NJIT Highlanders at Iona Gaels: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ETHynes Athletics Center · at Iona

#316NJITNJIT

#232IONAIona

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: NJIT and Iona
NJIT	This season	IONA
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IONA 76–67 · win probability IONA 78%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 143.0

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges

NJIT 0, IONA 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

IONABig

Three-pointers

NJIT hits 30.4% and allows 32.3%; IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 40.1% and 45.9% of their shots

IONABig

NJIT offense vs IONA defense

Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings

IONABig

Shooting

Effective FG%: NJIT 46.7 and allows 50.0; IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9

IONASmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: NJIT 33.2, IONA 29.3. Allowed: NJIT 37.9, IONA 28.8

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: NJIT plays 67.9 a game (235th fastest), IONA 69.8 (129th). Faster games mean more points

IONASmall

Home court

IONA at home. This season: IONA 0-0 at home, NJIT 0-0 away

IONASmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: NJIT 26.2%, IONA 27.8%. Defensive: NJIT 67.9%, IONA 68.8%

Context

Schedule so far

NJIT has played the 282nd-hardest schedule, IONA the 326th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: NJIT 39%, IONA 31%. Transfers in: NJIT 4, IONA 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: NJIT 17.1%, IONA 17.2%. Forced: NJIT 16.1%, IONA 16.6%

Even

IONA offense vs NJIT defense

Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 250th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	IONA -8.9	—
Total	—	143.0	—
Projected score	—	NJIT 67 · IONA 76

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	IONA -5.2	—
1H total	66.9	—
1H projected score	NJIT 30.9 · IONA 36.1	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NJIT WLLLW	19-13	59%	12-7	—
IONA WWWWL	19-13	59%	9-5	—

Venue/role: NJIT away; IONA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
NJIT UUUUU	14-18	44%	15-17
IONA UOUUO	12-20	38%	18-14

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NJIT	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	2-8 20%
IONA	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

NJIT

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 8	vs SPU	L48–75LU
Nov 10	@ RUTG	L61–75WO
Nov 11	@ VCU	No recent meeting

Iona

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 8	@ SJU	L64–91WU
Nov 10	@ FOR	W76–71LU
Nov 13	@ HOF	W81–73WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

NJIT

32 games played

Straight up

15-17

47% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-18

44% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1747%

W L W W L L L L L L W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

W L W W L W W L L W W L L L W W L W W L W W W W W W L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1844%

U U U O U O O U U O O U O U U O O U O O O O U U O U O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@FOR	W 72-61	+14.5	W +25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 8	vsFAIR	L 53-74	+6.5	L −14.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 11	@L-MD	W 66-64	+10.5	W +12.5	139.5	U 130
Nov 15	vsFDU	W 93-81	-2.5	W +9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 18	@DREX	L 43-75	+13.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 22	@NAVY	L 70-86	+17.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 24	@CIN	L 67-94	+34.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 161
Nov 26	@LOU	L 47-104	+44.5	L −12.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 28	@EMU	L 55-73	+14.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 5	@HPU	L 72-89	+28.5	W +11.5	155.5	O 161
Dec 10	vsNHVN	W 70-64	+2.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 134
Dec 13	vsSHU	L 49-65	+6.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 22	@BTLR	L 52-101	+32.5	L −16.5	149.5	O 153
Dec 31	@PENN	L 61-80	+14.5	L −4.5	151.5	U 141
Jan 3	@BING	W 73-65	+3.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 8	vsUNH	W 80-76	+2.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 156
Jan 10	vsME	L 70-74	-1.5	L −5.5	130.5	O 144
Jan 15	@UML	W 73-64	+8.5	W +17.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 19	vsBRY	W 79-55	-1.5	W +22.5	132.5	O 134
Jan 22	@UMBC	L 74-87	+6.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 161
Jan 29	@UALB	W 77-68	+5.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 145
Jan 31	@UVM	W 79-77	+13.5	W +15.5	139.5	O 156
Feb 5	vsUML	W 81-56	-1.5	W +23.5	149.5	U 137
Feb 7	vsBING	W 73-64	-8.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 12	@UNH	W 76-70	+2.5	W +8.5	145.5	O 146
Feb 14	@ME	W 67-58	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	U 125
Feb 19	vsUALB	L 63-81	-3.5	L −21.5	142.5	O 144
Feb 21	vsUVM	L 64-70	+6.5	W +0.5	142.5	U 134
Feb 28	@BRY	L 52-69	-1.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 121
Mar 3	vsUMBC	L 52-91	+4.5	L −34.5	143.5	U 143
Mar 7	vsME	W 60-58	-3.5	L −1.5	134.5	U 118
Mar 10	@UVM	L 54-63	+10.5	W +1.5	134.5	U 117

