1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 2
  3. UMES @ WAKE
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 2

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest
#364UMESMD Eastern
@
#89WAKEWake Forest
LineWAKE -30.5moved 1 toward UMES
Total144.5up 3 from 141.5
UMESThis seasonWAKE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WAKE 87–58 · win probability WAKE 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
WAKE -30.5
moved 1 toward UMES
Total
144.5
model 144.2
Model edge
UMES by 1
model vs market
Public on the spread
89% UMES
92% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WAKE has more of the edges

UMES 0, WAKE 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WAKEBig
WAKE offense vs UMES defense
Offense 80th of 366 against a defense 350th, on the model’s ratings
WAKEBig
UMES offense vs WAKE defense
Offense 364th of 366 against a defense 96th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UMES has played the 240th-hardest schedule, WAKE the 64th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WAKEBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UMES 29.4, WAKE 35.2. Allowed: UMES 43.0, WAKE 35.7
WAKEBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UMES 23.7%, WAKE 15.5%. Forced: UMES 18.0%, WAKE 17.7%
WAKEBig
Three-pointers
UMES hits 29.0% and allows 33.5%; WAKE hits 34.1% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 33.5% and 43.6% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UMES plays 65.8 a game (321st fastest), WAKE 70.2 (112th). Faster games mean more points
WAKESmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UMES 47.8 and allows 50.8; WAKE 52.7 and allows 51.8
WAKESmall
Home court
WAKE at home. This season: WAKE 0-0 at home, UMES 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UMES 32.4%, WAKE 30.1%. Defensive: UMES 66.4%, WAKE 67.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UMES 9%, WAKE 9%. Transfers in: UMES 1, WAKE 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 20 or more116599%50%52%
Non-conference games at this spread109099%50%52%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog451374%51%50%
Games with a total of 140 to 144.5357072%50%50%
A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward UMES
Total
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Median of 5 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened WAKE -31.5 · now WAKE -30 · moved 1.5 toward UMESmodel WAKE -29.5
Opened 141.5 · now 144.5 · moved 3 upmodel 144
Nov 1line modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
UMES +30.5SpreadWAKE -30.5
Bets
Money
Over 144.5TotalUnder 144.5
Bets
Money
Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read . ⓘ

Books

5 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
UMESWAKEOverUnderUMESWAKE
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-30-110+30-110144.5-110144.5-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-31.5-104+31.5-122144.5-109144.5-117——
BovadaBovada-30-110+30-110144.5-110144.5-110——
DraftKingsDK-30.5-105+30.5-115144.5-110144.5-110——
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-30-106+30-106144.5-108144.5-108——
Prices from The Odds API, updated 5:30 AM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadWAKE -30.5WAKE -29.3UMES +1.2
Total144.5144.2Under 0.3
Projected score—UMES 57.5 · WAKE 86.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWAKE -17.3—
1H total67.5—
1H projected scoreUMES 25.1 · WAKE 42.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wake Forest has the better starters

Position by position: MD Eastern 0, Wake Forest 1, even 4
MD EasternBetterWake Forest
G I. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G K. Kennedy TR18.4 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.2 ast Score 91
F L. Beckwith1.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 1
WAKEBig
G J. Ray TR11.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 56
F L. Gibson-Savadel TR2.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. McDowell TR3.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 40
F E. Berhanu NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F R. Nyeri TR8.4 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 34
F G. Tokody NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F X. Pintelon TR5.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast Score 47
MD EasternBetterWake Forest
UMES offense364th of 366 · -15.3
WAKEBig
WAKE defense96th of 366 · -0.5
UMES defense350th of 366 · -9.7
WAKEBig
WAKE offense80th of 366 · +0.5
BackcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.5 · 4 players
WAKESmall
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUMES betterWAKE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MD Eastern
Guards
I. HallNewE. JohnsonNewI. GriffinNewS. MooreNewB. GardnerNewV. EzehNew
Forwards
L. Beckwith17 minL. Gibson-Savadel7 min · TRE. BerhanuNewG. TokodyNewA. ColeNewD. Hall-JohnsonNew
Centers
E. OgohNew
Wake Forest
Guards
K. Kennedy37 min · TRJ. Ray29 min · TRJ. McDowell17 min · TRI. Carr13 minA. Beard2 minW. Underwood2 min
Forwards
R. Nyeri26 min · TRX. Pintelon18 min · TRV. Ricchiuti2 minJ. AbsonNewV. ChaudhriNewG. PlacideNew
Centers
A. Dorn9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UMESWAKE
Scoring
62.4 #360Points per game78.8 #83
0.94 #358Points per possession1.12 #94
65.8 #321Pace (possessions)70.2 #112
Shooting
47.8 #319Effective FG%52.7 #117
29.0 #3543-point %34.1 #166
33.5 #3093-point attempt rate43.6 #99
29.4 #321Free throw rate35.2 #170
Possessions
23.7 #365Turnover rate15.5 #107
32.4 #112Offensive rebound rate30.1 #196
13.0 #213Assists per game14.4 #123
Defense
71.5 #91Points allowed76.9 #239
1.09 #207Points allowed per possession1.10 #214
50.8 #142Opponent effective FG%51.8 #202
33.5 #156Opponent 3-point %32.9 #117
18.0 #95Turnovers forced17.7 #114
66.4 #311Defensive rebound rate67.0 #298
5.7 #274Steals per game7.7 #59
2.5 #302Blocks per game3.5 #136
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

MD Eastern

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-10 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central76–83
  • Lvs Delaware St56–57
  • Lvs NC Central73–77
  • Wvs SC State69–57
  • L@ Coppin St65–71

A week or more of rest.

Wake Forest

18-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois St75–78
  • Wvs Navy82–72
  • Lvs Clemson62–71
  • Wvs Virginia Tech95–89
  • Wvs California80–73

A week or more of rest.