @ | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 70-64 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 26 | vs | W 66-64 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 69-56 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 77-57 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Mar 10 | vs | W 63-54 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 117 |
| Mar 14 | @ | L 59-74 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@
BRWN
W 89-84
−0.5
15
@
NE
W 85-74
+12.5
18
@
BUF
L 90-94
−5.5
24
vs
LIB
L 73-79
+2.5
25
vs
URI
L 65-80
−10.5
26
vs
PRIN
W 79-74
−0.5
30
vs
YALE
L 74-77
+3.5
3
@
ORST
L 58-80
−18.5
6
@
PEPP
W 65-56
+7.5
14
vs
MRMK
W 66-59
+0.5
17
vs
SIE
W 83-69
+11.5
20
vs
IONA
L 78-83
−11.5
30
@
PRIN
L 69-75
−9.5
3
@
UNH
W 80-61
+11.5
8
vs
BING
W 60-59
−19.5
15
vs
ME
W 67-62
−9.5
19
@
UALB
L 68-75
−12.5
22
@
UML
W 77-68
+4.5
24
@
BRY
W 62-52
+1.5
29
vs
UMBC
W 64-55
+0.5
31
vs
NJIT
L 77-79
−15.5
5
@
ME
L 70-76
−14.5
7
vs
UNH
W 80-57
+13.5
12
@
BING
W 73-65
−3.5
14
vs
BRY
W 90-63
+13.5
19
@
UMBC
L 62-75
−14.5
21
@
NJIT
W 70-64
−0.5
26
vs
UML
W 66-64
−7.5
3
vs
UALB
W 69-56
+3.5
7
vs
BRY
W 77-57
+8.5
10
vs
NJIT
W 63-54
−1.5
14
@
UMBC
L 59-74
−13.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@
BRWN
W 89-84
+41.5
15
@
NE
W 85-74
+24.5
18
@
BUF
L 90-94
+42.5
24
vs
LIB
L 73-79
+10.5
25
vs
URI
L 65-80
+0.5
26
vs
PRIN
W 79-74
+12.5
30
vs
YALE
L 74-77
+3.5
3
@
ORST
L 58-80
−5.5
6
@
PEPP
W 65-56
−21.5
14
vs
MRMK
W 66-59
−11.5
17
vs
SIE
W 83-69
+17.5
20
vs
IONA
L 78-83
+8.5
30
@
PRIN
L 69-75
+7.5
3
@
UNH
W 80-61
+1.5
8
vs
BING
W 60-59
−21.5
15
vs
ME
W 67-62
−1.5
19
@
UALB
L 68-75
+3.5
22
@
UML
W 77-68
−0.5
24
@
BRY
W 62-52
−19.5
29
vs
UMBC
W 64-55
−22.5
31
vs
NJIT
L 77-79
+16.5
5
@
ME
L 70-76
+15.5
7
vs
UNH
W 80-57
−1.5
12
@
BING
W 73-65
+1.5
14
vs
BRY
W 90-63
+19.5
19
@
UMBC
L 62-75
−5.5
21
@
NJIT
W 70-64
−8.5
26
vs
UML
W 66-64
−16.5
3
vs
UALB
W 69-56
−11.5
7
vs
BRY
W 77-57
+3.5
10
vs
NJIT
W 63-54
−17.5
14
@
UMBC
L 59-74
−1.5
over 17under 15avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iona
32 games played
Straight up
18-14
56% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-20
38% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 105-91 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | O 196 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 76-71 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 89-69 | -2.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 75-96 | +11.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 91-84 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 75-80 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | @ | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 5 | vs | L 68-89 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | @ | W 81-69 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 69-63 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 64-91 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 83-78 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 59-66 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 75-72 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 38-83 | +4.5 | L −40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | vs | W 71-53 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | vs | W 74-48 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 68-72 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 63-77 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 61-60 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 66-57 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 30 | vs | L 70-71 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 72-79 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 76-83 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 13 | @ | W 69-63 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 15 | @ | L 68-70 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 132.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 20 | vs | W 72-64 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 22 | @ | L 86-88 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 27 | vs | W 80-58 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 1 | @ | W 69-65 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 5 | vs | L 80-91 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
HOF
W 81-73
+9.5
11
@
KC
W 105-91
+9.5
14
vs
FOR
W 76-71
−0.5
18
vs
PRIN
W 89-69
+17.5
