1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. RAD vs UML
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Radford Highlanders vs UMass Lowell River Hawks

Bender Arena · Neutral site
#246RADRadford
vs
#307UMLUMass Lowell
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RADThis seasonUML
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RAD 79–73 · win probability RAD 68%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

RAD 2, UML 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RADBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RAD 17.1%, UML 18.0%. Forced: RAD 18.5%, UML 14.2%
UMLBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RAD 29.8%, UML 32.7%. Defensive: RAD 67.8%, UML 70.7%
RADSmall
RAD offense vs UML defense
Offense 213th of 366 against a defense 318th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: RAD plays 73.6 a game (13th fastest), UML 68.9 (189th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
RAD has played the 243rd-hardest schedule, UML the 312th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UMLSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: RAD 42.4, UML 34.9. Allowed: RAD 40.0, UML 28.3
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: RAD 51.4 and allows 53.0; UML 49.8 and allows 53.5
Even
Three-pointers
RAD hits 33.5% and allows 35.5%; UML hits 32.2% and allows 34.6%. Threes are 45.4% and 31.3% of their shots
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RAD 12%, UML 16%. Transfers in: RAD 6, UML 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
UML offense vs RAD defense
Offense 286th of 366 against a defense 286th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RAD -5.4—
Total—151.9—
Projected score—RAD 78.7 · UML 73.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRAD -3.3—
1H total71.0—
1H projected scoreRAD 37.2 · UML 33.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Radford 2, UMass Lowell 2, even 1
RadfordBetterUMass Lowell
G J. Robinson TR6.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 52
RADBig
G C. Jones TR4.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 6
G T. Gross TR3.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 21
UMLSmall
G J. Newton TR7.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 55
F C. Jackson TR4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 36
No call
G I. Walter1.6 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F P. Kabamba TR5.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 38
RADSmall
F V. Okojie4.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.7 ast Score 11
F F. Erichsen4.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 27
UMLSmall
F J. Harris TR5.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 59
RadfordBetterUMass Lowell
RAD offense213th of 366 · -6.5
RADSmall
UML defense318th of 366 · -8.2
RAD defense286th of 366 · -7.2
Even
UML offense286th of 366 · -8.9
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
RADSmall
Backcourt-3.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.7 · 2 players
Bench-1.0 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.7 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestRAD betterUML betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Radford
Guards
J. Robinson17 min · TRT. Gross13 min · TRW. Keel6 minM. Grujicic6 min · TRJ. Kee3 min · TRK. PruettNew
Forwards
C. Jackson17 min · TRP. Kabamba17 min · TRF. Erichsen13 minA. NokesNew
Centers
G. Ferreira5 min
UMass Lowell
Guards
C. Jones18 min · TRJ. Newton17 min · TRI. Walter8 minK. GilesNewJ. CannadyNewM. EllisNew
Forwards
V. Okojie18 minJ. Harris11 min · TRJ. Roberson7 minD. HandNewE. DialloNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RADUML
Scoring
79.9 #70Points per game71.7 #253
1.09 #168Points per possession1.04 #272
73.6 #13Pace (possessions)68.9 #189
Shooting
51.4 #181Effective FG%49.8 #247
33.5 #1993-point %32.2 #269
45.4 #593-point attempt rate31.3 #336
42.4 #25Free throw rate34.9 #183
Possessions
17.1 #210Turnover rate18.0 #269
29.8 #207Offensive rebound rate32.7 #98
12.0 #284Assists per game11.9 #294
Defense
80.8 #330Points allowed77.4 #249
1.10 #216Points allowed per possession1.13 #277
53.0 #271Opponent effective FG%53.5 #284
35.5 #279Opponent 3-point %34.6 #226
18.5 #72Turnovers forced14.2 #329
67.8 #267Defensive rebound rate70.7 #126
7.5 #79Steals per game5.1 #326
3.4 #158Blocks per game3.0 #222
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Radford

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Presbyterian85–91
  • L@ Longwood74–90
  • Wvs SC Upstate71–59
  • L@ UNC Asheville73–74
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb82–70

A week or more of rest.

UMass Lowell

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 10-8 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC69–91
  • Wvs UAlbany81–76
  • W@ Maine67–56
  • Lvs UMBC60–84
  • L@ Vermont64–66

A week or more of rest.