Cajundome · at Louisiana
Line
AKR -5.5no move
Total148.5no move
| This season | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects AKR 77–70 · win probability AKR 72%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
AKR -5.5
no move since the open
Total
148.5
model 146.5 · Under by 2
Model edge
AKR by 1.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
92% UL
91% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: AKR has more of the edges
AKR 6, UL 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Shooting
Effective FG%: AKR 58.1 and allows 51.2; UL 47.1 and allows 52.6
Free throws
Free throw rate: AKR 29.2, UL 28.7. Allowed: AKR 30.4, UL 45.8
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AKR 33.4%, UL 28.4%. Defensive: AKR 70.1%, UL 67.7%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: AKR plays 71.1 a game (70th fastest), UL 64.1 (359th). Faster games mean more points
UL offense vs AKR defense
Offense 292nd of 366 against a defense 168th, on the model’s ratings
Three-pointers
AKR hits 38.2% and allows 35.5%; UL hits 33.6% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 44.8% and 40.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
AKR has played the 159th-hardest schedule, UL the 226th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AKR 28%, UL 59%. Transfers in: AKR 5, UL 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
AKR offense vs UL defense
Offense 101st of 366 against a defense 157th, on the model’s ratings
Home court
UL at home. This season: UL 0-0 at home, AKR 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AKR 15.5%, UL 16.8%. Forced: AKR 18.3%, UL 18.3%
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road favorites of 3 to 6.5 | 1543 | 67% | 51% | 50% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1736 | 67% | 50% | 49% |
| Games with a total of 145 to 149.5 | 3547 | 74% | 49% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenAKR -5.5
no move
NowAKR -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
no move
Now148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
AKR -235 · UL +190
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened AKR -5.5 · unchangedmodel AKR -7
model AKR -7
Opened 148.5 · now 149 · moved 0.5 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Over 148.5TotalUnder 148.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
8 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | UL | Over | Under | AKR | UL | |
| BetMGMMGM | +5.5-110 | -5.5-110 | 149.5-105 | 149.5-115 | -235 | +190 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | +5-115 | -5-105 | 149-115 | 149-105 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | +5.5-114 | -5.5-112 | 149.5-106 | 149.5-121 | -265 | +195 |
| BetUSBetUS | +5-115 | -5-105 | 149-115 | 149-105 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | +5.5-105 | -5.5-115 | 149-110 | 149-110 | -225 | +185 |
| DraftKingsDK | +5.5-108 | -5.5-112 | 148.5-115 | 148.5-105 | -245 | +200 |
| FanDuelFD | +5.5-110 | -5.5-110 | 149.5-110 | 149.5-110 | -235 | +190 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | +5-111 | -5-101 | 149-113 | 149-103 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -5.5 | AKR -6.8 | AKR +1.3 |
| Total | 148.5 | 146.5 | Under 2.0 |
| Projected score | — | AKR 76.7 · UL 69.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -4.2 | — |
| 1H total | 68.5 | — |
| 1H projected score | AKR 36.4 · UL 32.2 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | |
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
33 games played
Straight up
27-6
82% wins
Against the spread
17-16
52% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-18
45% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Against the spread
17-1652%
2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @ | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vs | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @ | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | vs | W 99-92 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | @ | W 90-73 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 20 | @ | W 78-65 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 99-85 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 27 | @ | W 92-70 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | U 162 |
