New Hampshire Wildcats at Holy Cross Crusaders: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 29, 12:00 AM ETHart Center Arena · at Holy Cross

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: New Hampshire and Holy Cross
UNH	This season	HC
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HC 72–71 · win probability HC 53%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 142.8

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HC has more of the edges

UNH 1, HC 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

HCBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: UNH 28.5, HC 31.5. Allowed: UNH 35.8, HC 27.6

UNHSmall

HC offense vs UNH defense

Offense 335th of 366 against a defense 255th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: UNH plays 68.9 a game (186th fastest), HC 65.8 (320th). Faster games mean more points

HCSmall

Three-pointers

UNH hits 30.5% and allows 34.3%; HC hits 32.5% and allows 34.0%. Threes are 43.1% and 37.3% of their shots

HCSmall

Home court

HC at home. This season: HC 0-0 at home, UNH 0-0 away

Even

UNH offense vs HC defense

Offense 300th of 366 against a defense 269th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: UNH 46.7 and allows 53.5; HC 49.8 and allows 54.8

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: UNH 25.7%, HC 21.9%. Defensive: UNH 73.1%, HC 73.0%

Context

Schedule so far

UNH has played the 237th-hardest schedule, HC the 225th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: UNH 16.5%, HC 15.3%. Forced: UNH 15.8%, HC 14.1%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: UNH 47%, HC 51%. Transfers in: UNH 3, HC 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	HC -0.9	—
Total	—	142.8	—
Projected score	—	UNH 70.9 · HC 71.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	HC -0.4	—
1H total	66.8	—
1H projected score	UNH 33.2 · HC 33.6	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UNH LLLWL	12-16	43%	8-9	—
HC WLLWW	16-15	52%	6-6	—

Venue/role: UNH away; HC home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNH UUOOO	15-13	54%	7-21
HC UUUOU	15-16	48%	9-22

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNH	1-9 10%	1-9 10%	6-4 60%
HC	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

New Hampshire

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 2	vs HARV	L75–86WO
Dec 5	@ BU	W88–82WO
Dec 9	@ MARQ	L70–75WO

Holy Cross

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 2	@ NE	W76–59WU
Dec 5	@ STO	L79–81LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

UNH 2–1 HCUNH leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UNH 3-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 17, 2024-25	UNH 72 vs HC 74	HC -4.5	UNH W
Dec 19, 2022-23	HC 60 @ UNH 78	UNH -5.5	UNH W
Nov 27, 2021-22	UNH 70 @ HC 55	HC +7.5	UNH W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

New Hampshire

28 games played

Straight up

7-21

25% wins

Against the spread

12-16

43% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-13

54% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-2125%

L L L L L L L W W L L L L L W W W W L L L L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

12-1643%

L W W L L W W W L W W L L W W L W W L L L L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1354%

U O U O U U U O U O U O O O U O O U O U O O U U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@CLEM	L 38-88	+29.5	L −20.5	146.5	U 126
Nov 9	@HARV	L 75-86	+15.5	W +4.5	147.5	O 161
Nov 15	@GMU	L 44-61	+24.5	W +7.5	144.5	U 105
Nov 18	@PROV	L 66-98	+29.5	L −2.5	161.5	O 164
Nov 26	vsBRWN	L 47-59	+5.5	L −6.5	136.5	U 106
Nov 30	@FAIR	L 68-72	+9.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 140
Dec 3	@DART	L 68-69	+8.5	W +7.5	147.5	U 137
Dec 6	vsBU	W 88-82	+5.5	W +11.5	134.5	O 170
Dec 17	vsSTO	W 59-58	-3.5	L −2.5	138.5	U 117
Dec 21	@SLU	L 79-93	+34.5	W +20.5	157.5	O 172
Dec 30	@NEB	L 55-86	+31.5	W +0.5	146.5	U 141
Jan 3	vsUVM	L 61-80	+7.5	L −11.5	139.5	O 141
Jan 8	@NJIT	L 76-80	-2.5	L −6.5	137.5	O 156
Jan 10	@UMBC	L 74-75	+6.5	W +5.5	143.5	O 149
Jan 19	@ME	W 65-48	+1.5	W +18.5	129.5	U 113
Jan 22	vsBING	W 88-82	-9.5	L −3.5	135.5	O 170
Jan 24	vsUALB	W 80-72	-2.5	W +5.5	137.5	O 152
Jan 29	vsUML	W 66-61	-3.5	W +1.5	146.5	U 127
Jan 31	@BRY	L 84-92	+1.5	L −6.5	131.5	O 176
Feb 7	@UVM	L 57-80	+9.5	L −13.5	138.5	U 137
Feb 12	vsNJIT	L 70-76	-2.5	L −8.5	145.5	O 146
Feb 14	vsUMBC	L 63-85	+2.5	L −19.5	146.5	O 148
Feb 19	@UML	L 56-78	+3.5	L −18.5	151.5	U 134
Feb 21	vsME	L 58-61	-3.5	L −6.5	135.5	U 119
Feb 26	@BING	L 63-65	-2.5	L −4.5	141.5	U 128
Feb 28	@UALB	L 61-84	+3.5	L −19.5	138.5	O 145
Mar 3	vsBRY	W 88-83	-2.5	W +2.5	135.5	O 171
Mar 7	@UMBC	L 69-84	+12.5	L −2.5	142.5	O 153