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

+25.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−14.5

L-MD

W 66-64

+12.5

FDU

W 93-81

+9.5

DREX

L 43-75

−18.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+1.5

CIN

L 67-94

+7.5

LOU

L 47-104

−12.5

EMU

L 55-73

−3.5

HPU

L 72-89

+11.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+8.5

SHU

L 49-65

−9.5

BTLR

L 52-101

−16.5

PENN

L 61-80

−4.5

BING

W 73-65

+11.5

UNH

W 80-76

+6.5

L 70-74

−5.5

UML

W 73-64

+17.5

BRY

W 79-55

+22.5

UMBC

L 74-87

−6.5

UALB

W 77-68

+14.5

UVM

W 79-77

+15.5

UML

W 81-56

+23.5

BING

W 73-64

+0.5

UNH

W 76-70

+8.5

W 67-58

+7.5

UALB

L 63-81

−21.5

UVM

L 64-70

+0.5

BRY

L 52-69

−18.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−34.5

W 60-58

−1.5

UVM

L 54-63

+1.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

−14.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−18.5

L-MD

W 66-64

−9.5

FDU

W 93-81

+27.5

DREX

L 43-75

−20.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+15.5

CIN

L 67-94

+19.5

LOU

L 47-104

−7.5

EMU

L 55-73

−13.5

HPU

L 72-89

+5.5

NHVN

W 70-64

+3.5

SHU

L 49-65

−37.5

BTLR

L 52-101

+3.5

PENN

L 61-80

−10.5

BING

W 73-65

−2.5

UNH

W 80-76

+18.5

L 70-74

+13.5

UML

W 73-64

−8.5

BRY

W 79-55

+1.5

UMBC

L 74-87

+17.5

UALB

W 77-68

+5.5

UVM

W 79-77

+16.5

UML

W 81-56

−12.5

BING

W 73-64

−3.5

UNH

W 76-70

+0.5

W 67-58

−12.5

UALB

L 63-81

+1.5

UVM

L 64-70

−8.5

BRY

L 52-69

−17.5

UMBC

L 52-91

−0.5

W 60-58

−16.5

UVM

L 54-63

−17.5

over 14under 18avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Iona

32 games played

Straight up

18-14

56% wins

Against the spread

19-13

59% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line

Over / Under

12-20

38% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

18-1456%

W W W W L W L W L W W L W L W L W W L L W W L L L W L W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1359%

W W L W L W L W L W L W W L W L W W L L W W L W L W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

