California Golden Bears at Utah Utes: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 2, 9:00 PM ETJon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah

#73UTAHUtah

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: California and Utah
CAL	This season	UTAH
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTAH 77–74 · win probability UTAH 63%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 151.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CAL has more of the edges

CAL 3, UTAH 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

CALBig

Three-pointers

CAL hits 36.9% and allows 31.0%; UTAH hits 35.3% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 43.1% and 37.5% of their shots

CALBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: CAL 15.1%, UTAH 16.7%. Forced: CAL 16.1%, UTAH 13.3%

CALBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: CAL 52.6 and allows 49.8; UTAH 52.0 and allows 53.9

UTAHSmall

Home court

UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 0-0 at home, CAL 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: CAL plays 69.8 a game (126th fastest), UTAH 68.3 (211th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: CAL 29%, UTAH 14%. Transfers in: CAL 5, UTAH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Context

Schedule so far

CAL has played the 77th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 53rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: CAL 36.2, UTAH 31.7. Allowed: CAL 36.3, UTAH 29.9

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: CAL 26.0%, UTAH 29.3%. Defensive: CAL 69.5%, UTAH 68.4%

Even

UTAH offense vs CAL defense

Offense 79th of 366 against a defense 100th, on the model’s ratings

Even

CAL offense vs UTAH defense

Offense 84th of 366 against a defense 68th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAL WLLWL	17-16	52%	7-3	—
UTAH LLLLW	15-17	47%	5-12	—

Venue/role: CAL away; UTAH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAL UUOOU	14-19	42%	21-12
UTAH UUOOO	18-14	56%	10-22

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CAL	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
UTAH	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

California

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 6	vs VAN	L69–85LU
Dec 10	vs SELA	No recent meeting
Dec 12	vs UCR	No recent meeting

Utah

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 9	vs CBU	W91–85WO
Dec 13	vs ACU	W70–56WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22

CAL 1–5 UTAHUTAH leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · CAL 3-3 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 2, 2025-26	UTAH 72 @ CAL 79	CAL -7.5	UTAH W
Mar 2, 2023-24	CAL 59 @ UTAH 88	UTAH -8.5	UTAH W
Feb 5, 2022-23	CAL 46 @ UTAH 61	UTAH -17.5	CAL W
Dec 29, 2022-23	UTAH 58 @ CAL 43	CAL +9.5	UTAH W
Feb 19, 2021-22	UTAH 60 @ CAL 58	CAL +2.5	CAL W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

California

33 games played

Straight up

21-12

64% wins

Against the spread

17-16

52% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-19

42% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

21-1264%

W W W L W W W W W W W W L W L L L W W L W W L L W W W L W L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-1652%

W L W W L W W L L L W W L L L W L W W W W L L L W W W L W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1942%

U U U O U O O U U O U U O O U O U O U U O O U O O U U U U U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsCSUB	W 87-60	-15.5	W +11.5	147.5	U 147
Nov 6	vsWRST	W 77-67	-14.5	L −4.5	148.5	U 144
Nov 10	vsCSUF	W 93-65	-22.5	W +5.5	162.5	U 158
Nov 13	@KSU	L 96-99	+6.5	W +3.5	164.5	O 195
Nov 18	vsPRES	W 67-57	-10.5	L −0.5	124.5	U 124
Nov 21	vsSAC	W 91-67	-21.5	W +2.5	154.5	O 158
Nov 25	vsUCLA	W 80-72	+7.5	W +15.5	143.5	O 152
Dec 2	vsUTAH	W 79-72	-7.5	L −0.5	152.5	U 151
Dec 6	vsPAC	W 67-61	-7.5	L −1.5	144.5	U 128
Dec 13	vsNWST	W 79-70	-19.5	L −10.5	145.5	O 149
Dec 19	vsMORG	W 97-50	-26.5	W +20.5	151.5	U 147
Dec 21	vsCOLU	W 74-56	-8.5	W +9.5	153.5	U 130
Dec 30	vsLOU	L 70-90	+7.5	L −12.5	159.5	O 160
Jan 2	vsND	W 72-71	-3.5	L −2.5	138.5	O 143
Jan 7	@UVA	L 60-84	+14.5	L −9.5	148.5	U 144
Jan 10	@VT	L 75-78	+5.5	W +2.5	148.5	O 153
Jan 14	vsDUKE	L 56-71	+14.5	L −0.5	149.5	U 127
Jan 17	vsUNC	W 84-78	+7.5	W +13.5	151.5	O 162
Jan 24	@STAN	W 78-66	+4.5	W +16.5	146.5	U 144
Jan 28	@FSU	L 61-63	+3.5	W +1.5	157.5	U 124
Jan 31	@MIA	W 86-85	+11.5	W +12.5	148.5	O 171
Feb 4	vsGT	W 90-85	-7.5	L −2.5	152.5	O 175
Feb 7	vsCLEM	L 55-77	+4.5	L −17.5	139.5	U 132
Feb 11	@SYR	L 100-107	+6.5	L −0.5	148.5	O 207
Feb 14	@BC	W 86-75	-3.5	W +7.5	144.5	O 161
Feb 21	vsSTAN	W 72-66	-1.5	W +4.5	149.5	U 138
Feb 25	vsSMU	W 73-69	+4.5	W +8.5	163.5	U 142
Feb 28	vsPITT	L 56-72	-6.5	L −22.5	143.5	U 128
Mar 4	@GT	W 76-65	-2.5	W +8.5	154.5	U 141
Mar 7	@WAKE	L 73-80	+5.5	L −1.5	154.5	U 153
Mar 11	vsFSU	L 89-95	+1.5	L −4.5	154.5	O 184
Mar 18	vsUIC	W 91-73	-6.5	W +11.5	150.5	O 164
Mar 22	vsJOES	L 75-76	-5.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 151