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CLEM

L 38-88

−20.5

HARV

L 75-86

+4.5

GMU

L 44-61

+7.5

PROV

L 66-98

−2.5

BRWN

L 47-59

−6.5

FAIR

L 68-72

+5.5

DART

L 68-69

+7.5

W 88-82

+11.5

STO

W 59-58

−2.5

SLU

L 79-93

+20.5

NEB

L 55-86

+0.5

UVM

L 61-80

−11.5

NJIT

L 76-80

−6.5

UMBC

L 74-75

+5.5

W 65-48

+18.5

BING

W 88-82

−3.5

UALB

W 80-72

+5.5

UML

W 66-61

+1.5

BRY

L 84-92

−6.5

UVM

L 57-80

−13.5

NJIT

L 70-76

−8.5

UMBC

L 63-85

−19.5

UML

L 56-78

−18.5

L 58-61

−6.5

BING

L 63-65

−4.5

UALB

L 61-84

−19.5

BRY

W 88-83

+2.5

UMBC

L 69-84

−2.5

covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CLEM

L 38-88

−20.5

HARV

L 75-86

+13.5

GMU

L 44-61

−39.5

PROV

L 66-98

+2.5

BRWN

L 47-59

−30.5

FAIR

L 68-72

−7.5

DART

L 68-69

−10.5

W 88-82

+35.5

STO

W 59-58

−21.5

SLU

L 79-93

+14.5

NEB

L 55-86

−5.5

UVM

L 61-80

+1.5

NJIT

L 76-80

+18.5

UMBC

L 74-75

+5.5

W 65-48

−16.5

BING

W 88-82

+34.5

UALB

W 80-72

+14.5

UML

W 66-61

−19.5

BRY

L 84-92

+44.5

UVM

L 57-80

−1.5

NJIT

L 70-76

+0.5

UMBC

L 63-85

+1.5

UML

L 56-78

−17.5

L 58-61

−16.5

BING

L 63-65

−13.5

UALB

L 61-84

+6.5

BRY

W 88-83

+35.5

UMBC

L 69-84

+10.5

over 15under 13avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Holy Cross

31 games played

Straight up

9-22

29% wins

Against the spread

16-15

52% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-16

48% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-2229%

L L L W L L L W W L L W L L W W L L L L L L W L L L W L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1552%

W L W W L L W W W L L W L L W W L L L W W L W W L L W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

