1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 15
  3. QUIN @ CCSU
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 15

Quinnipiac Bobcats at Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Detrick Gymnasium · at C Connecticut
#241QUINQuinnipiac
@
#337CCSUC Connecticut
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
QUINThis seasonCCSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects QUIN 73–70 · win probability QUIN 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CCSU has more of the edges

QUIN 3, CCSU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
QUINBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: QUIN 15.8%, CCSU 16.3%. Forced: QUIN 17.4%, CCSU 14.0%
QUINBig
CCSU offense vs QUIN defense
Offense 353rd of 366 against a defense 232nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: QUIN plays 70.3 a game (100th fastest), CCSU 65.5 (329th). Faster games mean more points
CCSUSmall
Three-pointers
QUIN hits 34.0% and allows 34.9%; CCSU hits 35.8% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 33.7% and 34.9% of their shots
QUINSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: QUIN 34.1%, CCSU 27.5%. Defensive: QUIN 68.0%, CCSU 69.6%
CCSUSmall
Home court
CCSU at home. This season: CCSU 0-0 at home, QUIN 0-0 away
CCSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: QUIN 48.1 and allows 48.9; CCSU 51.6 and allows 50.2
CCSUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: QUIN 31%, CCSU 55%. Transfers in: QUIN 2, CCSU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
QUIN has played the 324th-hardest schedule, CCSU the 359th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
QUIN offense vs CCSU defense
Offense 243rd of 366 against a defense 247th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: QUIN 33.8, CCSU 31.2. Allowed: QUIN 30.6, CCSU 26.9
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—QUIN -3.1—
Total—142.4—
Projected score—QUIN 72.7 · CCSU 69.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadQUIN -2.0—
1H total66.6—
1H projected scoreQUIN 34.3 · CCSU 32.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Quinnipiac has the better starters

Position by position: Quinnipiac 2, C Connecticut 1, even 2
QuinnipiacBetterC Connecticut
G N. Guerengomba2.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 4
Even
G J. Jones4.1 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 4
G T. Turnage3.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 36
QUINSmall
G V. Payne6.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast Score 16
F K. McKnight10.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79
QUINBig
G E. Parker2 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 0
F H. Pierre-Louis TR3.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1 ast Score 1
CCSUSmall
G R. Jones3.8 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast Score 20
F N. Hart TR2.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 0 ast Score 27
Even
F D. James3.2 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 13
QuinnipiacBetterC Connecticut
QUIN offense243rd of 366 · -7.3
Even
CCSU defense247th of 366 · -6.5
QUIN defense232nd of 366 · -6.2
QUINSmall
CCSU offense353rd of 366 · -13.2
Backcourt-2.7 · 2 players
QUINBig
Backcourt-10.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.2 · 1 player
Bench-0.6 · 3 players
QUINSmall
Bench-2.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestQUIN betterCCSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Quinnipiac
Guards
N. Guerengomba14 minT. Turnage12 minM. ParrottaNewT. Cunningham-PembertonNewL. SekasiNewM. FieldsNew
Forwards
K. McKnight25 minH. Pierre-Louis15 min · TRN. Hart11 min · TRB. Ritvo7 minA. Akinniyi2 minC. Skenderi2 min
C Connecticut
Guards
J. Jones30 minV. Payne24 minE. Parker14 minR. Jones10 minA. Reynolds10 minR. LaurentNew
Forwards
D. James13 minJ. Mott8 minB. JacksonNewJ. ErvinNewR. TibbyNewC. LangdonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
QUINCCSU
Scoring
74.2 #190Points per game70.6 #272
1.05 #246Points per possession1.08 #192
70.3 #100Pace (possessions)65.5 #329
Shooting
48.1 #310Effective FG%51.6 #165
34.0 #1713-point %35.8 #69
33.7 #3043-point attempt rate34.9 #278
33.8 #217Free throw rate31.2 #276
Possessions
15.8 #125Turnover rate16.3 #154
34.1 #65Offensive rebound rate27.5 #281
13.0 #211Assists per game12.8 #229
Defense
72.6 #121Points allowed72.0 #105
1.04 #68Points allowed per possession1.10 #218
48.9 #65Opponent effective FG%50.2 #113
34.9 #242Opponent 3-point %33.4 #146
17.4 #122Turnovers forced14.0 #338
68.0 #253Defensive rebound rate69.6 #179
7.8 #55Steals per game5.4 #311
4.5 #37Blocks per game3.9 #83
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Quinnipiac

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Marist75–77
  • W@ Canisius67–63
  • L@ Niagara76–78
  • Lvs Fairfield79–85
  • Lvs Merrimack49–56

A week or more of rest.

C Connecticut

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wagner60–70
  • Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves69–64
  • Wvs Mercyhurst80–78
  • L@ Chicago St51–70
  • Wvs Le Moyne78–77

A week or more of rest.