12-2038%

O O U O U O O O U U U U O U U U U U U U U U U O O U O U O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsHOF	W 81-73	+1.5	W +9.5	144.5	O 154
Nov 11	@KC	W 105-91	-4.5	W +9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 14	vsFOR	W 76-71	-5.5	L −0.5	157.5	U 147
Nov 18	vsPRIN	W 89-69	-2.5	W +17.5	154.5	O 158
Nov 21	vsAKR	L 75-96	+11.5	L −9.5	173.5	U 171
Nov 22	vsORST	W 91-84	+3.5	W +10.5	157.5	O 175
Nov 24	vsGB	L 75-80	-5.5	L −10.5	150.5	O 155
Dec 1	@DEL	W 89-66	-1.5	W +21.5	149.5	O 155
Dec 5	vsQUIN	L 68-89	-2.5	L −23.5	163.5	U 157
Dec 7	@SHU	W 81-69	+1.5	W +13.5	163.5	U 150
Dec 10	vsBRY	W 69-63	-8.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 132
Dec 13	@SJU	L 64-91	+28.5	W +1.5	159.5	U 155
Dec 20	@UVM	W 83-78	+6.5	W +11.5	152.5	O 161
Dec 29	@MSM	L 59-66	-2.5	L −9.5	153.5	U 125
Jan 2	vsSIE	W 75-72	+1.5	W +4.5	149.5	U 147
Jan 4	@MRST	L 38-83	+4.5	L −40.5	148.5	U 121
Jan 9	vsNIA	W 71-53	-10.5	W +7.5	140.5	U 124
Jan 11	vsCAN	W 74-48	-11.5	W +14.5	141.5	U 122
Jan 14	@RID	L 68-72	-7.5	L −11.5	141.5	U 140
Jan 19	@SPU	L 63-77	+3.5	L −10.5	141.5	U 140
Jan 22	vsMRMK	W 61-60	+1.5	W +2.5	143.5	U 121
Jan 24	vsMAN	W 66-57	-7.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 123
Jan 30	vsFAIR	L 70-71	-1.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 141
Feb 5	@SIE	L 72-79	+8.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 151
Feb 7	vsMSM	L 76-83	-3.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 159
Feb 13	@CAN	W 69-63	-4.5	W +1.5	137.5	U 132
Feb 15	@NIA	L 68-70	-3.5	L −5.5	132.5	O 138
Feb 20	vsSPU	W 72-64	-1.5	W +6.5	140.5	U 136
Feb 22	@MRMK	L 86-88	+6.5	W +4.5	136.5	O 174
Feb 27	vsRID	W 80-58	-11.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 138
Mar 1	@MAN	W 69-65	-2.5	W +1.5	151.5	U 134
Mar 5	vsSHU	L 80-91	-3.5	L −14.5	149.5	O 171

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+9.5

FOR

W 76-71

−0.5

PRIN

W 89-69

+17.5

AKR

L 75-96

−9.5

ORST

W 91-84

+10.5

L 75-80

−10.5

DEL

W 89-66

+21.5

QUIN

L 68-89

−23.5

SHU

W 81-69

+13.5

BRY

W 69-63

−2.5

SJU

L 64-91

+1.5

UVM

W 83-78

+11.5

MSM

L 59-66

−9.5

SIE

W 75-72

+4.5

MRST

L 38-83

−40.5

NIA

W 71-53

+7.5

CAN

W 74-48

+14.5

RID

L 68-72

−11.5

SPU

L 63-77

−10.5

MRMK

W 61-60

+2.5

MAN

W 66-57

+1.5

FAIR

L 70-71

−2.5

SIE

L 72-79

+1.5

MSM

L 76-83

−10.5

CAN

W 69-63

+1.5

NIA

L 68-70

−5.5

SPU

W 72-64

+6.5

MRMK

L 86-88

+4.5

RID

W 80-58

+10.5

MAN

W 69-65

+1.5

SHU

L 80-91

−14.5

covered 19didn’t cover 13avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HOF

W 81-73

+9.5

W 105-91

+39.5

FOR

W 76-71

−10.5

PRIN

W 89-69

+3.5

AKR

L 75-96

−2.5

ORST

W 91-84

+17.5

L 75-80

+4.5

DEL

W 89-66

+5.5

QUIN

L 68-89

−6.5

SHU

W 81-69

−13.5

BRY

W 69-63

−14.5

SJU

L 64-91

−4.5

UVM

W 83-78

+8.5

MSM

L 59-66

−28.5

SIE

W 75-72

−2.5

MRST

L 38-83

−27.5

NIA

W 71-53

−16.5

CAN

W 74-48

−19.5

RID

L 68-72

−1.5

SPU

L 63-77

−1.5

MRMK

W 61-60

−22.5

MAN

W 66-57

−30.5

FAIR

L 70-71

−5.5

SIE

L 72-79

+10.5

MSM

L 76-83

+17.5

CAN

W 69-63

−5.5

NIA

L 68-70

+5.5

SPU

W 72-64

−4.5

MRMK

L 86-88

+37.5

RID

W 80-58

−3.5

MAN

W 69-65

−17.5

SHU

L 80-91

+21.5

over 12under 20avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Iona has the better starters