15-1648%

O U O U U U O U O O U U U U O O U O O O U U O O O O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@PROV	L 79-89	+23.5	W +13.5	152.5	O 168
Nov 8	@BYU	L 53-98	+38.5	L −6.5	165.5	U 151
Nov 10	@UTAH	L 69-87	+21.5	W +3.5	155.5	O 156
Nov 16	vsHAMP	W 67-61	+4.5	W +10.5	148.5	U 128
Nov 18	@BRWN	L 49-68	+2.5	L −16.5	141.5	U 117
Nov 21	@SHU	L 66-79	+7.5	L −5.5	152.5	U 145
Nov 24	vsSIE	L 69-73	+9.5	W +5.5	137.5	O 142
Dec 3	vsNE	W 76-59	+8.5	W +25.5	145.5	U 135
Dec 6	@FOR	W 70-69	+10.5	W +11.5	138.5	O 139
Dec 16	vsDART	L 64-89	+1.5	L −23.5	147.5	O 153
Dec 20	@HARV	L 53-81	+10.5	L −17.5	136.5	U 134
Dec 31	vsBUCK	W 65-58	+1.5	W +8.5	133.5	U 123
Jan 3	vsNAVY	L 58-65	+5.5	L −1.5	137.5	U 123
Jan 7	@LEH	L 58-66	+2.5	L −5.5	137.5	U 124
Jan 10	@AMER	W 84-73	+8.5	W +19.5	137.5	O 157
Jan 14	vsARMY	W 82-75	-4.5	W +2.5	142.5	O 157
Jan 17	@LAF	L 55-74	+2.5	L −16.5	138.5	U 129
Jan 21	@NAVY	L 68-85	+11.5	L −5.5	134.5	O 153
Jan 24	vsAMER	L 67-76	+4.5	L −4.5	139.5	O 143
Jan 28	@COLG	L 74-79	+10.5	W +5.5	144.5	O 153
Jan 31	@ARMY	L 68-69	+2.5	W +1.5	144.5	U 137
Feb 2	vsBU	L 64-72	+2.5	L −5.5	139.5	U 136
Feb 7	vsLEH	W 76-67	+1.5	W +10.5	137.5	O 143
Feb 11	vsCOLG	L 70-74	+8.5	W +4.5	142.5	O 144
Feb 15	@L-MD	L 73-83	+4.5	L −5.5	146.5	O 156
Feb 18	vsLAF	L 83-86	-1.5	L −4.5	139.5	O 169
Feb 22	@BUCK	W 72-63	+2.5	W +11.5	142.5	U 135
Feb 25	@BU	L 63-78	+8.5	L −6.5	141.5	U 141
Feb 28	vsL-MD	L 62-76	-1.5	L −15.5	151.5	U 138
Mar 3	@LAF	W 82-77	+4.5	W +9.5	141.5	O 159
Mar 5	@LEH	L 66-69	+5.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 135

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

PROV

L 79-89

+13.5

BYU

L 53-98

−6.5

UTAH

L 69-87

+3.5

HAMP

W 67-61

+10.5

BRWN

L 49-68

−16.5

SHU

L 66-79

−5.5

SIE

L 69-73

+5.5

W 76-59

+25.5

FOR

W 70-69

+11.5

DART

L 64-89

−23.5

HARV

L 53-81

−17.5

BUCK

W 65-58

+8.5

NAVY

L 58-65

−1.5

LEH

L 58-66

−5.5

AMER

W 84-73

+19.5

ARMY

W 82-75

+2.5

LAF

L 55-74

−16.5

NAVY

L 68-85

−5.5

AMER

L 67-76

−4.5

COLG

L 74-79

+5.5

ARMY

L 68-69

+1.5

L 64-72

−5.5

LEH

W 76-67

+10.5

COLG

L 70-74

+4.5

L-MD

L 73-83

−5.5

LAF

L 83-86

−4.5

BUCK

W 72-63

+11.5

L 63-78

−6.5

L-MD

L 62-76

−15.5

LAF

W 82-77

+9.5

LEH

L 66-69

+2.5

covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

PROV

L 79-89

+15.5

BYU

L 53-98

−14.5

UTAH

L 69-87

+0.5

HAMP

W 67-61

−20.5

BRWN

L 49-68

−24.5

SHU

L 66-79

−7.5

SIE

L 69-73

+4.5

W 76-59

−10.5

FOR

W 70-69

+0.5

DART

L 64-89

+5.5

HARV

L 53-81

−2.5

BUCK

W 65-58

−10.5

NAVY

L 58-65

−14.5

LEH

L 58-66

−13.5

AMER

W 84-73

+19.5

ARMY

W 82-75

+14.5

LAF

L 55-74

−9.5

NAVY

L 68-85

+18.5

AMER

L 67-76

+3.5

COLG

L 74-79

+8.5

ARMY

L 68-69

−7.5

L 64-72

−3.5

LEH

W 76-67

+5.5

COLG

L 70-74

+1.5

L-MD

L 73-83

+9.5

LAF

L 83-86

+29.5

BUCK

W 72-63

−7.5

L 63-78

−0.5

L-MD

L 62-76

−13.5

LAF

W 82-77

+17.5

LEH

L 66-69

−7.5

over 15under 16avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Holy Cross has the better starters

Position by position: New Hampshire 0, Holy Cross 1, even 4

New HampshireBetterHoly Cross

G T. Bike7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34

Even

G J. St. Germain4.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 22

G E. Oliver-Bush TR3.2 pts · 2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7

