Brown Bears at Lehigh Mountain Hawks: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 8, 2:00 PM ETStabler Arena · at Lehigh

#156BRWNBrown

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Brown and Lehigh
BRWN	This season	LEH
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BRWN 71–70 · win probability BRWN 51%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 140.6

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LEH has more of the edges

BRWN 2, LEH 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

LEHBig

Three-pointers

BRWN hits 30.3% and allows 33.5%; LEH hits 36.1% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 36.3% and 38.3% of their shots

BRWNBig

LEH offense vs BRWN defense

Offense 257th of 366 against a defense 124th, on the model’s ratings

LEHBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: BRWN 48.6 and allows 51.3; LEH 52.9 and allows 50.6

LEHBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: BRWN 28.1, LEH 31.8. Allowed: BRWN 37.6, LEH 32.5

BRWNSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: BRWN 29.0%, LEH 23.2%. Defensive: BRWN 70.0%, LEH 68.5%

LEHSmall

Home court

LEH at home. This season: LEH 0-0 at home, BRWN 0-0 away

Context

Schedule so far

BRWN has played the 176th-hardest schedule, LEH the 218th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

BRWN offense vs LEH defense

Offense 220th of 366 against a defense 179th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: BRWN 19.4%, LEH 17.7%. Forced: BRWN 18.8%, LEH 16.2%

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: BRWN plays 68.0 a game (229th fastest), LEH 68.7 (197th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: BRWN 100%, LEH 100%. Transfers in: BRWN 0, LEH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	BRWN -0.4	—
Total	—	140.6	—
Projected score	—	BRWN 70.5 · LEH 70.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BRWN -0.4	—
1H total	65.8	—
1H projected score	BRWN 33.1 · LEH 32.7	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BRWN WWLWL	13-12	52%	8-5	—
LEH WLWWL	19-14	58%	11-4	—

Venue/role: BRWN away; LEH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BRWN OOOOU	13-12	52%	7-18
LEH OUUUU	18-15	55%	16-17

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BRWN	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
LEH	8-2 80%	7-3 70%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Brown

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 12	vs CAN	W83–76LO
Nov 14	@ SIE	L46–62LU
Nov 18	@ HC	W68–49WU

Lehigh

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 13	vs MRST	L55–78LO
Nov 17	@ MSM	No recent meeting
Nov 24	vs BING	L71–80LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Brown

25 games played

Straight up

7-18

28% wins

Against the spread

13-12

52% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-12

52% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-1828%

L L L L W L W W L W L L L W L L L L L L W W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1252%

L W L L W L W W W W W L L W L L L L W W W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-1252%

U O O U U O U U U O O U O O U U U O O U O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsSIE	L 46-62	+3.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 108
Nov 9	vsUVM	L 84-89	+5.5	W +0.5	131.5	O 173
Nov 12	@BU	L 77-90	+3.5	L −9.5	129.5	O 167
Nov 14	vsHAMP	L 63-72	-1.5	L −10.5	139.5	U 135
Nov 18	vsHC	W 68-49	-2.5	W +16.5	141.5	U 117
Nov 20	@STBK	L 70-80	+3.5	L −6.5	136.5	O 150
Nov 23	@ME	W 58-53	-1.5	W +3.5	127.5	U 111
Nov 26	@UNH	W 59-47	-5.5	W +6.5	136.5	U 106
Dec 2	@URI	L 56-66	+13.5	W +3.5	138.5	U 122
Dec 5	vsBRY	W 75-56	-6.5	W +12.5	130.5	O 131
Dec 9	@PROV	L 79-86	+19.5	W +12.5	145.5	O 165
Jan 5	vsYALE	L 53-70	+8.5	L −8.5	142.5	U 123
Jan 10	@PENN	L 73-81	+5.5	L −2.5	145.5	O 154
Jan 17	vsCOLU	W 86-80	+2.5	W +8.5	143.5	O 166
Jan 19	vsCOR	L 67-89	+2.5	L −19.5	163.5	U 156
Jan 24	@PRIN	L 53-63	+4.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 116
Jan 30	vsHARV	L 59-69	+1.5	L −8.5	132.5	U 128
Jan 31	vsDART	L 70-77	-1.5	L −8.5	142.5	O 147
Feb 6	@YALE	L 69-81	+15.5	W +3.5	140.5	O 150
Feb 13	@HARV	L 53-56	+7.5	W +4.5	131.5	U 109
Feb 14	@DART	W 79-76	+2.5	W +5.5	139.5	O 155
Feb 20	vsPRIN	W 80-71	-2.5	W +6.5	129.5	O 151
Feb 27	@COLU	L 62-80	+5.5	L −12.5	140.5	O 142
Feb 28	@COR	L 80-86	+9.5	W +3.5	156.5	O 166
Mar 6	vsPENN	L 61-82	-1.5	L −22.5	146.5	U 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIE

