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  2. Sun, Nov 15
  3. HPU @ SLU
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 15

High Point Panthers at Saint Louis Billikens

Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
#90HPUHigh Point
@
#69SLUSaint Louis
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HPUThis seasonSLU
1-0Record0-0
1-0ATS0-0
0-1O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SLU 82–76 · win probability SLU 70%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 157.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SLU has more of the edges

HPU 2, SLU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HPUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HPU 12.8%, SLU 17.2%. Forced: HPU 21.3%, SLU 15.9%
Context
Schedule so far
HPU has played the 288th-hardest schedule, SLU the 99th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SLUBig
Three-pointers
HPU hits 34.2% and allows 32.6%; SLU hits 39.9% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 43.6% and 45.1% of their shots
HPUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HPU 40.8, SLU 33.7. Allowed: HPU 35.5, SLU 37.1
SLUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: HPU 54.5 and allows 50.5; SLU 59.7 and allows 45.2
SLUSmall
SLU offense vs HPU defense
Offense 61st of 366 against a defense 127th, on the model’s ratings
SLUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HPU 31.8%, SLU 30.7%. Defensive: HPU 68.9%, SLU 72.8%
SLUSmall
Home court
SLU at home. This season: SLU 0-0 at home, HPU 0-0 away
SLUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HPU 36%, SLU 63%. Transfers in: HPU 8, SLU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
HPU offense vs SLU defense
Offense 64th of 366 against a defense 87th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: HPU plays 71.7 a game (47th fastest), SLU 72.1 (32nd). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SLU -6.0—
Total—157.2—
Projected score—HPU 75.6 · SLU 81.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSLU -3.5—
1H total73.4—
1H projected scoreHPU 35 · SLU 38.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: High Point 2, Saint Louis 2, even 1
High PointBetterSaint Louis
G J. Rivera-Torres TR15.9 pts · 8.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 91
HPUBig
G Q. Jones9 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.9 ast Score 51
G C. Williams TR12.4 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 60
SLUSmall
G T. Green11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 86
G C. Brown TR10.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast Score 64
SLUSmall
G A. McCottry10.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 84
F I. Garrett TR13.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 79
Even
F I. Sharma9.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 67
F F. Sherman TR10.8 pts · 8.6 reb · 1 ast Score 85
HPUSmall
F A. Michaeli TR7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1 ast Score 58
High PointBetterSaint Louis
HPU offense64th of 366 · +2.2
Even
SLU defense87th of 366 · -0.1
HPU defense127th of 366 · -2.3
SLUSmall
SLU offense61st of 366 · +2.6
Backcourt+3.4 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt+2.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+3.9 · 2 players
HPUBig
Frontcourt+0.6 · 2 players
Bench+4.4 · 5 players
Even
Bench+3.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHPU betterSLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
High Point
Guards
J. Rivera-Torres36 min · TRC. Williams32 min · TRC. Brown27 min · TRC. Martinez22 minL. Campbell15 min · TRS. McDermott2 min · TR
Forwards
I. Garrett29 min · TRF. Sherman26 min · TRF. Brankovic24 min · TRC. Fletcher22 minB. Hausen21 minC. Miller7 min
Saint Louis
Guards
Q. Jones27 minT. Green24 minA. McCottry23 minK. Thames17 minC. Hutson4 minI. Holmes2 min
Forwards
I. Sharma22 minA. Michaeli18 min · TRE. Strong17 min · TRJ. Kerr6 minS. PearsonNewB. DiakiteNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HPUSLU
Scoring
86.4 #9Points per game86.4 #7
1.20 #12Points per possession1.20 #14
71.7 #47Pace (possessions)72.1 #32
Shooting
54.5 #51Effective FG%59.7 #2
34.2 #1613-point %39.9 #2
43.6 #983-point attempt rate45.1 #64
40.8 #50Free throw rate33.7 #221
Possessions
12.8 #5Turnover rate17.2 #218
31.8 #131Offensive rebound rate30.7 #173
15.4 #74Assists per game18.3 #8
Defense
72.8 #128Points allowed71.6 #94
1.01 #38Points allowed per possession0.99 #21
50.5 #126Opponent effective FG%45.2 #3
32.6 #97Opponent 3-point %30.3 #14
21.3 #8Turnovers forced15.9 #224
68.9 #207Defensive rebound rate72.8 #43
10.1 #2Steals per game7.1 #117
3.6 #119Blocks per game3.4 #168
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

High Point

28-5 in 2025-26 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas88–94
  • Wvs Wisconsin83–82
  • Wvs Winthrop91–76
  • Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59

A week or more of rest.

Saint Louis

28-6 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan72–95
  • Wvs Georgia102–77
  • Lvs Dayton69–70
  • Wvs G Washington88–81
  • L@ George Mason57–86

A week or more of rest.