1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. IONA @ HOF
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

Iona Gaels at Hofstra Pride

David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex · at Hofstra
#232IONAIona
@
#166HOFHofstra
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IONAThis seasonHOF
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HOF 75–67 · win probability HOF 75%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 141.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HOF has more of the edges

IONA 1, HOF 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
IONA has played the 326th-hardest schedule, HOF the 142nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
HOFBig
IONA offense vs HOF defense
Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 120th, on the model’s ratings
HOFBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IONA 27.8%, HOF 34.7%. Defensive: IONA 68.8%, HOF 69.0%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: IONA plays 69.8 a game (129th fastest), HOF 65.9 (319th). Faster games mean more points
HOFSmall
Home court
HOF at home. This season: HOF 0-0 at home, IONA 0-0 away
IONASmall
HOF offense vs IONA defense
Offense 254th of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: IONA 29.3, HOF 31.6. Allowed: IONA 28.8, HOF 35.1
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IONA 31%, HOF 12%. Transfers in: IONA 5, HOF 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IONA 17.2%, HOF 16.1%. Forced: IONA 16.6%, HOF 15.0%
Even
Three-pointers
IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%; HOF hits 37.1% and allows 32.3%. Threes are 45.9% and 42.9% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9; HOF 51.4 and allows 46.3
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HOF -7.7—
Total—141.6—
Projected score—IONA 67 · HOF 74.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHOF -4.4—
1H total66.3—
1H projected scoreIONA 30.9 · HOF 35.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Iona 2, Hofstra 2, even 1
IonaBetterHofstra
G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44
Even
G J. Moore TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 46
G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17
HOFSmall
G D. Tavarez TR8.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 47
G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
IONABig
F J. DeCady6.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 17
F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
IONASmall
F S. Wewe TR2.4 pts · 5.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 17
F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3
HOFBig
F I. Zorgvol TR5.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.3 ast Score 62
IonaBetterHofstra
IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0
HOFBig
HOF defense120th of 366 · -1.9
IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0
Even
HOF offense254th of 366 · -7.7
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
HOFSmall
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-3.3 · 3 players
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestIONA betterHOF betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Iona
Guards
K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew
Forwards
A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew
Hofstra
Guards
J. Moore30 min · TRD. Tavarez23 min · TRT. ThomasNewC. LopezNewT. BoydNewN. JeffersonNew
Forwards
J. DeCady25 minS. Wewe16 min · TRI. Zorgvol15 min · TRR. DunnNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IONAHOF
Scoring
73.8 #206Points per game74.4 #184
1.06 #228Points per possession1.13 #86
69.8 #129Pace (possessions)65.9 #319
Shooting
51.9 #149Effective FG%51.4 #178
35.1 #1053-point %37.1 #26
45.9 #493-point attempt rate42.9 #119
29.3 #326Free throw rate31.6 #264
Possessions
17.2 #220Turnover rate16.1 #148
27.8 #274Offensive rebound rate34.7 #54
14.0 #147Assists per game12.3 #263
Defense
73.1 #136Points allowed68.2 #36
1.05 #85Points allowed per possession1.04 #69
48.9 #64Opponent effective FG%46.3 #14
30.6 #25Opponent 3-point %32.3 #78
16.6 #180Turnovers forced15.0 #292
68.8 #212Defensive rebound rate69.0 #201
6.6 #159Steals per game4.8 #343
3.0 #227Blocks per game3.5 #135
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
  • W@ Manhattan69–65
  • Wvs Rider80–58
  • L@ Merrimack86–88
  • Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.

Hofstra

22-11 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama70–90
  • Wvs Monmouth75–69
  • Wvs Towson68–65
  • Wvs William & Mary92–61
  • Wvs Drexel62–51

A week or more of rest.