Pensacola Bay Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
APP -4.5✓ USM covered by 17.5
APP -4.5✓ USM covered by 17.5Closing total137.5Over by 21.5
 USM | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 16-15 | Record | 17-12 |
| 16-15 | ATS | 17-12 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 11-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USM 67–70 APP · ✗ APP (59%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 44 | 42 | 86 |
| APP | 28 | 45 | 73 |
1st half: USM 44, APP 28 (USM by 16). The model had APP by 1.3 and a total of 64.2 (actual 72).
Team stats
| USM | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-64 48% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 22-29 76% |
| 42 17 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 7 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 24 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks F | 38 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 10-24 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 33 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Israel Hart G | 32 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 22 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Djahi Binet F | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tegra Izay C | 23 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Curt Lewis G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brewer Carruth G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Felipe Patino G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dalyn Brandon G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jett Montgomery, EJ Paymon, Blake Lander, Robert Cowherd, Chandler Watts, IJ Ezuma
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings G | 37 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-15 | 1-4 |
| Jalen Tot G | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Luke Wilson C | 36 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 16 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 28 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 7-13 | 3-7 |
| Chad Moodie F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Andrin Njock F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron O'Kelley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ Vasser, Ted Neal, Tre McKinnon, Luke Ledford, Grant Clayton
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -3.5
1 → APP
CloseAPP -4.5
1 pt toward APP
Total
Open135.5
▲ 2
Close137.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USM +170 · APP -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -3.5 · closed APP -4.5 · moved 1 toward APPmodel APP -2.5
model APP -2.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | APP -4.5 | APP -2.5 | USM +2.0 | W USM covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 137.1 | Under 0.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | USM 67.3 · APP 69.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | APP -1.3 | USM -16.0 |
| 1H total | 64.2 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | USM 31.4 · APP 32.8 | USM 44 · APP 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 7-3 70% | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% |
| APP | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USM 1–2 APPAPP leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · APP has won the last 2 meetings · USM 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | APP 70 @ USM 63 | USM +1.5 | APP W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | USM 58 @ APP 60 | APP -8.5 | USM W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | APP 70 @ USM 76 | USM -6.5 | APP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Miss
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUF | L 79-85 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ SC | L 79-83 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ GRAM | L 70-75 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNF | W 92-83 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs UTM | W 70-60 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | @ RAD | W 82-75 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | @ MIA | L 64-88 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 8 | vsGRAM | W 68-60 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs MISS | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs UL | W 62-54 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARST | L 86-93 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | @ LSU | L 62-90 | +21.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 1 | @ ULM | W 87-73 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 3 | @UL | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs TXST | W 80-70 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsULM | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | @ TROY | L 65-91 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | @TXST | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @ GAST | L 62-69 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ CCU | L 67-85 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsAPP | L 63-70 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | vs JMU | W 73-65 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ MRSH | L 77-81 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | vs KENT | W 66-65 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 12 | vs USA | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsTROY | W 69-65 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | vs ODU | W 86-81 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 24 | @ARST | L 84-89 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 27 | @USA | W 68-55 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 5 | vsJMU | W 86-80 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Mar 6 | vsTXST | W 81-77 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−0.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
+8.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−3.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
−5.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−6.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+4.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+3.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+7.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−4.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
−17.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
−4.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−5.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
−15.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−5.5
31
vsJMU
JMUW 73-65
+6.5
4
@MRSH
MRSHL 77-81
+6.5
7
vsKENT
KENTW 66-65
+5.5
12
vsUSA
USAL 78-84
−7.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 69-65
+9.5
21
vsODU
ODUW 86-81
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 84-89
+4.5
27
@USA
USAW 68-55
+17.5
5
vsJMU
JMUW 86-80
+8.5
6
vsTXST
TXSTW 81-77
+5.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−14.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
−0.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−16.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
+23.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−2.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+7.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+11.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+5.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−25.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
+10.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
+0.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−13.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
+10.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−1.5
31
vsJMU
JMUW 73-65
−5.5
4
@MRSH
MRSHL 77-81
+9.5
7
vsKENT
KENTW 66-65
−19.5
12
vsUSA
USAL 78-84
+26.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 69-65
−10.5
21
vsODU
ODUW 86-81
+19.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 84-89
+14.5
27
@USA
USAW 68-55
−18.5
5
vsJMU
JMUW 86-80
+22.5
6
vsTXST
TXSTW 81-77
+17.5
over 18under 13avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
29 games played
Straight up
17-12
59% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vsCCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vsGAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vsJMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 22 | vsUL | W 72-58 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 23 | vsULM | W 59-43 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 29 | @USM | W 70-63 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @TROY | W 66-44 | +7.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | vsUSA | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs EMU | W 65-60 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | @ GASO | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | @JMU | L 58-69 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 19 | vsMRSH | L 93-94 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 21 | vsGASO | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 27 | @TXST | L 57-60 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−0.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
+5.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
+29.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
+2.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−2.5
11
@GASO
GASOW 81-65
+14.5
14
@JMU
JMUL 58-69
−12.5
19
vsMRSH
MRSHL 93-94
−4.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 89-74
+7.5
27
@TXST
TXSTL 57-60
−4.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−42.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
−27.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
−9.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−6.5
11
@GASO
GASOW 81-65
+2.5
14
@JMU
JMUL 58-69
−7.5
19
vsMRSH
MRSHL 93-94
+43.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 89-74
+15.5
27
@TXST
TXSTL 57-60
−18.5
over 11under 18avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Miss
16-15 overall · 11-9 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas St81–77
- Wvs James Madison86–80
- W@ South Alabama68–55
- L@ Arkansas St84–89
- Wvs Old Dominion86–81
1 day since their last game.
App State
17-12 overall · 11-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas St57–60
- Wvs GA Southern89–74
- Lvs Marshall93–94
- L@ James Madison58–69
- W@ GA Southern81–65
A week or more of rest.