L 46-62

−12.5

UVM

L 84-89

+0.5

L 77-90

−9.5

HAMP

L 63-72

−10.5

W 68-49

+16.5

STBK

L 70-80

−6.5

W 58-53

+3.5

UNH

W 59-47

+6.5

URI

L 56-66

+3.5

BRY

W 75-56

+12.5

PROV

L 79-86

+12.5

YALE

L 53-70

−8.5

PENN

L 73-81

−2.5

COLU

W 86-80

+8.5

COR

L 67-89

−19.5

PRIN

L 53-63

−5.5

HARV

L 59-69

−8.5

DART

L 70-77

−8.5

YALE

L 69-81

+3.5

HARV

L 53-56

+4.5

DART

W 79-76

+5.5

PRIN

W 80-71

+6.5

COLU

L 62-80

−12.5

COR

L 80-86

+3.5

PENN

L 61-82

−22.5

covered 13didn’t cover 12avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIE

L 46-62

−34.5

UVM

L 84-89

+41.5

L 77-90

+37.5

HAMP

L 63-72

−4.5

W 68-49

−24.5

STBK

L 70-80

+13.5

W 58-53

−16.5

UNH

W 59-47

−30.5

URI

L 56-66

−16.5

BRY

W 75-56

+0.5

PROV

L 79-86

+19.5

YALE

L 53-70

−19.5

PENN

L 73-81

+8.5

COLU

W 86-80

+22.5

COR

L 67-89

−7.5

PRIN

L 53-63

−18.5

HARV

L 59-69

−4.5

DART

L 70-77

+4.5

YALE

L 69-81

+9.5

HARV

L 53-56

−22.5

DART

W 79-76

+15.5

PRIN

W 80-71

+21.5

COLU

L 62-80

+1.5

COR

L 80-86

+9.5

PENN

L 61-82

−3.5

over 13under 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Lehigh

33 games played

Straight up

16-17

48% wins

Against the spread

19-14

58% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-15

55% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1748%

L L L W L L L W L L L L L W W W L W W L W L L W W L W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1458%

W L W W L L W W L L L L L W W W W W W L W L L W W L W W W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1555%