| Mar 3 | @ | W 77-64 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 94-55 | -23.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 73-70 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 75-68 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 79-76 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 20 | vs | L 71-91 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JMU
W 85-71
+5.5
8
vs
PRIN
W 104-69
+21.5
16
@
PUR
L 79-97
+0.5
21
vs
IONA
W 96-75
+9.5
23
vs
EVAN
W 97-59
+26.5
24
vs
YALE
L 94-97
−4.5
29
vs
MILW
W 105-81
+11.5
3
vs
BUCK
W 97-77
−3.5
6
@
TULN
W 88-71
+10.5
13
vs
MUR
L 100-115
−19.5
19
vs
EMU
W 93-72
+5.5
3
@
M-OH
L 73-76
−7.5
6
vs
CMU
W 82-69
−10.5
9
@
BGSU
W 77-67
+5.5
13
vs
BALL
W 87-77
−10.5
17
vs
WMU
W 104-89
−6.5
20
@
BUF
W 82-63
+10.5
23
@
OHIO
W 86-65
+14.5
27
vs
TOL
W 91-81
−2.5
30
vs
KENT
W 69-52
+6.5
3
@
EMU
W 66-64
−10.5
7
@
TROY
L 69-79
−12.5
13
vs
MASS
W 99-92
−5.5
17
@
WMU
W 90-73
+2.5
20
@
BALL
W 78-65
−0.5
24
vs
BUF
W 99-85
−1.5
27
@
KENT
W 92-70
+18.5
3
@
CMU
W 77-64
+1.5
6
vs
NIU
W 94-55
+15.5
12
vs
BUF
W 73-70
−9.5
13
vs
KENT
W 75-68
+0.5
14
vs
TOL
W 79-76
−4.5
20
vs
TTU
L 71-91
−13.5
covered 17didn’t cover 16avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
JMU
W 85-71
+2.5
8
vs
PRIN
W 104-69
+16.5
16
@
PUR
L 79-97
+12.5
21
vs
IONA
W 96-75
−2.5
23
vs
EVAN
W 97-59
−0.5
24
vs
YALE
L 94-97
+34.5
29
vs
MILW
W 105-81
+19.5
3
vs
BUCK
W 97-77
+16.5
6
@
TULN
W 88-71
−3.5
13
vs
MUR
L 100-115
+46.5
19
vs
EMU
W 93-72
+9.5
3
@
M-OH
L 73-76
−28.5
6
vs
CMU
W 82-69
−13.5
9
@
BGSU
W 77-67
−19.5
13
vs
BALL
W 87-77
+11.5
17
vs
WMU
W 104-89
+29.5
20
@
BUF
W 82-63
−21.5
23
@
OHIO
W 86-65
−16.5
27
vs
TOL
W 91-81
+3.5
30
vs
KENT
W 69-52
−45.5
3
@
EMU
W 66-64
−23.5
7
@
TROY
L 69-79
−9.5
13
vs
MASS
W 99-92
+27.5
17
@
WMU
W 90-73
+2.5
20
@
BALL
W 78-65
−4.5
24
vs
BUF
W 99-85
+23.5
27
@
KENT
W 92-70
−4.5
3
@
CMU
W 77-64
−17.5
6
vs
NIU
W 94-55
−6.5
12
vs
BUF
W 73-70
−15.5
13
vs
KENT
W 75-68
−20.5
14
vs
TOL
W 79-76
−2.5
20
vs
TTU
L 71-91
+7.5
over 15under 18avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana
33 games played
Straight up
11-22
33% wins
Against the spread
15-18
45% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-18
45% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 63-70 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 44-65 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 54-62 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 76-62 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 63-54 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 58-63 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 85-79 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 70-90 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 54-59 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 59-56 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 58-72 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 69-60 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 85-80 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 12 | vs | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
| Feb 16 | @ | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 19 | vs | L 62-79 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 67-54 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 24 | @ | L 59-78 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 27 | @ | L 58-81 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 84-75 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 4 | vs | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BALL
L 64-75
−6.5
7
vs
SELA
W 58-52
+2.5
11
vs
TULN
L 62-66
+1.5
14
@
MCN
L 62-88
−10.5
18
@
STAN
L 66-93
−6.5
21
@
SCU
L 43-80
−17.5
24
@
UCD
L 56-77
−11.5
28
vs
JKST
L 45-51
−11.5
3
@
LAM
L 55-65
+0.5
6
vs
UNCW
L 63-70
+5.5
13
@
LT
L 44-65
−11.5
18
@
USM
L 54-62
+3.5
20
@
ULM
W 76-62
+12.5
28
vs
NORF
W 63-54
+5.5
31
vs
USA
L 58-63
−1.5
3
vs
USM
L 67-74
−3.5
8
vs
ULM
W 85-79
−1.5
10
vs
TROY
L 70-90
−10.5
14
@
TXST
L 54-59
+3.5
17
@
USA
W 59-56
+12.5
22
@
APP
L 58-72
−4.5
29
vs
GAST
W 82-72
+11.5
31
vs
GASO
W 69-60
+11.5
4
@
JMU
W 64-61
+12.5
7
vs
CMU
W 85-80
+2.5
12
vs
CCU
L 65-69
