1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 6
  3. RMU @ UIC
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 6

Robert Morris Colonials at UIC Flames

Credit Union 1 Arena · at UIC
#168RMURobert Morris
@
#110UICUIC
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RMUThis seasonUIC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UIC 78–69 · win probability UIC 80%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 146.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UIC has more of the edges

RMU 3, UIC 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UICBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: RMU 28.0, UIC 36.2. Allowed: RMU 40.1, UIC 33.9
RMUBig
Three-pointers
RMU hits 38.0% and allows 33.2%; UIC hits 31.6% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 40.7% and 32.8% of their shots
UICBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RMU 18.6%, UIC 17.6%. Forced: RMU 15.8%, UIC 19.7%
Context
Schedule so far
RMU has played the 280th-hardest schedule, UIC the 161st. A record against a soft schedule means less
RMUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: RMU 54.9 and allows 50.0; UIC 49.8 and allows 50.5
RMUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RMU 37.5%, UIC 36.3%. Defensive: RMU 71.2%, UIC 68.0%
UICSmall
RMU offense vs UIC defense
Offense 179th of 366 against a defense 106th, on the model’s ratings
UICSmall
UIC offense vs RMU defense
Offense 117th of 366 against a defense 183rd, on the model’s ratings
UICSmall
Home court
UIC at home. This season: UIC 0-0 at home, RMU 0-0 away
UICSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RMU 32%, UIC 60%. Transfers in: RMU 4, UIC 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: RMU plays 67.5 a game (256th fastest), UIC 68.1 (227th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UIC -9.6—
Total—146.5—
Projected score—RMU 68.5 · UIC 78.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUIC -5.6—
1H total68.5—
1H projected scoreRMU 31.5 · UIC 37.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

UIC has the better starters

Position by position: Robert Morris 1, UIC 2, even 2
Robert MorrisBetterUIC
G A. Valentine TR12 pts · 4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 71
Even
G B. Gealer TR10.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 79
G D. Livingston9.6 pts · 2 reb · 2.9 ast Score 23
UICSmall
G A. Johnson11 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 55
G T. Smith6.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 30
UICBig
G A. Thomas TR11.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 69
F J. Dunkley TR12.4 pts · 6.7 reb · 1 ast Score 74
RMUSmall
G M. Lowery7.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast Score 59
F K. Ugwuakazi TR5.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 63
Even
G R. Washington8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 77
Robert MorrisBetterUIC
RMU offense179th of 366 · -5.5
UICSmall
UIC defense106th of 366 · -1.0
RMU defense183rd of 366 · -4.2
UICSmall
UIC offense117th of 366 · -2.6
Backcourt-2.8 · 3 players
UICBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 5 players
Frontcourt+1.5 · 2 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
Even
Bench+0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestRMU betterUIC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Robert Morris
Guards
A. Valentine33 min · TRD. Livingston26 minT. Smith19 minK. Garris16 min · TRE. Cooke9 minL. SloaneNew
Forwards
J. Dunkley29 min · TRK. Ugwuakazi19 min · TRS. Obenjo9 minD. StolbetskiyNewB. OderinloNew
UIC
Guards
B. Gealer30 min · TRA. Johnson29 minA. Thomas28 min · TRM. Lowery26 minR. Washington23 minA. Henderson21 min
Forwards
J. Nathaniel20 minL. Scroggins17 min · TRN. BarrantesNewD. HudsonNewD. ShawNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RMUUIC
Scoring
76.8 #122Points per game73.9 #196
1.14 #67Points per possession1.09 #171
67.5 #256Pace (possessions)68.1 #227
Shooting
54.9 #39Effective FG%49.8 #245
38.0 #183-point %31.6 #300
40.7 #1543-point attempt rate32.8 #319
28.0 #343Free throw rate36.2 #145
Possessions
18.6 #305Turnover rate17.6 #247
37.5 #11Offensive rebound rate36.3 #22
17.6 #13Assists per game14.1 #143
Defense
73.4 #139Points allowed71.2 #81
1.08 #174Points allowed per possession1.05 #83
50.0 #100Opponent effective FG%50.5 #125
33.2 #135Opponent 3-point %33.4 #147
15.8 #230Turnovers forced19.7 #30
71.2 #98Defensive rebound rate68.0 #255
5.5 #292Steals per game7.6 #70
2.5 #308Blocks per game3.6 #126
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Robert Morris

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Detroit Mercy64–70
  • Wvs Youngstown St68–53
  • Wvs Cleveland St83–64
  • Wvs Detroit Mercy73–62
  • W@ Wright St81–68

A week or more of rest.

UIC

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 14-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ California73–91
  • Lvs Northern Iowa69–84
  • Wvs Drake72–51
  • Wvs Murray St92–79
  • L@ Indiana St63–79

A week or more of rest.