1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. AMCC @ UL
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Cajundome · at Louisiana
#238AMCCTexas A&M-CC
@
#221ULLouisiana
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AMCCThis seasonUL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UL 69–67 · win probability UL 57%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 136.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AMCC has more of the edges

AMCC 5, UL 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
AMCCBig
Three-pointers
AMCC hits 35.0% and allows 31.6%; UL hits 33.6% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 31.4% and 40.5% of their shots
ULBig
AMCC offense vs UL defense
Offense 303rd of 366 against a defense 157th, on the model’s ratings
AMCCBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AMCC 31.7%, UL 28.4%. Defensive: AMCC 71.2%, UL 67.7%
AMCCBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: AMCC 41.1, UL 28.7. Allowed: AMCC 46.3, UL 45.8
AMCCBig
UL offense vs AMCC defense
Offense 292nd of 366 against a defense 176th, on the model’s ratings
AMCCSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: AMCC 49.5 and allows 50.1; UL 47.1 and allows 52.6
ULSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AMCC 19%, UL 59%. Transfers in: AMCC 4, UL 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
ULSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AMCC 19.4%, UL 16.8%. Forced: AMCC 19.0%, UL 18.3%
ULSmall
Home court
UL at home. This season: UL 0-0 at home, AMCC 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 65 possessions: AMCC plays 66.9 a game (284th fastest), UL 64.1 (359th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
AMCC has played the 245th-hardest schedule, UL the 226th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UL -1.9—
Total—136.5—
Projected score—AMCC 67.3 · UL 69.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUL -1.0—
1H total63.9—
1H projected scoreAMCC 31.4 · UL 32.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Texas A&M-CC 2, Louisiana 2, even 1
Texas A&M-CCBetterLouisiana
G J. Mizell TR5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
ULSmall
G D. Lavergne9.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.8 ast Score 40
G S. Robinson TR14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 76
AMCCBig
G M. Cooper5.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 3.5 ast Score 1
G I. Lewis TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 10
ULBig
G T. Middleton TR12.4 pts · 3.5 reb · 3 ast Score 49
G D. Michelini-Jackson4.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 34
No call
G J. Keller17 pts · 2 reb · 3 ast Not ranked
F B. Basil TR8.7 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 53
AMCCSmall
F J. Harris TR9.3 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34
Texas A&M-CCBetterLouisiana
AMCC offense303rd of 366 · -9.4
ULBig
UL defense157th of 366 · -3.4
AMCC defense176th of 366 · -4.0
AMCCSmall
UL offense292nd of 366 · -9.0
Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-6.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
AMCCSmall
Frontcourt-1.2 · 1 player
Bench-1.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestAMCC betterUL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Texas A&M-CC
Guards
J. Mizell28 min · TRS. Robinson28 min · TRI. Lewis22 min · TRD. Michelini-Jackson17 minB. Wheatfall11 minC. Horton6 min
Forwards
B. Basil23 min · TRD. MukunaNewK. WallaceNewC. WorshamNew
Centers
J. Ambrose5 minL. FoonNew
Louisiana
Guards
D. Lavergne30 minM. Cooper30 minT. Middleton30 min · TRJ. Keller30 minL. Myers2 minD. WareNew
Forwards
J. Harris27 min · TRD. Pounds18 min · TRT. Jones17 minJ. Evans11 minR. OlajuwonNewT. DuncanNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AMCCUL
Scoring
68.5 #305Points per game63.7 #354
1.03 #296Points per possession0.99 #333
66.9 #284Pace (possessions)64.1 #359
Shooting
49.5 #270Effective FG%47.1 #334
35.0 #1223-point %33.6 #189
31.4 #3343-point attempt rate40.5 #160
41.1 #46Free throw rate28.7 #334
Possessions
19.4 #336Turnover rate16.8 #185
31.7 #138Offensive rebound rate28.4 #251
12.1 #280Assists per game10.3 #354
Defense
69.4 #52Points allowed70.7 #69
1.04 #67Points allowed per possession1.10 #227
50.1 #104Opponent effective FG%52.6 #247
31.6 #48Opponent 3-point %35.6 #286
19.0 #48Turnovers forced18.3 #85
71.2 #95Defensive rebound rate67.7 #272
7.0 #125Steals per game5.8 #257
2.6 #290Blocks per game3.5 #141
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas A&M-CC

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-10 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SF Austin58–60
  • Wvs LSU N Orleans74–61
  • Wvs East Texas A&M84–71
  • Wvs N'Western St71–59
  • W@ SE Louisiana73–68

A week or more of rest.

Louisiana

11-22 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs James Madison72–87
  • Wvs Georgia St84–75
  • L@ Arkansas St58–81
  • L@ Troy59–78
  • Wvs Texas St67–54

A week or more of rest.