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CSUB

W 87-60

+11.5

WRST

W 77-67

−4.5

CSUF

W 93-65

+5.5

KSU

L 96-99

+3.5

PRES

W 67-57

−0.5

SAC

W 91-67

+2.5

UCLA

W 80-72

+15.5

UTAH

W 79-72

−0.5

PAC

W 67-61

−1.5

NWST

W 79-70

−10.5

MORG

W 97-50

+20.5

COLU

W 74-56

+9.5

LOU

L 70-90

−12.5

W 72-71

−2.5

UVA

L 60-84

−9.5

L 75-78

+2.5

DUKE

L 56-71

−0.5

UNC

W 84-78

+13.5

STAN

W 78-66

+16.5

FSU

L 61-63

+1.5

MIA

W 86-85

+12.5

W 90-85

−2.5

CLEM

L 55-77

−17.5

SYR

L 100-107

−0.5

W 86-75

+7.5

STAN

W 72-66

+4.5

SMU

W 73-69

+8.5

PITT

L 56-72

−22.5

W 76-65

+8.5

WAKE

L 73-80

−1.5

FSU

L 89-95

−4.5

UIC

W 91-73

+11.5

JOES

L 75-76

−6.5

covered 17didn’t cover 16avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CSUB

W 87-60

−0.5

WRST

W 77-67

−4.5

CSUF

W 93-65

−4.5

KSU

L 96-99

+30.5

PRES

W 67-57

−0.5

SAC

W 91-67

+3.5

UCLA

W 80-72

+8.5

UTAH

W 79-72

−1.5

PAC

W 67-61

−16.5

NWST

W 79-70

+3.5

MORG

W 97-50

−4.5

COLU

W 74-56

−23.5

LOU

L 70-90

+0.5

W 72-71

+4.5

UVA

L 60-84

−4.5

L 75-78

+4.5

DUKE

L 56-71

−22.5

UNC

W 84-78

+10.5

STAN

W 78-66

−2.5

FSU

L 61-63

−33.5

MIA

W 86-85

+22.5

W 90-85

+22.5

CLEM

L 55-77

−7.5

SYR

L 100-107

+58.5

W 86-75

+16.5

STAN

W 72-66

−11.5

SMU

W 73-69

−21.5

PITT

L 56-72

−15.5

W 76-65

−13.5

WAKE

L 73-80

−1.5

FSU

L 89-95

+29.5

UIC

W 91-73

+13.5

JOES

L 75-76

−1.5

over 14under 19avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Utah

32 games played

Straight up

10-22

31% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-14

56% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2231%

W W W W W L L W L W L W L L L L L W L L L L L L L W L L L L L L

6 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

15-1747%

L L L L L L L W W W L W W L L W W W W W L L W W W W L L L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1456%