Position by position: NJIT 1, Iona 2, even 2

NJITBetterIona

G D. Bolden12 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 47

Even

G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44

G M. Tatum TR8.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13

Even

G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17

G Q. Duncan4.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31

IONASmall

G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53

F M. Coffi TR3.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 28

IONASmall

F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50

F J. Kelly4.4 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 20

NJITSmall

F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3

NJITBetterIona

NJIT offense338th of 366 · -11.1

IONABig

IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0

NJIT defense250th of 366 · -6.6

Even

IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0

Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players

Even

Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players

Frontcourt-2.4 · 2 players

Even

Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players

Bench-3.4 · 4 players

IONASmall

Bench-0.9 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestNJIT betterIONA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

NJIT

Guards

D. Bolden30 minM. Tatum26 min · TRQ. Duncan14 minR. Awad13 minB. Stores4 min · TRA. AltobelliNew

Forwards

M. Coffi19 min · TRJ. Kelly16 minB. Oliver10 min · TRZ. Scherler7 minV. VanderstraetenNew

Centers

S. Jimenez-VojnicNew

Iona

Guards

K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew

Forwards

A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

NJIT66.2 #344

IONA73.8 #206

Points per possession

NJIT0.98 #343

IONA1.06 #228

Pace (possessions)

NJIT67.9 #235

IONA69.8 #129

Shooting

Effective FG%

NJIT46.7 #342

IONA51.9 #149

3-point %

NJIT30.4 #336

IONA35.1 #105

3-point attempt rate

NJIT40.1 #168

IONA45.9 #49

Free throw rate

NJIT33.2 #233

IONA29.3 #326

Possessions

Turnover rate

NJIT17.1 #215

IONA17.2 #220

Offensive rebound rate

NJIT26.2 #316

IONA27.8 #274

Assists per game

NJIT10.5 #350

IONA14.0 #147

Defense

Points allowed

NJIT73.7 #147

IONA73.1 #136

Points allowed per possession

NJIT1.08 #167

IONA1.05 #85

Opponent effective FG%

NJIT50.0 #99

IONA48.9 #64

Opponent 3-point %

NJIT32.3 #79

IONA30.6 #25

Turnovers forced

NJIT16.1 #214

IONA16.6 #180

Defensive rebound rate

NJIT67.9 #264

IONA68.8 #212

Steals per game

NJIT6.3 #204

IONA6.6 #159

Blocks per game

NJIT3.1 #197

IONA3.0 #227

NJIT		IONA
Scoring
66.2 #344	Points per game	73.8 #206
0.98 #343	Points per possession	1.06 #228
67.9 #235	Pace (possessions)	69.8 #129
Shooting
46.7 #342	Effective FG%	51.9 #149
30.4 #336	3-point %	35.1 #105
40.1 #168	3-point attempt rate	45.9 #49
33.2 #233	Free throw rate	29.3 #326
Possessions
17.1 #215	Turnover rate	17.2 #220
26.2 #316	Offensive rebound rate	27.8 #274
10.5 #350	Assists per game	14.0 #147
Defense
73.7 #147	Points allowed	73.1 #136
1.08 #167	Points allowed per possession	1.05 #85
50.0 #99	Opponent effective FG%	48.9 #64
32.3 #79	Opponent 3-point %	30.6 #25
16.1 #214	Turnovers forced	16.6 #180
67.9 #264	Defensive rebound rate	68.8 #212
6.3 #204	Steals per game	6.6 #159
3.1 #197	Blocks per game	3.0 #227

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NJIT

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-7 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Vermont54–63
Wvs Maine60–58
Lvs UMBC52–91
L@ Bryant52–69
Lvs Vermont64–70

A week or more of rest.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
W@ Manhattan69–65
Wvs Rider80–58
L@ Merrimack86–88
Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.

NJIT Highlanders at Iona Gaels

What could decide it: IONA has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

NJIT

Iona

Iona has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

NJIT

Iona