U U O U O O U O O O U O U U O O O O U U O O O O O U U O O U U U U

4 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@HOU	L 57-75	+36.5	W +18.5	136.5	U 132
Nov 9	@WVU	L 47-69	+17.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 116
Nov 14	@RUTG	L 72-84	+18.5	W +6.5	136.5	O 156
Nov 18	vsSFPA	W 79-62	-10.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 141
Nov 21	vsCOLU	L 67-82	+2.5	L −12.5	143.5	O 149
Nov 25	@MRST	L 55-78	+7.5	L −15.5	132.5	O 133
Nov 28	vsUCSB	L 70-72	+10.5	W +8.5	146.5	U 142
Nov 29	vsTXST	W 78-74	+6.5	W +10.5	135.5	O 152
Dec 2	@BING	L 71-80	-3.5	L −12.5	139.5	O 151
Dec 6	vsLIU	L 82-87	+1.5	L −3.5	142.5	O 169
Dec 21	@MONM	L 62-76	+9.5	L −4.5	143.5	U 138
Dec 31	vsARMY	L 78-85	-5.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 163
Jan 3	@BUCK	L 65-72	+4.5	L −2.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 7	vsHC	W 66-58	-2.5	W +5.5	137.5	U 124
Jan 10	@COLG	W 78-77	+11.5	W +12.5	142.5	O 155
Jan 14	@BU	W 93-91	+4.5	W +6.5	144.5	O 184
Jan 17	vsNAVY	L 79-82	+3.5	W +0.5	137.5	O 161
Jan 19	vsL-MD	W 88-81	-3.5	W +3.5	149.5	O 169
Jan 24	vsLAF	W 64-59	-2.5	W +2.5	143.5	U 123
Jan 28	@ARMY	L 64-67	-1.5	L −4.5	147.5	U 131
Jan 31	vsCOLG	W 77-76	+3.5	W +4.5	146.5	O 153
Feb 4	@L-MD	L 84-89	+2.5	L −2.5	149.5	O 173
Feb 7	@HC	L 67-76	-1.5	L −10.5	137.5	O 143
Feb 11	vsAMER	W 90-82	+1.5	W +9.5	140.5	O 172
Feb 14	@LAF	W 78-69	+2.5	W +11.5	140.5	O 147
Feb 18	@NAVY	L 49-72	+9.5	L −13.5	139.5	U 121
Feb 22	vsBU	W 70-67	+2.5	W +5.5	141.5	U 137
Feb 25	@AMER	W 78-73	+7.5	W +12.5	140.5	O 151
Feb 28	vsBUCK	W 89-79	-5.5	W +4.5	138.5	O 168
Mar 5	vsHC	W 69-66	-5.5	L −2.5	142.5	U 135
Mar 8	vsCOLG	W 76-69	+2.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 145
Mar 11	vsBU	W 74-60	+2.5	W +16.5	138.5	U 134
Mar 18	vsPV	L 55-67	-3.5	L −15.5	140.5	U 122

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HOU

L 57-75

+18.5

WVU

L 47-69

−4.5

RUTG

L 72-84

+6.5

SFPA

W 79-62

+6.5

COLU

L 67-82

−12.5

MRST

L 55-78

−15.5

UCSB

L 70-72

+8.5

TXST

W 78-74

+10.5

BING

L 71-80

−12.5

LIU

L 82-87

−3.5

MONM

L 62-76

−4.5

ARMY

L 78-85

−12.5

BUCK

L 65-72

−2.5

W 66-58

+5.5

COLG

W 78-77

+12.5

W 93-91

+6.5

NAVY

L 79-82

+0.5

L-MD

W 88-81

+3.5

LAF

W 64-59

+2.5

ARMY

L 64-67

−4.5

COLG

W 77-76

+4.5

L-MD

L 84-89

−2.5

L 67-76

−10.5

AMER

W 90-82

+9.5

LAF

W 78-69

+11.5

NAVY

L 49-72

−13.5

W 70-67

+5.5

AMER

W 78-73

+12.5

BUCK

W 89-79

+4.5

W 69-66

−2.5

COLG

W 76-69

+9.5

W 74-60

+16.5

L 55-67

−15.5

covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HOU

L 57-75

−4.5

WVU

L 47-69

−23.5

RUTG

L 72-84

+19.5

SFPA

W 79-62

−10.5

COLU

L 67-82

+5.5

MRST

L 55-78

+0.5

UCSB

L 70-72

−4.5

TXST

W 78-74

+16.5

BING

L 71-80

+11.5

LIU

L 82-87

+26.5

MONM

L 62-76

−5.5

ARMY

L 78-85

+16.5

BUCK

L 65-72

−0.5

W 66-58

−13.5

COLG

W 78-77

+12.5

W 93-91

+39.5

NAVY

L 79-82

+23.5

L-MD

W 88-81

+19.5

LAF

W 64-59

−20.5

ARMY

L 64-67

−16.5

COLG

W 77-76

+6.5

L-MD

L 84-89

+23.5

L 67-76

+5.5

AMER

W 90-82

+31.5

LAF

W 78-69

+6.5

NAVY

L 49-72

−18.5

W 70-67

−4.5

AMER

W 78-73

+10.5

BUCK

W 89-79

+29.5

W 69-66

−7.5

COLG

W 76-69

−1.5

W 74-60

−4.5

L 55-67

−18.5

over 18under 15avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Brown has the better starters

Position by position: Brown 1, Lehigh 0, even 4

BrownBetterLehigh

G J. Jenkins8.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 47

Even

G J. Ingram10.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 54

G A. Uchidiuno9.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20

BRWNSmall

G C. Thomas5.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 2

G M. Wrisby-Jefferson4.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.6 ast Score 25

