1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. CHSO @ WAKE
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Charleston Southern Buccaneers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest
#326CHSOCharleston So
@
#89WAKEWake Forest
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CHSOThis seasonWAKE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WAKE 88–67 · win probability WAKE 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 155.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WAKE has more of the edges

CHSO 3, WAKE 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WAKEBig
WAKE offense vs CHSO defense
Offense 80th of 366 against a defense 358th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
CHSO has played the 297th-hardest schedule, WAKE the 64th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WAKEBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CHSO 18.6%, WAKE 15.5%. Forced: CHSO 12.8%, WAKE 17.7%
WAKEBig
CHSO offense vs WAKE defense
Offense 268th of 366 against a defense 96th, on the model’s ratings
WAKEBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: CHSO 30.5, WAKE 35.2. Allowed: CHSO 43.3, WAKE 35.7
CHSOBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CHSO 54.1 and allows 47.0; WAKE 52.7 and allows 51.8
CHSOSmall
Three-pointers
CHSO hits 35.6% and allows 31.9%; WAKE hits 34.1% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 49.5% and 43.6% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: CHSO plays 75.1 a game (5th fastest), WAKE 70.2 (112th). Faster games mean more points
WAKESmall
Home court
WAKE at home. This season: WAKE 0-0 at home, CHSO 0-0 away
CHSOSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CHSO 29.4%, WAKE 30.1%. Defensive: CHSO 69.7%, WAKE 67.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CHSO 22%, WAKE 9%. Transfers in: CHSO 3, WAKE 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WAKE -20.8—
Total—155.3—
Projected score—CHSO 67.3 · WAKE 88

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWAKE -12.2—
1H total72.6—
1H projected scoreCHSO 30.2 · WAKE 42.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wake Forest has the better starters

Position by position: Charleston So 0, Wake Forest 1, even 4
Charleston SoBetterWake Forest
G J. Taylor4.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 2
WAKEBig
G K. Kennedy TR18.4 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.2 ast Score 91
G N. Errica TR1.3 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Ray TR11.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 56
F L. Olalere4.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 26
Even
G J. McDowell TR3.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 40
F D. Brafford1.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F R. Nyeri TR8.4 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 34
F M. Majok TR2.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F X. Pintelon TR5.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast Score 47
Charleston SoBetterWake Forest
CHSO offense268th of 366 · -8.1
WAKEBig
WAKE defense96th of 366 · -0.5
CHSO defense358th of 366 · -10.2
WAKEBig
WAKE offense80th of 366 · +0.5
Backcourt-3.6 · 2 players
WAKEBig
Backcourt+2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Bench+0.0 · 1 player
CHSOSmall
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCHSO betterWAKE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Charleston So
Guards
J. Taylor21 minN. Errica4 min · TRJ. McLambNewJ. CrawfordNewA. RuffoloNewR. BrooksNew
Forwards
L. Olalere16 minD. Brafford7 minM. Majok5 min · TRT. Deng1 min · TRM. LeslieNew
Wake Forest
Guards
K. Kennedy37 min · TRJ. Ray29 min · TRJ. McDowell17 min · TRI. Carr13 minA. Beard2 minW. Underwood2 min
Forwards
R. Nyeri26 min · TRX. Pintelon18 min · TRV. Ricchiuti2 minJ. AbsonNewV. ChaudhriNewG. PlacideNew
Centers
A. Dorn9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CHSOWAKE
Scoring
80.9 #44Points per game78.8 #83
1.08 #188Points per possession1.12 #94
75.1 #5Pace (possessions)70.2 #112
Shooting
54.1 #66Effective FG%52.7 #117
35.6 #783-point %34.1 #166
49.5 #163-point attempt rate43.6 #99
30.5 #296Free throw rate35.2 #170
Possessions
18.6 #302Turnover rate15.5 #107
29.4 #223Offensive rebound rate30.1 #196
15.7 #57Assists per game14.4 #123
Defense
81.0 #332Points allowed76.9 #239
1.08 #150Points allowed per possession1.10 #214
47.0 #21Opponent effective FG%51.8 #202
31.9 #58Opponent 3-point %32.9 #117
12.8 #362Turnovers forced17.7 #114
69.7 #174Defensive rebound rate67.0 #298
4.9 #339Steals per game7.7 #59
4.9 #21Blocks per game3.5 #136
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Charleston So

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-11 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Winthrop81–86
  • W@ UNC Asheville92–75
  • Wvs Winthrop86–84
  • Lvs Longwood96–107
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb75–66

A week or more of rest.

Wake Forest

18-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois St75–78
  • Wvs Navy82–72
  • Lvs Clemson62–71
  • Wvs Virginia Tech95–89
  • Wvs California80–73

A week or more of rest.