1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 4
  3. UMES @ HPU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 4

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at High Point Panthers

Qubein Center · at High Point
#364UMESMD Eastern
@
#90HPUHigh Point
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UMESThis seasonHPU
0-0Record1-0
0-0ATS1-0
0-0O/U0-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HPU 88–58 · win probability HPU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HPU has more of the edges

UMES 0, HPU 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HPUBig
HPU offense vs UMES defense
Offense 64th of 366 against a defense 350th, on the model’s ratings
HPUBig
UMES offense vs HPU defense
Offense 364th of 366 against a defense 127th, on the model’s ratings
HPUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UMES 23.7%, HPU 12.8%. Forced: UMES 18.0%, HPU 21.3%
HPUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UMES 29.4, HPU 40.8. Allowed: UMES 43.0, HPU 35.5
HPUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UMES 47.8 and allows 50.8; HPU 54.5 and allows 50.5
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: UMES plays 65.8 a game (321st fastest), HPU 71.7 (47th). Faster games mean more points
HPUBig
Three-pointers
UMES hits 29.0% and allows 33.5%; HPU hits 34.2% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 33.5% and 43.6% of their shots
HPUSmall
Home court
HPU at home. This season: HPU 0-0 at home, UMES 0-0 away
HPUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UMES 9%, HPU 36%. Transfers in: UMES 1, HPU 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
UMES has played the 240th-hardest schedule, HPU the 288th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UMES 32.4%, HPU 31.8%. Defensive: UMES 66.4%, HPU 68.9%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HPU -29.8—
Total—146.3—
Projected score—UMES 58.3 · HPU 88

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHPU -17.6—
1H total68.4—
1H projected scoreUMES 25.4 · HPU 43—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

High Point has the better starters

Position by position: MD Eastern 0, High Point 1, even 4
MD EasternBetterHigh Point
G I. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Rivera-Torres TR15.9 pts · 8.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 91
F L. Beckwith1.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 1
HPUBig
G C. Williams TR12.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 60
F L. Gibson-Savadel TR2.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Brown TR10.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast Score 64
F E. Berhanu NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F I. Garrett TR13.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 79
F G. Tokody NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F F. Sherman TR10.8 pts · 8.6 reb · 1 ast Score 85
MD EasternBetterHigh Point
UMES offense364th of 366 · -15.3
HPUBig
HPU defense127th of 366 · -2.3
UMES defense350th of 366 · -9.7
HPUBig
HPU offense64th of 366 · +2.2
BackcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Backcourt+3.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.5 · 4 players
HPUBig
Frontcourt+3.9 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+4.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUMES betterHPU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MD Eastern
Guards
I. HallNewE. JohnsonNewI. GriffinNewS. MooreNewB. GardnerNewV. EzehNew
Forwards
L. Beckwith17 minL. Gibson-Savadel7 min · TRE. BerhanuNewG. TokodyNewA. ColeNewD. Hall-JohnsonNew
Centers
E. OgohNew
High Point
Guards
J. Rivera-Torres36 min · TRC. Williams32 min · TRC. Brown27 min · TRC. Martinez22 minL. Campbell15 min · TRS. McDermott2 min · TR
Forwards
I. Garrett29 min · TRF. Sherman26 min · TRF. Brankovic24 min · TRC. Fletcher22 minB. Hausen21 minC. Miller7 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UMESHPU
Scoring
62.4 #360Points per game86.4 #9
0.94 #358Points per possession1.20 #12
65.8 #321Pace (possessions)71.7 #47
Shooting
47.8 #319Effective FG%54.5 #51
29.0 #3543-point %34.2 #161
33.5 #3093-point attempt rate43.6 #98
29.4 #321Free throw rate40.8 #50
Possessions
23.7 #365Turnover rate12.8 #5
32.4 #112Offensive rebound rate31.8 #131
13.0 #213Assists per game15.4 #74
Defense
71.5 #91Points allowed72.8 #128
1.09 #207Points allowed per possession1.01 #38
50.8 #142Opponent effective FG%50.5 #126
33.5 #156Opponent 3-point %32.6 #97
18.0 #95Turnovers forced21.3 #8
66.4 #311Defensive rebound rate68.9 #207
5.7 #274Steals per game10.1 #2
2.5 #302Blocks per game3.6 #119
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

MD Eastern

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-10 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central76–83
  • Lvs Delaware St56–57
  • Lvs NC Central73–77
  • Wvs SC State69–57
  • L@ Coppin St65–71

A week or more of rest.

High Point

28-5 in 2025-26 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas88–94
  • Wvs Wisconsin83–82
  • Wvs Winthrop91–76
  • Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59

3 days since their last game.