−2.5
16
@
ODU
L 72-83
−4.5
19
vs
ARST
L 62-79
−8.5
21
vs
TXST
W 67-54
+16.5
24
@
TROY
L 59-78
−7.5
27
@
ARST
L 58-81
−9.5
3
vs
GAST
W 84-75
+10.5
4
vs
JMU
L 72-87
−8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 18avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
BALL
L 64-75
−2.5
7
vs
SELA
W 58-52
−25.5
11
vs
TULN
L 62-66
−7.5
14
@
MCN
L 62-88
+15.5
18
@
STAN
L 66-93
+19.5
21
@
SCU
L 43-80
−17.5
24
@
UCD
L 56-77
−3.5
28
vs
JKST
L 45-51
−40.5
3
@
LAM
L 55-65
−9.5
6
vs
UNCW
L 63-70
+2.5
13
@
LT
L 44-65
−17.5
18
@
USM
L 54-62
−16.5
20
@
ULM
W 76-62
+1.5
28
vs
NORF
W 63-54
−9.5
31
vs
USA
L 58-63
−6.5
3
vs
USM
L 67-74
+11.5
8
vs
ULM
W 85-79
+24.5
10
vs
TROY
L 70-90
+23.5
14
@
TXST
L 54-59
−20.5
17
@
USA
W 59-56
−14.5
22
@
APP
L 58-72
+5.5
29
vs
GAST
W 82-72
+24.5
31
vs
GASO
W 69-60
−15.5
4
@
JMU
W 64-61
−7.5
7
vs
CMU
W 85-80
+30.5
12
vs
CCU
L 65-69
+1.5
16
@
ODU
L 72-83
+19.5
19
vs
ARST
L 62-79
−3.5
21
vs
TXST
W 67-54
−13.5
24
@
TROY
L 59-78
+2.5
27
@
ARST
L 58-81
−7.5
3
vs
GAST
W 84-75
+24.5
4
vs
JMU
L 72-87
+24.5
over 15under 18avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron has the better starters
Position by position: Akron 4, Louisiana 0, even 1
AkronBetterLouisiana
G T. Staveskie TR17.3 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.9 ast
Score 74
←AKRSmall
G D. Lavergne9.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 40
G T. Pence TR9.5 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 86
←AKRBig
G M. Cooper5.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 1
F E. Mahaffey9.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 3.4 ast
Score 69
←AKRSmall
G T. Middleton TR12.4 pts · 3.5 reb · 3 ast
Score 49
F M. Burton TR5.5 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 14
=No call
G J. Keller17 pts · 2 reb · 3 ast
Not ranked
F B. Hammer TR4.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 55
←AKRSmall
F J. Harris TR9.3 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 34
AkronBetterLouisiana
AKR offense101st of 366 · -1.1
←AKRSmall
UL defense157th of 366 · -3.4
AKR defense168th of 366 · -3.7
←AKRSmall
UL offense292nd of 366 · -9.0
Backcourt+2.7 · 2 players
←AKRBig
Backcourt-6.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.4 · 3 players
=Even
Frontcourt-1.2 · 1 player
Bench-2.6 · 4 players
→ULSmall
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestAKR betterUL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
T. Staveskie36 min · TRT. Pence24 min · TRC. HeadNewT. PerkinsNewJ. HendersonNewE. WilsonNew
Forwards
E. Mahaffey29 minM. Burton25 min · TRB. Hammer14 min · TRZ. Halligan12 minC. White9 min · TRM. Musiime-Kamali9 min
Guards
D. Lavergne30 minM. Cooper30 minT. Middleton30 min · TRJ. Keller30 minL. Myers2 minD. WareNew
Forwards
J. Harris27 min · TRD. Pounds18 min · TRT. Jones17 minJ. Evans11 minR. OlajuwonNewT. DuncanNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 86.4 #8 | Points per game | 63.7 #354 |
| 1.22 #6 | Points per possession | 0.99 #333 |
| 71.1 #70 | Pace (possessions) | 64.1 #359 |
| Shooting | ||
| 58.1 #9 | Effective FG% | 47.1 #334 |
| 38.2 #15 | 3-point % | 33.6 #189 |
| 44.8 #74 | 3-point attempt rate | 40.5 #160 |
| 29.2 #327 | Free throw rate | 28.7 #334 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.5 #104 | Turnover rate | 16.8 #185 |
| 33.4 #78 | Offensive rebound rate | 28.4 #251 |
| 17.7 #12 | Assists per game | 10.3 #354 |
| Defense | ||
| 75.0 #188 | Points allowed | 70.7 #69 |
| 1.06 #98 | Points allowed per possession | 1.10 #227 |
| 51.2 #173 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.6 #247 |
| 35.5 #284 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.6 #286 |
| 18.3 #86 | Turnovers forced | 18.3 #85 |
| 70.1 #156 | Defensive rebound rate | 67.7 #272 |
| 7.2 #108 | Steals per game | 5.8 #257 |
| 2.9 #240 | Blocks per game | 3.5 #141 |
Akron
27-6 in 2025-26 overall · 20-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas Tech71–91
- Wvs Toledo79–76
- Wvs Kent State75–68
- Wvs Buffalo73–70
- Wvs N Illinois94–55
A week or more of rest.
Louisiana
11-22 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs James Madison72–87
- Wvs Georgia St84–75
- L@ Arkansas St58–81
- L@ Troy59–78
- Wvs Texas St67–54
A week or more of rest.