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NCAAB · Fri, Dec 4

Kansas St @ Seton Hall

Prudential Center · at Seton Hall
#83KSUKansas St
@
#67HALLSeton Hall
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
KSUThis seasonHALL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HALL 77–70 · win probability HALL 72%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HALL has more of the edges

KSU 1, HALL 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: KSU plays 73.8 a game (11th fastest), HALL 66.5 (296th). Faster games mean more points
HALLBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: KSU 29.2%, HALL 35.6%. Defensive: KSU 66.0%, HALL 68.1%
KSUSmall
Three-pointers
KSU hits 36.4% and allows 33.7%; HALL hits 30.5% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 40.9% and 26.8% of their shots
HALLSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: KSU 17.4%, HALL 16.6%. Forced: KSU 17.1%, HALL 21.5%
HALLSmall
Home court
HALL at home. This season: HALL 0-0 at home, KSU 0-0 away
HALLSmall
KSU offense vs HALL defense
Offense 74th of 366 against a defense 28th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: KSU 26.9, HALL 35.3. Allowed: KSU 35.2, HALL 42.1
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: KSU 7%, HALL 18%. Transfers in: KSU 9, HALL 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
KSU has played the 43rd-hardest schedule, HALL the 55th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: KSU 53.3 and allows 52.5; HALL 47.6 and allows 47.3
Even
HALL offense vs KSU defense
Offense 97th of 366 against a defense 97th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelHALL -6.7
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model147.1
Model edge—
Projected score
KSU 70.2 · HALL 76.9
Win probability
HALL 72%
1st half
Spread
HALL -3.8
Total
68.8
Projected score
KSU 32.5 · HALL 36.3
Model edge = where the model differs from the market, in points: a reason to look, not a trend. The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with. Model record › · 1st-half slate ›

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Seton Hall has the better starters

Position by position: Kansas St 0, Seton Hall 4, even 1
Kansas StBetterSeton Hall
G B. Rechsteiner TR12 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.5 ast Score 71
Even
G R. Brown TR13.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast Score 59
G J. Schutt TR7.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 39
HALLBig
G D. Jones TR17.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.3 ast Score 74
G M. Wheeler TR8.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 2.8 ast Score 50
HALLSmall
G K. Thomas TR15.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 71
F D. Lindsay TR5.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 51
HALLSmall
G R. Anderson TR10.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.2 ast Score 81
F I. Abraham TR4.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31
HALLBig
F D. Williams TR7.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 71
Kansas StBetterSeton Hall
KSU offense74th of 366 · +1.4
Even
HALL defense28th of 366 · +3.7
KSU defense97th of 366 · -0.7
Even
HALL offense97th of 366 · -0.8
Backcourt-1.1 · 3 players
HALLBig
Backcourt+2.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.2 · 2 players
HALLSmall
Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player
Bench-0.2 · 5 players
Even
Bench-0.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestKSU betterHALL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Kansas St
Guards
B. Rechsteiner28 min · TRJ. Schutt25 min · TRM. Wheeler22 min · TRA. Kostic14 minJ. AlexanderNew
Forwards
D. Lindsay21 min · TRI. Abraham20 min · TRT. Malovec15 min · TRP. N'Diaye9 min · TRB. Vice6 min · TRM. GilhoolNew
Centers
J. Rock13 min · TR
Seton Hall
Guards
R. Brown33 min · TRD. Jones33 min · TRK. Thomas30 min · TRR. Anderson24 min · TRE. Fisher21 minS. Wilcher19 min · TR
Forwards
D. Williams24 min · TRM. Wol20 min · TRT. CopelandNewT. AirhienbuwaNewI. DolinskiNew
Centers
A. Fanta Kabba17 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
KSUHALL
Scoring
79.6 #74Points per game70.3 #278
1.08 #191Points per possession1.06 #238
73.8 #11Pace (possessions)66.5 #296
Shooting
53.3 #88Effective FG%47.6 #321
36.4 #433-point %30.5 #334
40.9 #1483-point attempt rate26.8 #362
26.9 #351Free throw rate35.3 #168
Possessions
17.4 #233Turnover rate16.6 #173
29.2 #229Offensive rebound rate35.6 #33
16.8 #29Assists per game13.1 #206
Defense
81.8 #339Points allowed65.3 #8
1.11 #244Points allowed per possession0.98 #16
52.5 #239Opponent effective FG%47.3 #25
33.7 #166Opponent 3-point %32.4 #87
17.1 #145Turnovers forced21.5 #5
66.0 #317Defensive rebound rate68.1 #251
7.0 #121Steals per game9.2 #7
3.5 #137Blocks per game5.7 #7
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Kansas St

12-20 in 2025-26 overall · 3-16 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs BYU91–105
  • L@ Kansas85–104
  • Wvs West Virginia65–63
  • Lvs TCU68–77
  • L@ Colorado70–79

A week or more of rest.

Seton Hall

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ St John's68–78
  • Wvs Creighton72–61
  • Lvs St John's65–72
  • W@ Xavier77–68
  • L@ UConn67–71

A week or more of rest.