Even

G J. Vazquez4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 11

G D. Rochester5.6 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 27

Even

F E. Benoit10.2 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 24

F N. Dabo7.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1 ast Score 72

Even

C H. Alvey15.4 pts · 7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 86

BrownBetterLehigh

BRWN offense220th of 366 · -6.7

Even

LEH defense179th of 366 · -4.1

BRWN defense124th of 366 · -2.2

BRWNBig

LEH offense257th of 366 · -7.9

Backcourt-6.6 · 4 players

Even

Backcourt-6.9 · 3 players

Frontcourt+1.0 · 1 player

LEHSmall

Frontcourt+2.3 · 2 players

Bench-2.4 · 5 players

BRWNBig

Bench-7.6 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestBRWN betterLEH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Brown

Guards

J. Jenkins31 minA. Uchidiuno26 minM. Wrisby-Jefferson23 minD. Rochester22 minI. Langham21 minB. Loughlin18 min

Forwards

N. Dabo24 minC. O'Sullivan11 minW. DeGraaf8 minE. JamgbadiNewL. JonesNew

Lehigh

Guards

J. Ingram36 minC. Thomas23 minJ. Vazquez22 minP. Kramer19 minA. Urosevic19 minC. BurrowsNew

Forwards

E. Benoit29 minJ. Pike12 minA. Addesa8 minR. RudusansNewN. DjanoglyNew

Centers

H. Alvey31 minC. CohenNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

BRWN67.2 #330

LEH71.8 #249

Points per possession

BRWN0.98 #338

LEH1.05 #257

Pace (possessions)

BRWN68.0 #229

LEH68.7 #197

Shooting

Effective FG%

BRWN48.6 #299

LEH52.9 #107

3-point %

BRWN30.3 #338

LEH36.1 #56

3-point attempt rate

BRWN36.3 #244

LEH38.3 #206

Free throw rate

BRWN28.1 #342

LEH31.8 #258

Possessions

Turnover rate

BRWN19.4 #334

LEH17.7 #250

Offensive rebound rate

BRWN29.0 #236

LEH23.2 #349

Assists per game

BRWN14.8 #99

LEH13.9 #153

Defense

Points allowed

BRWN72.4 #115

LEH74.4 #171

Points allowed per possession

BRWN1.07 #134

LEH1.08 #175

Opponent effective FG%

BRWN51.3 #176

LEH50.6 #133

Opponent 3-point %

BRWN33.5 #157

LEH32.9 #109

Turnovers forced

BRWN18.8 #57

LEH16.2 #212

Defensive rebound rate

BRWN70.0 #164

LEH68.5 #226

Steals per game

BRWN7.5 #82

LEH6.6 #163

Blocks per game

BRWN3.8 #104

LEH3.1 #209

BRWN		LEH
Scoring
67.2 #330	Points per game	71.8 #249
0.98 #338	Points per possession	1.05 #257
68.0 #229	Pace (possessions)	68.7 #197
Shooting
48.6 #299	Effective FG%	52.9 #107
30.3 #338	3-point %	36.1 #56
36.3 #244	3-point attempt rate	38.3 #206
28.1 #342	Free throw rate	31.8 #258
Possessions
19.4 #334	Turnover rate	17.7 #250
29.0 #236	Offensive rebound rate	23.2 #349
14.8 #99	Assists per game	13.9 #153
Defense
72.4 #115	Points allowed	74.4 #171
1.07 #134	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #175
51.3 #176	Opponent effective FG%	50.6 #133
33.5 #157	Opponent 3-point %	32.9 #109
18.8 #57	Turnovers forced	16.2 #212
70.0 #164	Defensive rebound rate	68.5 #226
7.5 #82	Steals per game	6.6 #163
3.8 #104	Blocks per game	3.1 #209

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Brown

7-18 in 2025-26 overall · 3-11 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Penn61–82
L@ Cornell80–86
L@ Columbia62–80
Wvs Princeton80–71
W@ Dartmouth79–76

A week or more of rest.

Lehigh

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Prairie View55–67
Wvs Boston U74–60
Wvs Colgate76–69
Wvs Holy Cross69–66
Wvs Bucknell89–79

A week or more of rest.

Brown Bears at Lehigh Mountain Hawks

What could decide it: LEH has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Brown

Lehigh

Brown has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Brown

Lehigh