1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 8
  3. CCSU @ DART
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 8

Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Dartmouth Big Green

Leede Arena · at Dartmouth
#337CCSUC Connecticut
@
#252DARTDartmouth
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CCSUThis seasonDART
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DART 75–67 · win probability DART 75%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 142.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DART has more of the edges

CCSU 2, DART 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
CCSU has played the 358th-hardest schedule, DART the 145th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DARTBig
CCSU offense vs DART defense
Offense 353rd of 366 against a defense 229th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: CCSU plays 65.5 a game (329th fastest), DART 69.6 (143rd). Faster games mean more points
CCSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CCSU 51.6 and allows 50.2; DART 51.8 and allows 52.7
DARTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CCSU 31.2, DART 38.0. Allowed: CCSU 26.9, DART 30.7
DARTSmall
Home court
DART at home. This season: DART 0-0 at home, CCSU 0-0 away
CCSUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CCSU 16.3%, DART 17.6%. Forced: CCSU 14.0%, DART 13.8%
Even
Three-pointers
CCSU hits 35.8% and allows 33.4%; DART hits 36.1% and allows 34.6%. Threes are 34.9% and 48.7% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CCSU 55%, DART 40%. Transfers in: CCSU 0, DART 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CCSU 27.5%, DART 23.7%. Defensive: CCSU 69.6%, DART 70.3%
Even
DART offense vs CCSU defense
Offense 261st of 366 against a defense 247th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DART -7.8—
Total—142.3—
Projected score—CCSU 67.2 · DART 75

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDART -4.5—
1H total66.6—
1H projected scoreCCSU 31 · DART 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Dartmouth has the better starters

Position by position: C Connecticut 0, Dartmouth 2, even 3
C ConnecticutBetterDartmouth
G J. Jones4.1 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 4
DARTSmall
G C. McNamee5.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 34
G V. Payne6.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 16
Even
G L. Williams TR4.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
G E. Parker2 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 0
DARTBig
G N. Abusara5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 47
G R. Jones3.8 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast Score 20
Even
G C. Hiatt3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
F D. James3.2 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 13
No call
G B. Brown1.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
C ConnecticutBetterDartmouth
CCSU offense353rd of 366 · -13.2
DARTSmall
DART defense229th of 366 · -6.1
CCSU defense247th of 366 · -6.5
Even
DART offense261st of 366 · -8.0
Backcourt-10.6 · 4 players
DARTBig
Backcourt-7.2 · 5 players
Frontcourt-1.2 · 1 player
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-2.0 · 2 players
DARTSmall
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestCCSU betterDART betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
C Connecticut
Guards
J. Jones30 minV. Payne24 minE. Parker14 minR. Jones10 minA. Reynolds10 minR. LaurentNew
Forwards
D. James13 minJ. Mott8 minB. JacksonNewJ. ErvinNewR. TibbyNewC. LangdonNew
Dartmouth
Guards
C. McNamee20 minL. Williams20 min · TRN. Abusara17 minC. Hiatt17 minB. Brown9 minC. AldrichNew
Forwards
P. Tivnan6 minS. Simango3 minT. Garrett3 minJ. PollackNew
Centers
A. Strelnikov6 minD. CivelloNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CCSUDART
Scoring
70.6 #272Points per game73.1 #222
1.08 #192Points per possession1.05 #253
65.5 #329Pace (possessions)69.6 #143
Shooting
51.6 #165Effective FG%51.8 #156
35.8 #693-point %36.1 #51
34.9 #2783-point attempt rate48.7 #22
31.2 #276Free throw rate38.0 #103
Possessions
16.3 #154Turnover rate17.6 #248
27.5 #281Offensive rebound rate23.7 #346
12.8 #229Assists per game12.8 #227
Defense
72.0 #105Points allowed78.4 #276
1.10 #218Points allowed per possession1.13 #287
50.2 #113Opponent effective FG%52.7 #254
33.4 #146Opponent 3-point %34.6 #227
14.0 #338Turnovers forced13.8 #339
69.6 #179Defensive rebound rate70.3 #148
5.4 #311Steals per game5.0 #337
3.9 #83Blocks per game3.5 #147
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

C Connecticut

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wagner60–70
  • Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves69–64
  • Wvs Mercyhurst80–78
  • L@ Chicago St51–70
  • Wvs Le Moyne78–77

A week or more of rest.

Dartmouth

9-16 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cornell90–111
  • L@ Princeton61–82
  • L@ Penn71–80
  • W@ Columbia64–63
  • Lvs Brown76–79

A week or more of rest.