O O O O O O U O U O O O U O U O O O U O U U U U U U U U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSJSU	W 84-75	-11.5	L −2.5	146.5	O 159
Nov 8	vsWEB	W 92-89	-15.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 181
Nov 10	vsHC	W 87-69	-21.5	L −3.5	155.5	O 156
Nov 15	vsSHSU	W 85-79	-12.5	L −6.5	159.5	O 164
Nov 18	vsPFW	W 85-77	-13.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 162
Nov 20	vsCP	L 85-92	-14.5	L −21.5	167.5	O 177
Nov 25	vsGCU	L 58-68	+5.5	L −4.5	153.5	U 126
Nov 26	vsMISS	W 75-74	+10.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 149
Dec 2	@CAL	L 72-79	+7.5	W +0.5	152.5	U 151
Dec 6	vsCBU	W 91-85	-5.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 176
Dec 13	vsMSST	L 74-82	+1.5	L −6.5	153.5	O 156
Dec 20	vsEWU	W 101-77	-10.5	W +13.5	160.5	O 178
Dec 29	@WASH	L 65-74	+12.5	W +3.5	157.5	U 139
Jan 3	vsARIZ	L 78-97	+17.5	L −1.5	162.5	O 175
Jan 7	@COLO	L 73-85	+9.5	L −2.5	162.5	U 158
Jan 10	vsBYU	L 84-89	+14.5	W +9.5	168.5	O 173
Jan 14	@TTU	L 74-88	+17.5	W +3.5	159.5	O 162
Jan 17	vsTCU	W 82-79	+4.5	W +7.5	154.5	O 161
Jan 20	@KSU	L 78-81	+10.5	W +7.5	168.5	U 159
Jan 24	@BYU	L 78-91	+19.5	W +6.5	168.5	O 169
Jan 31	vsOKST	L 69-81	+1.5	L −10.5	166.5	U 150
Feb 4	vsASU	L 63-71	-1.5	L −9.5	161.5	U 134
Feb 7	@KU	L 59-71	+18.5	W +6.5	150.5	U 130
Feb 10	vsHOU	L 52-66	+16.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 118
Feb 15	@CIN	L 65-69	+12.5	W +8.5	139.5	U 134
Feb 18	@WVU	W 61-56	+10.5	W +15.5	133.5	U 117
Feb 21	vsUCF	L 71-73	+1.5	L −0.5	154.5	U 144
Feb 24	vsISU	L 59-75	+14.5	L −1.5	144.5	U 134
Feb 28	@ASU	L 60-73	+6.5	L −6.5	150.5	U 133
Mar 3	vsCOLO	L 78-92	+1.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 170
Mar 7	@BAY	L 75-101	+13.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 176
Mar 10	vsCIN	L 66-73	+12.5	W +5.5	138.5	O 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

−2.5

WEB

W 92-89

−12.5

W 87-69

−3.5

SHSU

W 85-79

−6.5

PFW

W 85-77

−5.5

L 85-92

−21.5

GCU

L 58-68

−4.5

MISS

W 75-74

+11.5

CAL

L 72-79

+0.5

CBU

W 91-85

+0.5

MSST

L 74-82

−6.5

EWU

W 101-77

+13.5

WASH

L 65-74

+3.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

−1.5

COLO

L 73-85

−2.5

BYU

L 84-89

+9.5

TTU

L 74-88

+3.5

TCU

W 82-79

+7.5

KSU

L 78-81

+7.5

BYU

L 78-91

+6.5

OKST

L 69-81

−10.5

ASU

L 63-71

−9.5

L 59-71

+6.5

HOU

L 52-66

+2.5

CIN

L 65-69

+8.5

WVU

W 61-56

+15.5

UCF

L 71-73

−0.5

ISU

L 59-75

−1.5

ASU

L 60-73

−6.5

COLO

L 78-92

−12.5

BAY

L 75-101

−12.5

CIN

L 66-73

+5.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

+12.5

WEB

W 92-89

+32.5

W 87-69

+0.5

SHSU

W 85-79

+4.5

PFW

W 85-77

+0.5

L 85-92

+9.5

GCU

L 58-68

−27.5

MISS

W 75-74

+4.5

CAL

L 72-79

−1.5

CBU

W 91-85

+30.5

MSST

L 74-82

+2.5

EWU

W 101-77

+17.5

WASH

L 65-74

−18.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

+12.5

COLO

L 73-85

−4.5

BYU

L 84-89

+4.5

TTU

L 74-88

+2.5

TCU

W 82-79

+6.5

KSU

L 78-81

−9.5

BYU

L 78-91

+0.5

OKST

L 69-81

−16.5

ASU

L 63-71

−27.5

L 59-71

−20.5

HOU

L 52-66

−24.5

CIN

L 65-69

−5.5

WVU

W 61-56

−16.5

UCF

L 71-73

−10.5

ISU

L 59-75

−10.5

ASU

L 60-73

−17.5

COLO

L 78-92

+21.5

BAY

L 75-101

+27.5

CIN

L 66-73

+0.5

over 18under 14avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: California 2, Utah 2, even 1

CaliforniaBetterUtah

G M. Cooper TR13.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 2 ast Score 74

Even

G T. Campbell TR13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.9 ast Score 85