21
vs
AKR
L 75-96
−9.5
22
vs
ORST
W 91-84
+10.5
24
vs
GB
L 75-80
−10.5
1
@
DEL
W 89-66
+21.5
5
vs
QUIN
L 68-89
−23.5
7
@
SHU
W 81-69
+13.5
10
vs
BRY
W 69-63
−2.5
13
@
SJU
L 64-91
+1.5
20
@
UVM
W 83-78
+11.5
29
@
MSM
L 59-66
−9.5
2
vs
SIE
W 75-72
+4.5
4
@
MRST
L 38-83
−40.5
9
vs
NIA
W 71-53
+7.5
11
vs
CAN
W 74-48
+14.5
14
@
RID
L 68-72
−11.5
19
@
SPU
L 63-77
−10.5
22
vs
MRMK
W 61-60
+2.5
24
vs
MAN
W 66-57
+1.5
30
vs
FAIR
L 70-71
−2.5
5
@
SIE
L 72-79
+1.5
7
vs
MSM
L 76-83
−10.5
13
@
CAN
W 69-63
+1.5
15
@
NIA
L 68-70
−5.5
20
vs
SPU
W 72-64
+6.5
22
@
MRMK
L 86-88
+4.5
27
vs
RID
W 80-58
+10.5
1
@
MAN
W 69-65
+1.5
5
vs
SHU
L 80-91
−14.5
covered 19didn’t cover 13avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
HOF
W 81-73
+9.5
11
@
KC
W 105-91
+39.5
14
vs
FOR
W 76-71
−10.5
18
vs
PRIN
W 89-69
+3.5
21
vs
AKR
L 75-96
−2.5
22
vs
ORST
W 91-84
+17.5
24
vs
GB
L 75-80
+4.5
1
@
DEL
W 89-66
+5.5
5
vs
QUIN
L 68-89
−6.5
7
@
SHU
W 81-69
−13.5
10
vs
BRY
W 69-63
−14.5
13
@
SJU
L 64-91
−4.5
20
@
UVM
W 83-78
+8.5
29
@
MSM
L 59-66
−28.5
2
vs
SIE
W 75-72
−2.5
4
@
MRST
L 38-83
−27.5
9
vs
NIA
W 71-53
−16.5
11
vs
CAN
W 74-48
−19.5
14
@
RID
L 68-72
−1.5
19
@
SPU
L 63-77
−1.5
22
vs
MRMK
W 61-60
−22.5
24
vs
MAN
W 66-57
−30.5
30
vs
FAIR
L 70-71
−5.5
5
@
SIE
L 72-79
+10.5
7
vs
MSM
L 76-83
+17.5
13
@
CAN
W 69-63
−5.5
15
@
NIA
L 68-70
+5.5
20
vs
SPU
W 72-64
−4.5
22
@
MRMK
L 86-88
+37.5
27
vs
RID
W 80-58
−3.5
1
@
MAN
W 69-65
−17.5
5
vs
SHU
L 80-91
+21.5
over 12under 20avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The starting fives are even
Position by position: Vermont 2, Iona 2, even 1
VermontBetterIona
G D. Yepdo TR10.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 24
→IONASmall
G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 44
G J. Broom TR2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 14
=Even
G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 17
G M. Nkugwa2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 31
→IONASmall
G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 53
F G. Yalden16.1 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 96
←UVMBig
F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 50
F N. Barnett5.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 41
←UVMBig
F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 3
VermontBetterIona
UVM offense264th of 366 · -8.1
→IONASmall
IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0
UVM defense134th of 366 · -2.5
←UVMBig
IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
=Even
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.3 · 2 players
←UVMBig
Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
=Even
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestUVM betterIONA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
D. Yepdo32 min · TRJ. Broom15 min · TRM. Nkugwa13 minD. Glazkov13 min · TRK. Badru10 min · TRS. Clemons2 min
Forwards
G. Yalden26 minN. Barnett22 minM. BrunettoNewM. MasicNewS. GbiegbaNew
Guards
K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew
Forwards
A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 72.1 #237 | Points per game | 73.8 #206 |
| 1.11 #124 | Points per possession | 1.06 #228 |
| 65.2 #342 | Pace (possessions) | 69.8 #129 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.1 #95 | Effective FG% | 51.9 #149 |
| 33.3 #208 | 3-point % | 35.1 #105 |
| 44.6 #77 | 3-point attempt rate | 45.9 #49 |
| 31.1 #279 | Free throw rate | 29.3 #326 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.3 #34 | Turnover rate | 17.2 #220 |
| 26.2 #318 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.8 #274 |
| 12.3 #266 | Assists per game | 14.0 #147 |
| Defense | ||
| 68.8 #44 | Points allowed | 73.1 #136 |
| 1.05 #96 | Points allowed per possession | 1.05 #85 |
| 50.4 #121 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.9 #64 |
| 35.3 #267 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.6 #25 |
| 14.8 #307 | Turnovers forced | 16.6 #180 |
| 77.0 #2 | Defensive rebound rate | 68.8 #212 |
| 4.5 #354 | Steals per game | 6.6 #159 |
| 2.7 #279 | Blocks per game | 3.0 #227 |
Vermont
20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UMBC59–74
- Wvs NJIT63–54
- Wvs Bryant77–57
- Wvs UAlbany69–56
- Wvs UMass Lowell66–64
A week or more of rest.
Iona
18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
- W@ Manhattan69–65
- Wvs Rider80–58
- L@ Merrimack86–88
- Wvs Saint Peter's72–64
A week or more of rest.