1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. HC @ DART
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Holy Cross Crusaders at Dartmouth Big Green

Leede Arena · at Dartmouth
#317HCHoly Cross
@
#252DARTDartmouth
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HCThis seasonDART
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DART 76–69 · win probability DART 73%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DART has more of the edges

HC 2, DART 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DARTSmall
HC offense vs DART defense
Offense 335th of 366 against a defense 229th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: HC plays 65.8 a game (320th fastest), DART 69.6 (143rd). Faster games mean more points
HCSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HC 15.3%, DART 17.6%. Forced: HC 14.1%, DART 13.8%
DARTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: HC 49.8 and allows 54.8; DART 51.8 and allows 52.7
Context
Schedule so far
HC has played the 225th-hardest schedule, DART the 145th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DARTSmall
Three-pointers
HC hits 32.5% and allows 34.0%; DART hits 36.1% and allows 34.6%. Threes are 37.3% and 48.7% of their shots
DARTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HC 31.5, DART 38.0. Allowed: HC 27.6, DART 30.7
DARTSmall
Home court
DART at home. This season: DART 0-0 at home, HC 0-0 away
HCSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HC 21.9%, DART 23.7%. Defensive: HC 73.0%, DART 70.3%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HC 51%, DART 40%. Transfers in: HC 0, DART 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
DART offense vs HC defense
Offense 261st of 366 against a defense 269th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DART -7.0—
Total—144.3—
Projected score—HC 68.7 · DART 75.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDART -4.0—
1H total67.5—
1H projected scoreHC 31.7 · DART 35.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Holy Cross 1, Dartmouth 1, even 3
Holy CrossBetterDartmouth
G J. St. Germain4.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 22
Even
G C. McNamee5.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 34
F J. Nugent11.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.7 ast Score 53
HCBig
G L. Williams TR4.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
F A. Richard4.9 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 1
DARTBig
G N. Abusara5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 47
F D. Ryan4.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 21
Even
G C. Hiatt3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
F C. Hare2 pts · 1.5 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Brown1.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
Holy CrossBetterDartmouth
HC offense335th of 366 · -10.9
DARTSmall
DART defense229th of 366 · -6.1
HC defense269th of 366 · -6.8
Even
DART offense261st of 366 · -8.0
Backcourt-1.3 · 1 player
HCBig
Backcourt-7.2 · 5 players
Frontcourt-6.1 · 4 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.7 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestHC betterDART betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Holy Cross
Guards
J. St. Germain15 minA. Mejia1 minA. AlijosiusNewK. HansonNewT. WilsonNewJ. GermanyNew
Forwards
J. Nugent30 minA. Richard27 minD. Ryan13 minC. Hare7 minJ. Haigh6 minE. Clark1 min
Centers
K. MgbejioforNew
Dartmouth
Guards
C. McNamee20 minL. Williams20 min · TRN. Abusara17 minC. Hiatt17 minB. Brown9 minC. AldrichNew
Forwards
P. Tivnan6 minS. Simango3 minT. Garrett3 minJ. PollackNew
Centers
A. Strelnikov6 minD. CivelloNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HCDART
Scoring
67.9 #314Points per game73.1 #222
1.03 #288Points per possession1.05 #253
65.8 #320Pace (possessions)69.6 #143
Shooting
49.8 #248Effective FG%51.8 #156
32.5 #2523-point %36.1 #51
37.3 #2253-point attempt rate48.7 #22
31.5 #268Free throw rate38.0 #103
Possessions
15.3 #83Turnover rate17.6 #248
21.9 #356Offensive rebound rate23.7 #346
10.7 #346Assists per game12.8 #227
Defense
74.8 #182Points allowed78.4 #276
1.14 #305Points allowed per possession1.13 #287
54.8 #324Opponent effective FG%52.7 #254
34.0 #181Opponent 3-point %34.6 #227
14.1 #330Turnovers forced13.8 #339
73.0 #37Defensive rebound rate70.3 #148
5.5 #304Steals per game5.0 #337
1.7 #355Blocks per game3.5 #147
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Holy Cross

9-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Lehigh66–69
  • W@ Lafayette82–77
  • Lvs Loyola MD62–76
  • L@ Boston U63–78
  • W@ Bucknell72–63

A week or more of rest.

Dartmouth

9-16 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cornell90–111
  • L@ Princeton61–82
  • L@ Penn71–80
  • W@ Columbia64–63
  • Lvs Brown76–79

A week or more of rest.