1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. DART @ APP
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Dartmouth Big Green at App State Mountaineers

Holmes Convocation Center · at App State
#252DARTDartmouth
@
#248APPApp State
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DARTThis seasonAPP
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects APP 72–68 · win probability APP 65%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 140.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: APP has more of the edges

DART 2, APP 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
APPBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DART 23.7%, APP 32.0%. Defensive: DART 70.3%, APP 71.0%
APPBig
DART offense vs APP defense
Offense 261st of 366 against a defense 148th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: DART plays 69.6 a game (143rd fastest), APP 64.3 (358th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
DART has played the 145th-hardest schedule, APP the 252nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
DARTSmall
APP offense vs DART defense
Offense 328th of 366 against a defense 229th, on the model’s ratings
APPSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DART 17.6%, APP 15.3%. Forced: DART 13.8%, APP 14.0%
APPSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: DART 51.8 and allows 52.7; APP 49.9 and allows 47.5
DARTSmall
Three-pointers
DART hits 36.1% and allows 34.6%; APP hits 30.4% and allows 32.2%. Threes are 48.7% and 45.9% of their shots
APPSmall
Home court
APP at home. This season: APP 0-0 at home, DART 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DART 40%, APP 25%. Transfers in: DART 1, APP 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DART 38.0, APP 39.1. Allowed: DART 30.7, APP 31.2
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—APP -4.6—
Total—140.1—
Projected score—DART 67.8 · APP 72.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadAPP -2.6—
1H total65.6—
1H projected scoreDART 31.5 · APP 34.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Dartmouth 1, App State 1, even 3
DartmouthBetterApp State
G C. McNamee5.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 34
Even
G H. Koffi TR12.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.4 ast Score 30
G L. Williams TR4.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
Even
G E. Banks6.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 15
G N. Abusara5 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 47
DARTSmall
F C. Moodie2.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.1 ast Score 15
G C. Hiatt3.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 8
APPSmall
F A. Njock2.3 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 37
G B. Brown1.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
C R. Elezaj TR0 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
DartmouthBetterApp State
DART offense261st of 366 · -8.0
APPSmall
APP defense148th of 366 · -3.2
DART defense229th of 366 · -6.1
DARTSmall
APP offense328th of 366 · -10.6
Backcourt-7.2 · 5 players
APPSmall
Backcourt-5.2 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-1.5 · 3 players
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
Even
Bench+0.0 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestDART betterAPP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Dartmouth
Guards
C. McNamee20 minL. Williams20 min · TRN. Abusara17 minC. Hiatt17 minB. Brown9 minC. AldrichNew
Forwards
P. Tivnan6 minS. Simango3 minT. Garrett3 minJ. PollackNew
Centers
A. Strelnikov6 minD. CivelloNew
App State
Guards
H. Koffi36 min · TRE. Banks26 minC. O'Kelley1 minL. LedfordNewB. KopetzkiNewJ. ColonNew
Forwards
C. Moodie12 minA. Njock11 minD. LytchNewG. ClaytonNewT. NealNew
Centers
R. Elezaj1 min · TRB. ChretienNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DARTAPP
Scoring
73.1 #222Points per game69.3 #295
1.05 #253Points per possession1.08 #187
69.6 #143Pace (possessions)64.3 #358
Shooting
51.8 #156Effective FG%49.9 #240
36.1 #513-point %30.4 #335
48.7 #223-point attempt rate45.9 #48
38.0 #103Free throw rate39.1 #77
Possessions
17.6 #248Turnover rate15.3 #87
23.7 #346Offensive rebound rate32.0 #123
12.8 #227Assists per game11.4 #318
Defense
78.4 #276Points allowed67.4 #25
1.13 #287Points allowed per possession1.05 #87
52.7 #254Opponent effective FG%47.5 #33
34.6 #227Opponent 3-point %32.2 #71
13.8 #339Turnovers forced14.0 #336
70.3 #148Defensive rebound rate71.0 #106
5.0 #337Steals per game4.6 #351
3.5 #147Blocks per game3.4 #155
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Dartmouth

9-16 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cornell90–111
  • L@ Princeton61–82
  • L@ Penn71–80
  • W@ Columbia64–63
  • Lvs Brown76–79

A week or more of rest.

App State

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Southern Miss73–86
  • L@ Texas St57–60
  • Wvs GA Southern89–74
  • Lvs Marshall93–94
  • L@ James Madison58–69

A week or more of rest.