1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. DART @ UALB
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

Dartmouth Big Green at UAlbany Great Danes

Broadview Center · at UAlbany
#252DARTDartmouth
@
#301UALBUAlbany
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DARTThis seasonUALB
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UALB 72–72 · win probability UALB 50%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DART has more of the edges

DART 3, UALB 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DARTBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: DART 38.0, UALB 24.9. Allowed: DART 30.7, UALB 35.7
DARTBig
Three-pointers
DART hits 36.1% and allows 34.6%; UALB hits 32.6% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 48.7% and 37.6% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
DART has played the 145th-hardest schedule, UALB the 260th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: DART plays 69.6 a game (143rd fastest), UALB 65.6 (324th). Faster games mean more points
DARTSmall
UALB offense vs DART defense
Offense 313th of 366 against a defense 229th, on the model’s ratings
UALBSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DART 23.7%, UALB 32.7%. Defensive: DART 70.3%, UALB 67.6%
UALBSmall
Home court
UALB at home. This season: UALB 0-0 at home, DART 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DART 17.6%, UALB 18.5%. Forced: DART 13.8%, UALB 15.8%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: DART 51.8 and allows 52.7; UALB 51.4 and allows 53.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DART 40%, UALB 38%. Transfers in: DART 1, UALB 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
DART offense vs UALB defense
Offense 261st of 366 against a defense 259th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UALB -0.1—
Total—144.7—
Projected score—DART 72.3 · UALB 72.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDART -0.1—
1H total67.7—
1H projected scoreDART 33.9 · UALB 33.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

UAlbany has the better starters

Position by position: Dartmouth 0, UAlbany 1, even 4
DartmouthBetterUAlbany
G C. McNamee5.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 34
Even
G A. Fall9.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 27
G L. Williams TR4.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
UALBSmall
G Z. Matulu9.7 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.9 ast Score 48
G N. Abusara5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 47
Even
G P. Santos TR6.9 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 51
G C. Hiatt3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
Even
G M. Rose2.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 1
G B. Brown1.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F B. Michaels TR1.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 3
DartmouthBetterUAlbany
DART offense261st of 366 · -8.0
Even
UALB defense259th of 366 · -6.7
DART defense229th of 366 · -6.1
DARTSmall
UALB offense313th of 366 · -10.0
Backcourt-7.2 · 5 players
UALBSmall
Backcourt-6.0 · 4 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-1.8 · 1 player
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.2 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestDART betterUALB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Dartmouth
Guards
C. McNamee20 minL. Williams20 min · TRN. Abusara17 minC. Hiatt17 minB. Brown9 minC. AldrichNew
Forwards
P. Tivnan6 minS. Simango3 minT. Garrett3 minJ. PollackNew
Centers
A. Strelnikov6 minD. CivelloNew
UAlbany
Guards
A. Fall31 minZ. Matulu30 minP. Santos19 min · TRM. Rose15 minP. KountaNewO. EngenNew
Forwards
B. Michaels13 min · TRE. BussingNewP. MiovicNewU. GrahamNew
Centers
K. Webb3 min · TRC. SmithNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DARTUALB
Scoring
73.1 #222Points per game68.7 #302
1.05 #253Points per possession1.05 #259
69.6 #143Pace (possessions)65.6 #324
Shooting
51.8 #156Effective FG%51.4 #182
36.1 #513-point %32.6 #248
48.7 #223-point attempt rate37.6 #220
38.0 #103Free throw rate24.9 #364
Possessions
17.6 #248Turnover rate18.5 #299
23.7 #346Offensive rebound rate32.7 #99
12.8 #227Assists per game12.8 #232
Defense
78.4 #276Points allowed74.5 #176
1.13 #287Points allowed per possession1.14 #302
52.7 #254Opponent effective FG%53.2 #275
34.6 #227Opponent 3-point %36.0 #302
13.8 #339Turnovers forced15.8 #228
70.3 #148Defensive rebound rate67.6 #277
5.0 #337Steals per game6.7 #153
3.5 #147Blocks per game3.9 #82
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Dartmouth

9-16 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cornell90–111
  • L@ Princeton61–82
  • L@ Penn71–80
  • W@ Columbia64–63
  • Lvs Brown76–79

A week or more of rest.

UAlbany

8-21 in 2025-26 overall · 7-10 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMass Lowell76–81
  • L@ Vermont56–69
  • Wvs New Hampshire84–61
  • Lvs Maine59–70
  • L@ UMBC62–66

A week or more of rest.