1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 13
  3. MRST @ LEH
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 13

Marist Red Foxes at Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Stabler Arena · at Lehigh
#235MRSTMarist
@
#216LEHLehigh
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MRSTThis seasonLEH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LEH 70–68 · win probability LEH 59%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 137.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LEH has more of the edges

MRST 3, LEH 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
LEHBig
MRST offense vs LEH defense
Offense 322nd of 366 against a defense 179th, on the model’s ratings
MRSTBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MRST 29.1%, LEH 23.2%. Defensive: MRST 71.7%, LEH 68.5%
LEHBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MRST 31%, LEH 100%. Transfers in: MRST 1, LEH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
MRSTBig
LEH offense vs MRST defense
Offense 257th of 366 against a defense 135th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
MRST has played the 339th-hardest schedule, LEH the 218th. A record against a soft schedule means less
LEHBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MRST 25.7, LEH 31.8. Allowed: MRST 37.6, LEH 32.5
MRSTBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MRST 17.0%, LEH 17.7%. Forced: MRST 19.4%, LEH 16.2%
LEHSmall
Three-pointers
MRST hits 32.2% and allows 28.6%; LEH hits 36.1% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 34.6% and 38.3% of their shots
LEHSmall
Home court
LEH at home. This season: LEH 0-0 at home, MRST 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: MRST plays 66.8 a game (286th fastest), LEH 68.7 (197th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MRST 49.3 and allows 45.6; LEH 52.9 and allows 50.6
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—LEH -2.6—
Total—137.8—
Projected score—MRST 67.6 · LEH 70.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadLEH -1.4—
1H total64.5—
1H projected scoreMRST 31.5 · LEH 33—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Marist has the better starters

Position by position: Marist 2, Lehigh 1, even 2
MaristBetterLehigh
G J. Collins-Roberts7.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 3.2 ast Score 27
LEHSmall
G J. Ingram10.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 54
G J. Graham TR11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 43
MRSTBig
G C. Thomas5.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 2
F M. Parker5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
MRSTBig
G J. Vazquez4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 11
C T. Watson6.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F E. Benoit10.2 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 24
C J. Gabriel2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
C H. Alvey15.4 pts · 7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 86
MaristBetterLehigh
MRST offense322nd of 366 · -10.5
LEHBig
LEH defense179th of 366 · -4.1
MRST defense135th of 366 · -2.6
MRSTSmall
LEH offense257th of 366 · -7.9
Backcourt-3.3 · 2 players
MRSTBig
Backcourt-6.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.0 · 3 players
LEHSmall
Frontcourt+2.3 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-7.6 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestMRST betterLEH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Marist
Guards
J. Collins-Roberts31 minJ. Graham28 min · TRJ. WilliamsNewC. SweeneyNewB. ArnoldNewD. ChessNew
Forwards
M. Parker15 minE. OnyiaNewL. RodriguezNew
Centers
T. Watson11 minJ. Gabriel7 minL. FranzNew
Lehigh
Guards
J. Ingram36 minC. Thomas23 minJ. Vazquez22 minP. Kramer19 minA. Urosevic19 minC. BurrowsNew
Forwards
E. Benoit29 minJ. Pike12 minA. Addesa8 minR. RudusansNewN. DjanoglyNew
Centers
H. Alvey31 minC. CohenNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MRSTLEH
Scoring
68.9 #301Points per game71.8 #249
1.04 #276Points per possession1.05 #257
66.8 #286Pace (possessions)68.7 #197
Shooting
49.3 #276Effective FG%52.9 #107
32.2 #2723-point %36.1 #56
34.6 #2853-point attempt rate38.3 #206
25.7 #360Free throw rate31.8 #258
Possessions
17.0 #202Turnover rate17.7 #250
29.1 #233Offensive rebound rate23.2 #349
15.0 #89Assists per game13.9 #153
Defense
63.9 #4Points allowed74.4 #171
0.95 #3Points allowed per possession1.08 #175
45.6 #5Opponent effective FG%50.6 #133
28.6 #2Opponent 3-point %32.9 #109
19.4 #35Turnovers forced16.2 #212
71.7 #77Defensive rebound rate68.5 #226
7.1 #116Steals per game6.6 #163
3.1 #200Blocks per game3.1 #209
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Marist

18-12 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Merrimack57–58
  • Wvs Quinnipiac77–75
  • Lvs Saint Peter's56–63
  • Wvs Sacred Heart65–63
  • W@ Manhattan84–70

A week or more of rest.

Lehigh

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View55–67
  • Wvs Boston U74–60
  • Wvs Colgate76–69
  • Wvs Holy Cross69–66
  • Wvs Bucknell89–79

A week or more of rest.