1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 8
  3. IONA @ SJU
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 8

Iona Gaels at St. John's Red Storm

Madison Square Garden · at St John's
#232IONAIona
@
#9SJUSt John's AP #13
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IONAThis seasonSJU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SJU 92–59 · win probability SJU 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SJU has more of the edges

IONA 1, SJU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
IONA has played the 326th-hardest schedule, SJU the 15th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SJUBig
IONA offense vs SJU defense
Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
SJUBig
SJU offense vs IONA defense
Offense 8th of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings
SJUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IONA 17.2%, SJU 14.4%. Forced: IONA 16.6%, SJU 19.1%
SJUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IONA 27.8%, SJU 35.2%. Defensive: IONA 68.8%, SJU 70.1%
SJUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: IONA 29.3, SJU 40.2. Allowed: IONA 28.8, SJU 31.8
IONASmall
Three-pointers
IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%; SJU hits 33.5% and allows 31.3%. Threes are 45.9% and 35.2% of their shots
SJUSmall
Home court
SJU at home. This season: SJU 0-0 at home, IONA 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: IONA plays 69.8 a game (129th fastest), SJU 70.8 (82nd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IONA 31%, SJU 22%. Transfers in: IONA 5, SJU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9; SJU 51.0 and allows 47.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SJU -33.6—
Total—150.9—
Projected score—IONA 58.6 · SJU 92.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSJU -19.9—
1H total70.5—
1H projected scoreIONA 25.3 · SJU 45.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

St John's has the better starters

Position by position: Iona 0, St John's 5, even 0
IonaBetterSt John's
G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44
SJUBig
G T. Yessoufou TR17.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 96
G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17
SJUBig
G I. Jackson9.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 93
G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
SJUBig
F K. Hall TR19.3 pts · 7.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 98
F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
SJUBig
F D. Freeman TR16.5 pts · 7.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 92
F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3
SJUBig
F R. Bailey TR8.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
IonaBetterSt John's
IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0
SJUBig
SJU defense11th of 366 · +7.0
IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0
SJUBig
SJU offense8th of 366 · +10.5
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
SJUBig
Backcourt+6.5 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players
SJUBig
Frontcourt+12.5 · 3 players
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestIONA betterSJU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Iona
Guards
K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew
Forwards
A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew
St John's
Guards
T. Yessoufou33 min · TRI. Jackson18 minK. Cuffe16 min · TRA. Brown15 min · TRL. Liotopoulos8 minC. Pohto5 min
Forwards
K. Hall34 min · TRD. Freeman31 min · TRR. Bailey19 min · TRR. Prey11 minZ. MaronkaNewB. SaneNew
Centers
T. EdemaNewL. StojkovicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IONASJU
Scoring
73.8 #206Points per game80.9 #45
1.06 #228Points per possession1.14 #68
69.8 #129Pace (possessions)70.8 #82
Shooting
51.9 #149Effective FG%51.0 #192
35.1 #1053-point %33.5 #197
45.9 #493-point attempt rate35.2 #272
29.3 #326Free throw rate40.2 #57
Possessions
17.2 #220Turnover rate14.4 #38
27.8 #274Offensive rebound rate35.2 #43
14.0 #147Assists per game16.1 #44
Defense
73.1 #136Points allowed69.7 #59
1.05 #85Points allowed per possession0.98 #15
48.9 #64Opponent effective FG%47.5 #32
30.6 #25Opponent 3-point %31.3 #39
16.6 #180Turnovers forced19.1 #46
68.8 #212Defensive rebound rate70.1 #154
6.6 #159Steals per game7.7 #58
3.0 #227Blocks per game4.8 #22
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
  • W@ Manhattan69–65
  • Wvs Rider80–58
  • L@ Merrimack86–88
  • Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.

St John's

30-7 in 2025-26 overall · 21-2 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duke75–80
  • Wvs Kansas67–65
  • Wvs Northern Iowa79–53
  • Wvs UConn72–52
  • Wvs Seton Hall78–68

A week or more of rest.