G N. Indrusaitis TR9.1 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 76

UTAHSmall

G J. Holcombe TR15.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.6 ast Score 97

G J. Ross TR6.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 58

UTAHSmall

G T. Burch TR12.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast Score 88

G S. Carr3.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 46

CALSmall

G O. Abbey2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 12

F L. Dort8 pts · 7.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 83

CALBig

C M. Gomma TR8 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28

CaliforniaBetterUtah

CAL offense84th of 366 · +0.4

Even

UTAH defense68th of 366 · +0.9

CAL defense100th of 366 · -0.7

Even

UTAH offense79th of 366 · +0.7

Backcourt+1.0 · 4 players

UTAHBig

Backcourt+6.8 · 4 players

Frontcourt+1.7 · 1 player

CALBig

Frontcourt-1.4 · 1 player

Bench+0.4 · 5 players

CALSmall

Bench-0.7 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestCAL betterUTAH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

California

Guards

M. Cooper27 min · TRN. Indrusaitis24 min · TRJ. Ross21 min · TRS. Carr17 minB. Fisher1 minL. Butler1 min

Forwards

L. Dort23 minJ. Wilkins10 min · TRA. Ali7 min · TRS. Yeanay5 minD. Manyiel Dut4 min

Centers

M. Kocanas7 minN. MitrovicNewD. DaubarisNew

Utah

Guards

T. Campbell34 min · TRJ. Holcombe31 min · TRT. Burch25 min · TRO. Abbey15 minT. Chatman13 min · TRL. Langarita12 min

Forwards

G. Gaddis1 min · TRB. FayeNewZ. LoubakiNewJ. JohnsonNewA. AnigbataNew

Centers

M. Gomma26 min · TRF. SchottNewL. McCannaNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

CAL77.7 #99

UTAH74.3 #185

Points per possession

CAL1.11 #118

UTAH1.08 #173

Pace (possessions)

CAL69.8 #126

UTAH68.3 #211

Shooting

Effective FG%

CAL52.6 #119

UTAH52.0 #142

3-point %

CAL36.9 #30

UTAH35.3 #98

3-point attempt rate

CAL43.1 #111

UTAH37.5 #222

Free throw rate

CAL36.2 #146

UTAH31.7 #262

Possessions

Turnover rate

CAL15.1 #74

UTAH16.7 #175

Offensive rebound rate

CAL26.0 #322

UTAH29.3 #224

Assists per game

CAL14.1 #142

UTAH13.7 #169

Defense

Points allowed

CAL73.4 #140

UTAH79.1 #302

Points allowed per possession

CAL1.05 #92

UTAH1.16 #337

Opponent effective FG%

CAL49.8 #91

UTAH53.9 #298

Opponent 3-point %

CAL31.0 #34

UTAH35.1 #254

Turnovers forced

CAL16.1 #216

UTAH13.3 #348

Defensive rebound rate

CAL69.5 #180

UTAH68.4 #233

Steals per game

CAL5.9 #244

UTAH5.3 #315

Blocks per game

CAL3.0 #217

UTAH3.4 #160

CAL		UTAH
Scoring
77.7 #99	Points per game	74.3 #185
1.11 #118	Points per possession	1.08 #173
69.8 #126	Pace (possessions)	68.3 #211
Shooting
52.6 #119	Effective FG%	52.0 #142
36.9 #30	3-point %	35.3 #98
43.1 #111	3-point attempt rate	37.5 #222
36.2 #146	Free throw rate	31.7 #262
Possessions
15.1 #74	Turnover rate	16.7 #175
26.0 #322	Offensive rebound rate	29.3 #224
14.1 #142	Assists per game	13.7 #169
Defense
73.4 #140	Points allowed	79.1 #302
1.05 #92	Points allowed per possession	1.16 #337
49.8 #91	Opponent effective FG%	53.9 #298
31.0 #34	Opponent 3-point %	35.1 #254
16.1 #216	Turnovers forced	13.3 #348
69.5 #180	Defensive rebound rate	68.4 #233
5.9 #244	Steals per game	5.3 #315
3.0 #217	Blocks per game	3.4 #160

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

California

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Saint Joseph's75–76
Wvs UIC91–73
Lvs Florida St89–95
L@ Wake Forest73–80
W@ Georgia Tech76–65

A week or more of rest.

Utah

10-22 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Cincinnati66–73
L@ Baylor75–101
Lvs Colorado78–92
L@ Arizona St60–73
Lvs Iowa State59–75

A week or more of rest.

California @ Utah

What could decide it: CAL has more of the edges

Market vs model

Market

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

California

Utah

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

California

Utah