1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 8
  3. QUIN @ UVM
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 8

Quinnipiac Bobcats at Vermont Catamounts

Patrick Gymnasium · at Vermont
#241QUINQuinnipiac
@
#186UVMVermont
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
QUINThis seasonUVM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UVM 74–70 · win probability UVM 65%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 143.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UVM has more of the edges

QUIN 2, UVM 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: QUIN plays 70.3 a game (100th fastest), UVM 65.2 (342nd). Faster games mean more points
UVMSmall
QUIN offense vs UVM defense
Offense 243rd of 366 against a defense 134th, on the model’s ratings
QUINSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: QUIN 33.8, UVM 31.1. Allowed: QUIN 30.6, UVM 36.4
UVMSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: QUIN 48.1 and allows 48.9; UVM 53.1 and allows 50.4
UVMSmall
Home court
UVM at home. This season: UVM 0-0 at home, QUIN 0-0 away
QUINSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: QUIN 15.8%, UVM 14.3%. Forced: QUIN 17.4%, UVM 14.8%
Even
UVM offense vs QUIN defense
Offense 264th of 366 against a defense 232nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
QUIN hits 34.0% and allows 34.9%; UVM hits 33.3% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 33.7% and 44.6% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
QUIN has played the 324th-hardest schedule, UVM the 325th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: QUIN 34.1%, UVM 26.2%. Defensive: QUIN 68.0%, UVM 77.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: QUIN 31%, UVM 31%. Transfers in: QUIN 2, UVM 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UVM -4.5—
Total—143.6—
Projected score—QUIN 69.6 · UVM 74.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUVM -2.5—
1H total67.2—
1H projected scoreQUIN 32.3 · UVM 34.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Quinnipiac 2, Vermont 2, even 1
QuinnipiacBetterVermont
G N. Guerengomba2.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 4
UVMSmall
G D. Yepdo TR10.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 24
G T. Turnage3.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 36
QUINSmall
G J. Broom TR2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
F K. McKnight10.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79
QUINBig
G M. Nkugwa2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
F H. Pierre-Louis TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1 ast Score 1
UVMBig
F G. Yalden16.1 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 96
F N. Hart TR2.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 0 ast Score 27
Even
F N. Barnett5.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 41
QuinnipiacBetterVermont
QUIN offense243rd of 366 · -7.3
UVMSmall
UVM defense134th of 366 · -2.5
QUIN defense232nd of 366 · -6.2
Even
UVM offense264th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-2.7 · 2 players
QUINSmall
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
UVMBig
Frontcourt+3.3 · 2 players
Bench-0.6 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestQUIN betterUVM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Quinnipiac
Guards
N. Guerengomba14 minT. Turnage12 minM. ParrottaNewT. Cunningham-PembertonNewL. SekasiNewM. FieldsNew
Forwards
K. McKnight25 minH. Pierre-Louis15 min · TRN. Hart11 min · TRB. Ritvo7 minA. Akinniyi2 minC. Skenderi2 min
Vermont
Guards
D. Yepdo32 min · TRJ. Broom15 min · TRM. Nkugwa13 minD. Glazkov13 min · TRK. Badru10 min · TRS. Clemons2 min
Forwards
G. Yalden26 minN. Barnett22 minM. BrunettoNewM. MasicNewS. GbiegbaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
QUINUVM
Scoring
74.2 #190Points per game72.1 #237
1.05 #246Points per possession1.11 #124
70.3 #100Pace (possessions)65.2 #342
Shooting
48.1 #310Effective FG%53.1 #95
34.0 #1713-point %33.3 #208
33.7 #3043-point attempt rate44.6 #77
33.8 #217Free throw rate31.1 #279
Possessions
15.8 #125Turnover rate14.3 #34
34.1 #65Offensive rebound rate26.2 #318
13.0 #211Assists per game12.3 #266
Defense
72.6 #121Points allowed68.8 #44
1.04 #68Points allowed per possession1.05 #96
48.9 #65Opponent effective FG%50.4 #121
34.9 #242Opponent 3-point %35.3 #267
17.4 #122Turnovers forced14.8 #307
68.0 #253Defensive rebound rate77.0 #2
7.8 #55Steals per game4.5 #354
4.5 #37Blocks per game2.7 #279
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Quinnipiac

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Marist75–77
  • W@ Canisius67–63
  • L@ Niagara76–78
  • Lvs Fairfield79–85
  • Lvs Merrimack49–56

A week or more of rest.

Vermont

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC59–74
  • Wvs NJIT63–54
  • Wvs Bryant77–57
  • Wvs UAlbany69–56
  • Wvs UMass Lowell66–64

A week or more of rest.