HCBig

F J. Nugent11.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.7 ast Score 53

F D. Poser6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11

Even

F A. Richard4.9 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 1

F J. Squire5.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 34

Even

F D. Ryan4.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 21

F D. McKenna TR3.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 47

No call

F C. Hare2 pts · 1.5 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

New HampshireBetterHoly Cross

UNH offense300th of 366 · -9.3

Even

HC defense269th of 366 · -6.8

UNH defense255th of 366 · -6.7

UNHSmall

HC offense335th of 366 · -10.9

Backcourt-3.5 · 2 players

HCSmall

Backcourt-1.3 · 1 player

Frontcourt-4.5 · 3 players

UNHSmall

Frontcourt-6.1 · 4 players

Bench-2.3 · 4 players

HCSmall

Bench-0.7 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestUNH betterHC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

New Hampshire

Guards

T. Bike24 minE. Oliver-Bush16 min · TRM. Blackley2 minA. SquireNewJ. ColemanNewJ. FaumuinaNew

Forwards

D. Poser29 minJ. Squire27 minD. McKenna11 min · TRR. Zan8 min · TRJ. O'Neill6 minK. MyersNew

Centers

G. Xanthopoulos6 min

Holy Cross

Guards

J. St. Germain15 minA. Mejia1 minA. AlijosiusNewK. HansonNewT. WilsonNewJ. GermanyNew

Forwards

J. Nugent30 minA. Richard27 minD. Ryan13 minC. Hare7 minJ. Haigh6 minE. Clark1 min

Centers

K. MgbejioforNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

UNH66.6 #339

HC67.9 #314

Points per possession

UNH0.96 #347

HC1.03 #288

Pace (possessions)

UNH68.9 #186

HC65.8 #320

Shooting

Effective FG%

UNH46.7 #344

HC49.8 #248

3-point %

UNH30.5 #333

HC32.5 #252

3-point attempt rate

UNH43.1 #110

HC37.3 #225

Free throw rate

UNH28.5 #338

HC31.5 #268

Possessions

Turnover rate

UNH16.5 #166

HC15.3 #83

Offensive rebound rate

UNH25.7 #329

HC21.9 #356

Assists per game

UNH10.6 #348

HC10.7 #346

Defense

Points allowed

UNH76.4 #227

HC74.8 #182

Points allowed per possession

UNH1.11 #247

HC1.14 #305

Opponent effective FG%

UNH53.5 #282

HC54.8 #324

Opponent 3-point %

UNH34.3 #204

HC34.0 #181

Turnovers forced

UNH15.8 #227

HC14.1 #330

Defensive rebound rate

UNH73.1 #32

HC73.0 #37

Steals per game

UNH6.1 #222

HC5.5 #304

Blocks per game

UNH2.0 #345

HC1.7 #355

UNH		HC
Scoring
66.6 #339	Points per game	67.9 #314
0.96 #347	Points per possession	1.03 #288
68.9 #186	Pace (possessions)	65.8 #320
Shooting
46.7 #344	Effective FG%	49.8 #248
30.5 #333	3-point %	32.5 #252
43.1 #110	3-point attempt rate	37.3 #225
28.5 #338	Free throw rate	31.5 #268
Possessions
16.5 #166	Turnover rate	15.3 #83
25.7 #329	Offensive rebound rate	21.9 #356
10.6 #348	Assists per game	10.7 #346
Defense
76.4 #227	Points allowed	74.8 #182
1.11 #247	Points allowed per possession	1.14 #305
53.5 #282	Opponent effective FG%	54.8 #324
34.3 #204	Opponent 3-point %	34.0 #181
15.8 #227	Turnovers forced	14.1 #330
73.1 #32	Defensive rebound rate	73.0 #37
6.1 #222	Steals per game	5.5 #304
2.0 #345	Blocks per game	1.7 #355

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

New Hampshire

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ UMBC69–84
Wvs Bryant88–83
L@ UAlbany61–84
L@ Binghamton63–65
Lvs Maine58–61

A week or more of rest.

Holy Cross

9-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Lehigh66–69
W@ Lafayette82–77
Lvs Loyola MD62–76
L@ Boston U63–78
W@ Bucknell72–63

A week or more of rest.

New Hampshire Wildcats at Holy Cross Crusaders

What could decide it: HC has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

New Hampshire

Holy Cross

Holy Cross has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

New Hampshire

Holy Cross